Satellite-based soil moisture products are suitable for large-scale regional monitoring due to the accessibility. Five soil moisture products including SMAP, ESA CCI, and AMSR2 (ascending, descending, and average) were selected in the continental United States (US) from 2016 to 2021. To evaluate the performance of the products and assess their applicability, ISMN (International Soil Moisture Network) data were used as the in situ measurement. PBIAS (Percentage of BIAS), R (Pearson correlation coefficient), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), ubRMSE (unbiased RMSE), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), and MBE (Mean Bias Error) were selected for evaluation. The performance of five products over six observation networks and various land cover types was compared, and the differences were analyzed at monthly, seasonal, and annual scales. The results show that SMAP had the smallest deviation with the ISMN data because PBIAS was around −0.13, and MBE was around −0.02 m³/m³. ESA CCI performed the best in almost all aspects; its R reached around 0.7, and RMSE was only around 0.07 m³/m³ at the three time scales. The performance of the AMSR2 products varied greatly across the time scales, and increasing errors and deviations showed from 2016 to 2020. The PBO_H2O and USCRN networks could reflect soil moisture characteristics in the continental US, while iRON performed poorly. The evaluation of the networks was closely related to spatial distributions. All products performed better over grasslands and shrublands with R, which was greater than 0.52, and ubRMSE was around 0.1 m³/m³, while products performed worse over forests, where PBIAS was less than −0.62, and RMSE was greater than 0.2 m³/m³, except for ESA CCI. From the boxplot, SMAP was close to the ISMN data with differences less than 0.004 m³/m³ between the median and lower quartiles.

The Mara River Basin of Africa has a world-famous ecosystem with vast vegetation, which is home to many wild animals. However, the basin is experiencing vegetation degradation and bad climate change, which has caused conflicts between people and wild animals, especially in dry seasons. This paper studied the vegetation greenness (VG), vegetation greenness trends (VGT), and their responses to climate change in dry seasons in the Mara River Basin, Africa. Firstly, based on Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and Sentinel-2 images, the vegetation distribution map of the Mara River Basin was drawn. Then dry seasons MODIS NDVI data (January to February and June to September) were used to analyze the VGT. Finally, a random forest regression algorithm was used to evaluate the response of VG and VGT to temperature and precipitation derived from ERA5 from 2000 to 2019 at a resolution of 250 m. The results showed that the VGT was fluctuating in dry seasons, and the spatial differentiation was obvious. The greenness increasing trends both upstream and downstream were significantly larger than that of in the midstream. The responses of VG to precipitation were almost twice larger than temperature, and the responses of VGT to temperature were about 1.5 times larger than precipitation. The climate change trend of rising temperature and falling precipitation will lead to the degradation of vegetation and the reduction of crop production. There will be a vegetation degradation crisis in dry seasons in the Mara River Basin in the future. Identifying the spatiotemporal changes of VGT in dry seasons will be helpful to understand the response of VG and VGT to climate change and could also provide technical support to cope with climate-change-related issues for the basin.

Agricultural drought assessment is based on soil moisture deficit during the plant-growing season. The available long-term in situ soil moisture data can be used to evaluate the drought indices’ performance. Drought indices have different sensitivities to various climates and vegetation cover types. Moreover, little research has been carried out on the sensitivity to soil moisture in specific soil layers. Comparing the performance of drought indices in different environments enables us to use and construct an effective drought index for drought delineation. We used soil moisture data from 2000 to 2021 to compare the performance of satellite image-derived drought indices (VCI, NLSWI, TCI, VHI, and NVSWI) in different climates, vegetation cover types, and soil layers over the Contiguous United States at monthly intervals and a 1000 m spatial resolution. The performances of drought indices based on vegetation status showed little differences in the different soil layers. In contrast, drought indices based on single-temperature conditions performed better in the 0–20 cm soil layer than in the deeper soil layer. The integrated index might not improve the correlation in all soil layers compared with single-condition indices under some environments. In general, while the optimal drought index might vary in different environments, the VHI performed most efficiently in most cases. This research has the potential to improve our understanding of drought monitoring in large regions with different climates, vegetation cover types, and soil layers.

The Mara River basin (MRB) has a world-famous ecosystem, but the vegetation has been damaged due to economic development in recent years, and there is little known about the area that will experience severe vegetation damage in the future. Based on the vegetation vulnerability system, principal component analysis, and three Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5), vegetation vulnerability was calculated for the base period (2010–2019), near future period (2020–2059) and distinct future period (2060–2099) in the MRB. The spatial cluster of vegetation vulnerability was revealed by spatial correlation analysis, and the transition of vegetation vulnerability of different periods was analyzed by stochastic matrix. The results showed that for all periods, the vulnerability showed a high–high cluster in the east, and a low–low cluster midstream and downstream. From the stochastic matrix, the area of high vulnerability increased the least under the SSP1-2.6, while it increased the most under the SSP5-8.5. The vegetation vulnerability upstream increased the most from the base period to the near future period and distinct future period in the MRB. By comparing the vegetation vulnerability under different scenarios and pointing out the areas with the highest vulnerability increase, this study can better provide comprehensive decision-making for vegetation protection in the MRB.

The Mara River basin (MRB) has a world-famous ecosystem, but the vegetation has been damaged due to economic development in recent years, and there is little known about the area that will experience severe vegetation damage in the future. Based on the vegetation vulnerability system, principal component analysis, and three CMIP6 scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5), vegetation vulnerability was calculated in the base period (2010-2019), near-term period (2020-2059) and long-term period (2060-2099) in the MRB. The spatial cluster of vegetation vulnerability was revealed by spatial correlation analysis, and the transition of vegetation vulnerability of different periods was analyzed by stochastic matrix. The results showed that in all periods, the vulnerability showed a high-high cluster in the east, and a low-low cluster midstream and downstream. From the stochastic matrix, the area of high vulnerability increased the least under the SSP1-2.6, while it increased the most under the SSP5-8.5. The vegetation vulnerability upstream increased the most from the base period to the near-term period and long-term period in the MRB. By comparing the vegetation vulnerability under different scenarios, and pointing out the areas with the highest vulnerability increase, this study can better provide comprehensive decision-making for vegetation protection in the MRB.