The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite has the potential to transform global hydrologic science by offering simultaneous and synoptic estimates of river discharge and other hydraulic variables. Discharge is estimated from SWOT observations of water surface elevation, width, and slope. A first assessment using just the highest quality SWOT measurements, over the first 15 months (March 2023–July 2024) of the mission evaluated at 65 gauged reaches shows results consistent with pre‐launch expectations. SWOT estimates track discharge dynamics without relying on any gauge information: median correlation is 0.73, with a correlation interquartile range of 0.51–0.89. SWOT estimates capture discharge magnitude correctly in some cases but are biased (median bias is 50%) in others. There are already a total of 11,274 ungauged global locations with highest quality SWOT measurements where SWOT discharge is expected to accurately track discharge variations: this value will increase as SWOT data record length grows, algorithms are refined and SWOT measurements are reprocessed. This first look indicates that SWOT discharge is performing as expected for SWOT data that achieve performance requirements, providing observed information on discharge variations in ungauged basins globally.
Estimating spatially distributed hydrological parameters in ungauged catchments poses a challenging regionalization problem and requires imposing spatial constraints given the sparsity of discharge data. A possible approach is to search for a transfer function that quantitatively relates physical descriptors to conceptual model parameters. This paper introduces a Hybrid Data Assimilation and Parameter Regionalization (HDA‐PR) approach incorporating learnable regionalization mappings, based on either multi‐linear regression or artificial neural networks (ANNs), into a differentiable hydrological model. This approach demonstrates how two differentiable codes can be linked and their gradients chained, enabling the exploitation of heterogeneous data sets across extensive spatio‐temporal computational domains within a high‐dimensional regionalization context, using accurate adjoint‐based gradients. The inverse problem is tackled with a multi‐gauge calibration cost function accounting for information from multiple observation sites. HDA‐PR was tested on high‐resolution, hourly and kilometric regional modeling of 126 flash‐flood‐prone catchments in the French Mediterranean region. The results highlight a strong regionalization performance of HDA‐PR especially in the most challenging upstream‐to‐downstream extrapolation scenario with ANN, achieving median Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) scores from 0.6 to 0.71 for spatial, temporal, spatio‐temporal validations, and improving NSE by up to 30% on average compared to the baseline model calibrated with lumped parameters. Multiple evaluation metrics based on flood‐oriented hydrological signatures also indicate that the use of an ANN leads to better performances than a multi‐linear regression in a validation context. ANN enables to learn a non‐linear descriptors‐to‐parameters mapping which provides better model controllability than a linear mapping for complex calibration cases.
7 August 2025 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
To advance the discovery of scale-relevant hydrological laws while better exploiting massive multisource data, merging artificial intelligence with process-based modeling has emerged as a compelling approach, as demonstrated in recent lumped hydrological modeling studies. This research proposes a general spatially distributed hybrid modeling framework that seamlessly combines differentiable process-based models with neural networks. Specifically, we focus on hybridizing the hydrological module – built atop a differentiable kinematic wave routing over a flow direction grid – using a process-parameterization network that refines internal water fluxes, with all conceptual parameters estimated by a regionalization network trained simultaneously. We evaluate flood modeling performance and analyze the interpretability of learned conceptual parameters and corrections of internal fluxes using two high-resolution datasets (dx=1 km and dt=1 h). The first dataset involves 235 catchments in France, used for local calibration–validation and model structure comparisons between the classical Génie Rural (GR)-like model and the hybrid approach. The second dataset presents a challenging multi-catchment modeling setup in flash-flood-prone areas to demonstrate the framework's regionalization learning capabilities. The results show that the hybrid models achieve superior accuracy and robustness compared to classical approaches in both spatial and temporal validation. Analysis of the spatially distributed parameters and internal fluxes reveals the hybrid models' nuanced behavior, their adaptability to diverse hydrological responses, and their potential to uncover physical processes.
In late 2023, the Amazon River Basin experienced its most extreme drought to date, putting its population and ecosystem at risk. Gauges that were still functioning measured the lowest river water levels (RWL) on record. Here, satellite observations, including Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT), reveal the spread and timing of extremely low RWL across the entire river system. The majority of Nadir altimeter observations show that the 2023 minimum RWL in the Central Amazon were 3 m or more below their annual average, representing two to three times its mean variability. Additionally, SWOT captures the basin‐scale reduction in RWL with a spatial resolution of 200 m and how it propagates with time. Large‐scale evaluation with gauges suggests that SWOT outperforms classical altimetry in estimating RWL, despites differences that need further investigations. SWOT offers a new opportunity to understand hydroclimatic extremes and their broad impacts on the environment of the Amazon.
Soil moisture maps are essential for hydrological, agricultural and risk assessment applications. To best meet these requirements, it is essential to develop soil moisture products at high spatial resolution, which is now made possible using the free Sentinel-1 (S1) SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) data. Some soil moisture retrieval techniques using S1 data relied on the use of a priori weather information in order to increase the precision of soil moisture estimates, which required access to a weather-forecasting framework. This paper presents an improved and fully autonomous solution for high-resolution soil moisture mapping in bare agricultural areas. The proposed solution derives a priori weather information directly from the original Sentinel images, thus bypassing the need for a weather forecasting framework. For soil moisture estimation, the neural network technique was implemented to ensure the optimum integration of radar information. The neural networks were trained using synthetic data generated by the modified Integral Equation Model (IEM) model and validated on real data from two study sites in France and Tunisia. The main findings showed that the use of a radar signal averaged over grids of a few km in addition to radar signal at plot scale instead of a priori weather information provides good soil moisture estimations. The accuracy is even slightly better compared to the accuracy obtained using a priori weather information.
The water in Earth's rivers propagates as waves through space and time across hydrographic networks. A detailed understanding of river dynamics globally is essential for achieving accurate knowledge of surface water storage and fluxes to support water resources management and water‐related disaster forecasting and mitigation. Global in situ information on river flows are crucial to support such an investigation but remain difficult to obtain at adequate spatiotemporal scales, if they even exist. Many expectations are placed on remote sensing techniques as key contributors. Despite a rapid expansion of satellite capabilities, however, it remains unclear what temporal revisit, spatial coverage, footprint size, spatial resolution, observation accuracy, latency time, and variables of interest from satellites are best suited to capture the space‐time propagation of water in rivers. Additionally, the ability of numerical models to compensate for data sparsity through model‐data fusion remains elusive. We review recent efforts to identify the type of remote sensing observations that could enhance understanding and representation of river dynamics. Key priorities include: (a) resolving narrow water bodies (finer than 50–100 m), (b) further analysis of signal accuracy versus hydrologic variability and relevant technologies (optical/SAR imagery, altimetry, microwave radiometry), (c) achieving 1–3 days observation intervals, (d) leveraging data assimilation and multi‐satellite approaches using existing constellations, and (e) new variable measurement for accurate water flux and discharge estimates. We recommend a hydrology‐focused, multi‐mission observing system comprising: (a) a cutting‐edge single or dual‐satellite mission for advanced surface water measurements, and (b) a constellation of cost‐effective satellites targeting dynamic processes.