The combination of the processes of widespread digitalization and globalization of the world economy has led to a significant expansion of the global information environment. The modern information environment is dynamically active, and changes in it are indicators of changes in the material world. This specificity can be used for investment analysis purposes. However, at the time of this research, a universal methodology for analyzing the information environment has not yet been formed. The purpose of this study is to develop tools for quantifying the information environment and testing them as investment predictors. The key result of this study is a stock price forecasting model based on information environment quantifiers and its critical analysis. The results obtained will be useful both for investors of different skill levels and for researchers of the information environment.
Topic modeling of large news streams is widely used to reconstruct economic and political narratives, which requires coherent topics with low lexical overlap while remaining interpretable to domain experts. We propose TF-SYN-NER-Rel, a structural–semantic term weighting scheme that extends classical TF-IDF by integrating positional, syntactic, factual, and named-entity coefficients derived from morphosyntactic and dependency parses of Russian news texts. The method is embedded into a standard Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) pipeline and evaluated on a large Russian-language news corpus from the online archive of Moskovsky Komsomolets (over 600,000 documents), with political, financial, and sports subsets obtained via dictionary-based expert labeling. For each subset, TF-SYN-NER-Rel is compared with standard TF-IDF under identical LDA settings, and topic quality is assessed using the C_v coherence metric. To assess robustness, we repeat model training across multiple random initializations and report aggregate coherence statistics. Quantitative results show that TF-SYN-NER-Rel improves coherence and yields smoother, more stable coherence curves across the number of topics. Qualitative analysis indicates reduced lexical overlap between topics and clearer separation of event-centered and institutional themes, especially in political and financial news. Overall, the proposed pipeline relies on CPU-based NLP tools and sparse linear algebra, providing a computationally lightweight and interpretable complement to embedding- and LLM-based topic modeling in large-scale news monitoring.