Carlos Fragoso Jr.

Prof. Carlos Fragoso Jr.

Universidade Federal de Alagoas
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

19Years (2008-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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27 August 2010 in Aquatic Ecology
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Journal Article
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WMWolf M. Mooij
Wolf M. Mooij
DTDennis Trolle
Dennis Trolle
Erik JeppesenErik Jeppesen
Erik Jeppesen
GAGeorge Arhonditsis
George Arhonditsis
PBPavel V. Belolipetsky
Pavel V. Belolipetsky
JJJan H. Janse
Jan H. Janse
A large number and wide variety of lake ecosystem models have been developed and published during the past four decades. We identify two challenges for making further progress in this field. One such challenge is to avoid developing more models largely following the concept of others (‘reinventing the wheel’). The other challenge is to avoid focusing on only one type of model, while ignoring new and diverse approaches that have become available (‘having tunnel vision’). In this paper, we aim at improving the awareness of existing models and knowledge of concurrent approaches in lake ecosystem modelling, without covering all possible model tools and avenues. First, we present a broad variety of modelling approaches. To illustrate these approaches, we give brief descriptions of rather arbitrarily selected sets of specific models. We deal with static models (steady state and regression models), complex dynamic models (CAEDYM, CE-QUAL-W2, Delft 3D-ECO, LakeMab, LakeWeb, MyLake, PCLake, PROTECH, SALMO), structurally dynamic models and minimal dynamic models. We also discuss a group of approaches that could all be classified as individual based: super-individual models (Piscator, Charisma), physiologically structured models, stage-structured models and trait-based models. We briefly mention genetic algorithms, neural networks, Kalman filters and fuzzy logic. Thereafter, we zoom in, as an in-depth example, on the multi-decadal development and application of the lake ecosystem model PCLake and related models (PCLake Metamodel, Lake Shira Model, IPH-TRIM3D-PCLake). In the discussion, we argue that while the historical development of each approach and model is understandable given its ‘leading principle’, there are many opportunities for combining approaches. We take the point of view that a single ‘right’ approach does not exist and should not be strived for. Instead, multiple modelling approaches, applied concurrently to a given problem, can help develop an integrative view on the functioning of lake ecosystems. We end with a set of specific recommendations that may be of help in the further development of lake ecosystem models.

24 November 2011 in Hydrobiologia
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DTDennis Trolle
Dennis Trolle
DHDavid Hamilton
David Hamilton
MHMatthew Hipsey
Matthew Hipsey
KBKarsten Bolding
Karsten Bolding
JBJorn Bruggeman
Jorn Bruggeman
PHPaul C. Hanson
Paul C. Hanson

24 May 2017 in Remote Sensing
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RLRegina Camara Lins
Regina Camara Lins
Jean Michel MartinezJean Michel Martinez
Jean Michel Martinez
David da Motta MarquesDavid da Motta Marques
David da Motta Marques
JCJosé Almir Cirilo
José Almir Cirilo
CJCarlos Fragoso Jr.
Carlos Fragoso Jr.
Remote estimation of chlorophyll-a in turbid and productive estuaries is difficult due to the optical complexity of Case 2 waters. Although recent advances have been obtained with the use of empirical approaches for estimating chlorophyll-a in these environments, the understanding of the relationship between spectral reflectance and chlorophyll-a is based mainly on temperate and subtropical estuarine systems. The potential to apply standard NIR-Red models to productive tropical estuaries remains underexplored. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to evaluate the performance of several approaches based on multispectral data to estimate chlorophyll-a in a productive tropical estuarine-lagoon system, using in situ measurements of remote sensing reflectance, Rrs. The possibility of applying algorithms using simulated satellite bands of modern and recent launched sensors was also evaluated. More accurate retrievals of chlorophyll-a (r2 > 0.80) based on field datasets were found using NIR-Red three-band models. In addition, enhanced chlorophyll-a retrievals were found using the two-band algorithm based on bands of recently launched satellites such as Sentinel-2/MSI and Sentinel-3/OLCI, indicating a promising application of these sensors to remotely estimate chlorophyll-a for coming decades in turbid inland waters. Our findings suggest that empirical models based on optical properties involving water constituents have strong potential to estimate chlorophyll-a using multispectral data from satellite, airborne or handheld sensors in productive tropical estuaries.

1 November 2011 in Environmental Modelling & Software
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Journal Article
Closed access
CJCarlos Fragoso Jr.
Carlos Fragoso Jr.
DMDavid M.L. Motta Marques
David M.L. Motta Marques
TFTiago Finkler Ferreira
Tiago Finkler Ferreira
JJJan H. Janse
Jan H. Janse
ENEgbert H. van Nes
Egbert H. van Nes

1 November 2008 in Ecological Modelling
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Journal Article
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CJCarlos Fragoso Jr.
Carlos Fragoso Jr.
DMDavid M.L. Motta Marques
David M.L. Motta Marques
WCWalter Collischonn
Walter Collischonn
CTCarlos E.M. Tucci
Carlos E.M. Tucci
ENEgbert H. van Nes
Egbert H. van Nes

18 January 2019 in Water
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Journal Article
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MTMatheus Tavares
Matheus Tavares
ACAugusto Cunha
Augusto Cunha
David da Motta MarquesDavid da Motta Marques
David da Motta Marques
ARAnderson Luis Ruhoff
Anderson Luis Ruhoff
JCJosé Rafael Cavalcanti
José Rafael Cavalcanti
LRLucia Helena Ribeiro Rodrigues
Lucia Helena Ribeiro Rodrigues
Water temperature regulates many processes in lakes; therefore, evaluating it is essential to understand its ecological status and functioning, and to comprehend the impact of climate change. Although few studies assessed the accuracy of individual sensors in estimating lake-surface-water temperature (LSWT), comparative analysis considering different sensors is still needed. This study evaluated the performance of two thermal sensors, MODIS and Landsat 7 ETM+, and used Landsat methods to estimate the SWT of a large subtropical lake. MODIS products MOD11 LST and MOD28 SST were used for comparison. For the Landsat images, the radiative transfer equation (RTE), using NASA’s Atmospheric Correction Parameter Calculator (AtmCorr) parameters, was compared with the single-channel algorithm in different approaches. Our results showed that MOD11 obtained the highest accuracy (RMSE of 1.05 ° C), and is the recommended product for LSWT studies. For Landsat-derived SWT, AtmCorr obtained the highest accuracy (RMSE of 1.07 ° C) and is the recommended method for small lakes. Sensitivity analysis showed that Landsat-derived LSWT using the RTE is very sensitive to atmospheric parameters and emissivity. A discussion of the main error sources was conducted. We recommend that similar tests be applied for Landsat imagery on different lakes, further studies on algorithms to correct the cool-skin effect in inland waters, and tests of different emissivity values to verify if it can compensate for this effect, in an effort to improve the accuracy of these estimates.