The expected growth of air traffic in the coming decades demands an increase in airspace capacity, which is already close to saturation in many scenarios. One of the limiting factors of this capacity is the separation minima. At present, the separation standards that apply in a given volume of airspace are fixed, and their values were determined decades ago. Therefore, in order to increase airspace capacity, this is an area in which improvement is sought, namely through the implementation of new operational concepts, which include the redefinition of separation minima and the way they are applied. A key issue in this redefinition of separation minima is the question of the possibility of reducing the current standards. However, a reduction in the separation to a fixed value may not be a valid solution, as not all aircraft and ways of operation are the same. In this paper, the authors propose a new operational concept, the Ad Hoc or Variable separation minima. Ad Hoc separation refers to the application of different separation minima values in the same volume of airspace, depending on a set of factors, e.g., aircraft model and encounter geometry, among others. In this research, the factors that define these Ad Hoc separation minima and their relationships are discussed. A model for their determination is presented. Simulations are performed to analyze the operational feasibility of the Ad Hoc separation minima. The results show that the application of this concept is operationally feasible.

A Mid-Air Collision (MAC) is a fatal event with tragic consequences. To reduce the risk of a MAC, it is imperative to understand the precursors that trigger it. A primary precursor to a MAC is a loss of separation (LOS) or a separation infringement. This study develops a model to identify the factors contributing to a LOS between aircraft pairs. A Bayesian Network (BN) model is used to estimate the conditional dependencies of the factors affecting criticality, that is, how close the LOS has come to becoming a collision. This probabilistic model is built using GeNIe software from data (based on a database created from incident analysis) and expert judgment. The results of the model allow identification of how factors related to the scenario, the human factor (ATC and flight crew) or the technical systems, affect the criticality of the LOS. Based on this information, it is possible to exclude irrelevant elements that do not contribute or whose influence could be neglected, and to prioritize work on the most important ones, in order to increase ATM safety.

A major challenge for the Air Traffic Management system is the need to boost airspace capacity, which is near saturation in some situations. Separation minima are one of the factors related to airspace capacity, and the SESAR program promotes research into advanced separation modes. Ad Hoc separation, a novel separation mode, involves applying different pairwise separation minima in the same volume of airspace depending on a set of factors, such as encounter geometry, aircraft models, and flight level, among others. This research examines the impact of implementing this concept in different en-route scenarios. The goal is to determine whether applying this concept proves advantageous or, conversely, results in an increase in the complexity of the system without significant benefits in the key performance areas of capacity, environment, and cost-efficiency. Fast Time Simulations are conducted in RAMS software, with the concept being implemented in the LECMZMU, LECMTLU, and LECMDGU sectors of the Madrid ACC. The results reveal favorable capacity outcomes with increases of around 2% and the LECMZMU sector exhibits the most significant environmental and cost-efficiency benefits. Furthermore, implementing the Ad Hoc concept in a larger scenario could yield even greater environmental and cost-efficiency benefits.

Runway throughput at high-density European airports is governed not only by the aircraft interarrival separation on final approach but also by runway occupancy time (ROT). As reduction of Separation Minima (SM) becomes operationally and technically feasible and as Air Traffic Control Officers (ATCOs) improve delivery accuracy, ROT is expected to play a progressively larger role as the capacity-limiting mechanism. This study provides the first quantitative evidence of this effect through an analysis of a saturated traffic scenario operating under the RECAT-EU wake turbulence separation scheme and reduced surveillance minima of 2.5 nautical miles, based on ADS-B surveillance data. For each RECAT-EU leader–following sequence, ROT distributions were compared against the actual approach-to-approach times and the applicable SM to derive the probability that ROT becomes the binding constraint. Results show that, when arrival separation is governed by the reduced surveillance-based separation rather than by wake turbulence constraints, ROT is significantly more likely to become the limiting factor for runway capacity. This evidence provides a quantitative basis to guide future research, which should focus on ROT reduction strategies tailored to aircraft performance, including flexible exit taxiway concepts and adaptive exit allocation, prioritising those aircraft sequences identified by this study as most ROT sensitive.

The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) specifies that in the design phase of instrument flight procedures, an additional clearance may be added to an obstacle when flights are over mountainous terrain. This clearance increase can be up to 100 per cent of the minimum obstacle clearance (MOC). Airspace and instrument flight procedure designers usually face the problem of determining what value should be applied, since setting the maximum value of 100% often implies operational penalties, but there are no standardized criteria to determine lower values. The ICAO PANS-OPS indicates that the additional clearance over obstacles in mountainous areas is caused by two effects, both related to orography and wind speed. The first effect is due to the altimeter indication error. The second one is related to the loss of altitude when an aircraft is exposed to turbulence produced by mountain waves. This paper presents a methodology for determining the additional clearance to be applied over obstacles when, in the flight procedure design phase, the overflight of mountainous terrain is expected. Through this methodology, results have been achieved for the proposal of an appropriate additional clearance. The development of graphs and tables allows us to identify which additional value should be considered in each case.

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, continues to impact the world even three years after its outbreak. International border closures and health alerts severely affected the air transport industry, resulting in substantial financial losses. This study analyzes the global data on infected individuals alongside aircraft types, flight durations, and passenger flows. Using a Bayesian framework, we forecast the risk of infection during commercial flights and its potential spread across an air transport network. Our model allows us to explore the effect of mitigation measures, such as closing individual routes or airports, reducing aircraft occupancy, or restricting access for infected passengers, on disease propagation, while allowing the air industry to operate at near-normal levels. Our novel approach combines dynamic network modeling with discrete event simulation. A real-case study at major European hubs illustrates our methodology.