As a major component of the hydrologic cycle, rainfall runoff plays a key role in water resources management and sustainable development. Conceptual models of the rainfall-runoff process are governed by parameters that can rarely be directly determined for use in distributed models, but should be either inferred through good judgment or calibrated against the historical record. Artificial neural network (ANN) models require comparatively fewer such parameters, but their accuracy needs to be checked. This paper compares a Hydrologic Engineering Centre-Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) conceptual model and an ANN model based on the conjugate gradient method for streamflow prediction. Daily precipitation, temperature, and streamflow data of the Upper Indus River for a period of 20 years (1985–2004) are used as input for calibrating in the case of the HEC-HMS, and for training in case of the ANN. Ten years of data (2005–2014) are used to validate the HEC-HMS model and test the ANN. The performance of the models is assessed using different statistical indicators such as the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE), and the coefficient of determination (R²). The results show good predictions for streamflow in the case of both HEC-HMS and ANN models. A parametric study is conducted using Monte Carlo analysis and finds that the most important parameters for HEC-HMS models are the storage coefficient and the time of concentration; while for ANN models, input combinations are the most important. This study investigates the sensitivity of these parameters, which can be used to determine preliminary estimation ranges of their values for future modeling. Finally, evaluating the impact of the simulated streamflow’s accuracy on the flow duration curve shows that the curve is significantly affected by any streamflow simulation inaccuracy.

Countries in arid regions are presently facing challenges in managing their limited water resources. Assessing the evaporation losses from various sources of water is a daunting task that is inevitable for the sustainability of water resource management schemes in these regions. Although several techniques are available for simulating evaporation rates, identifying the parameters of various evaporation equations still needs to be further investigated. The main goal of this research was to develop a framework for determining the parameters influencing the evaporation rate of evaporation pans. Four different equations, including those of Hamon, Penman, Jensen–Haise, and Makkink, were chosen to estimate evaporation from the evaporation pans installed in the Qassim Region of Saudi Arabia. The parameters of these four equations were identified by a state-of-the-art optimization technique, known as the general reduced gradient (GRG). Three types of objective functions used for optimization were tested. Forty-year monitoring records for pan evaporation, temperature, relative humidity, and sunshine hours were collected from the Municipality of Buraydah Al Qassim, for the period of 1976 to 2016. These data were mainly manually recorded at a weather station situated in the Buraydah city. Preliminary data analysis was performed using the Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope tests to study the trends. The first 20-year (1976–1995) data were used for calibrating the equations by employing an optimization technique and the remaining data were used for validation purposes. Four new equations were finally developed and their performance, along with the performance of the four original equations, was evaluated using the Nash and Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) and the Mean Biased Error (MBE). The study revealed that among the original equations, the Penman equation performed better than the other three equations. Additionally, among the new equations, the Hamon method performed better than the remaining three equations.

Floods stand out as one of the most devastating environmental threats worldwide resulting in the tragic loss of human lives and significant damage to our essential infrastructure. This study focuses on creating floodplain maps for the two important reaches of Swat River in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province of Pakistan, namely, Kalam–Khwazakhela and Khwazakhela–Chakdara reaches. The Advanced Land Observing Satellite Phased Array Type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (ALOS PALSAR) 12.5 m Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data has been used for this purpose. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the flood model was assessed for the Flood 2022 event, considering simulated flood depth, extent, and velocity in relation to various terrains derived from the 12.5-m ALOS PALSAR data. To estimate extreme flows for different return periods (2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years), the Log Normal (LN), Log Pearson III (LP3), and Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distributions were employed for the frequency analysis. The GEV distribution turned out to be the best fit for modeling the Swat River for both the Chakdara and Khwazakhela gauge stations. To predict flood levels for the peak floods identified through frequency analysis and for the specific return periods the Hydrologic Engineering Center's River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) 2D simulations were performed. Subsequently the outcomes of this model were used to create floodplain maps using Geographic Information System Professional (ArcGIS Pro) software customized for various return periods. The analysis revealed a linear increase in flood inundation area with longer return periods. The floodplain maps developed hold significant importance for the governing authorities of the Swat region. These maps serve as essential tools for implementing proactive measures against potential infrastructure damage, thereby protecting against economic losses and enhancing public safety. This research effectively combines hydrological modeling and geospatial technology offering practical solutions for managing flood risks. It serves as a valuable guide for making well-informed decisions and promoting sustainable development in flood-prone areas.

Investigating terrestrial determinants impacts on surface water quality is critical for watershed management. This research work reports the terrestrial determinants influence on surface water quality at multiple spatial scales at two trans-boundary rivers of Pakistan: The Ravi and Sutlej. This study is based on 18 physicochemical and trace elements (pH, turbidity, electrical conductivity (EC), NO3, total dissolved solid (TDS), chemical oxygen demand (COD), biological oxygen demand (BOD), dissolved oxygen (DO), hardness, total nitrogen, phosphorus, Cu, Pb, As, Cr, Mn, Zn, and Cd) from 15 water quality monitoring stations. Terrestrial determinants especially village land use, coarse grained soil (high permeability) and mean slope (high erosion) can impair surface water quality. On the other hand, fine grained soil can protect stream health due to strong retention capacity and low infiltration capability. All spatial scales best explained terrestrial determinants-water quality relationship. Conservative practices are suggested at riparian as well as subbasin scale to account for the nearest and furthest pollutants sources. Restoration of riparian ecosystems should be a high priority for water quality enhancement in particular along the Ravi and Sutlej rivers and the two plains where there are intensive human activities at village level.