The boreal hemisphere has been experiencing increasing extreme hot and dry conditions over the past few decades, consistent with anthropogenic climate change. The continental extension of this phenomenon calls for tools and techniques capable of monitoring the global to regional scales. In this context, satellite data can satisfy the need for global coverage. The main objective we have addressed in the present paper is the capability of infrared satellite observations to monitor the vegetation stress due to increasing drought and heatwaves in summer. We have designed and implemented a new water deficit index (wdi) that exploits satellite observations in the infrared to retrieve humidity, air temperature, and surface temperature simultaneously. These three parameters are combined to provide the water deficit index. The index has been developed based on the Infrared Atmospheric Sounder Interferometer or IASI, which covers the infrared spectral range 645 to 2760 cm⁻¹ with a sampling of 0.25 cm⁻¹. The index has been used to study the 2017 heatwave, which hit continental Europe from May to October. In particular, we have examined southern Italy, where Mediterranean forests suffer from climate change. We have computed the index’s time series and show that it can be used to indicate the atmospheric background conditions associated with meteorological drought. We have also found a good agreement with soil moisture, which suggests that the persistence of an anomalously high water deficit index was an essential driver of the rapid development and evolution of the exceptionally severe 2017 droughts.

The boreal Hemisphere has been experiencing increasing extreme hot and dry conditions over the past few decades, consistent with anthropogenic climate change expectations. The continental extension of the phenomenon calls for tools and techniques capable of monitoring the global to regional scales. In this context, the satellite is the only system that can satisfy the need for global coverage. The main objective we have addressed in the present paper is the capability of infrared satellite observations helping to monitor the vegetation stress due to increasing drought and heatwaves in summer. We have designed and implemented a new water deficit index (wdi) that exploits satellite observations in the infrared to retrieve humidity, air temperature, and surface temperature simultaneously. These three parameters are combined to provide the water deficit index. The index has been developed based on the Infrared Atmospheric Sounder Interferometer or IASI, which covers the infrared spectral range 645 to 2760 cm-1 with a sampling of 0.25 cm-1. The index has been used to study the 2017 heatwave, which hit Continental Europe from May to October. In particular, we have examined Southern Italy, where Mediterranean forests suffer from climate change. We have computed the index's time series and show that it can be used to indicate the atmospheric background conditions associated with meteorological drought. We have also found a good agreement with soil moisture, which suggests that the persistence of anomalously high water deficit index was an essential driver of the rapid development and evolution of the exceptionally severe 2017 droughts.

Retrieving LST from infrared spectral observations is challenging because it needs separation from emissivity in surface radiation emission, which is feasible only when the state of the surface–atmosphere system is known. Thanks to its high spectral resolution, the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) instrument onboard Metop polar-orbiting satellites is the only sensor that can simultaneously retrieve LST, the emissivity spectrum, and atmospheric composition. Still, it cannot penetrate thick cloud layers, making observations blind to surface emissions under cloudy conditions, with surface and atmospheric parameters being flagged as voids. The present paper aims to discuss a downscaling–fusion methodology to retrieve LST missing values on a spatial field retrieved from spatially scattered IASI observations to yield level 3, regularly gridded data, using as proxy data LST from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) flying on Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) platform, a geostationary instrument, and from the Advanced Very High-Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) onboard Metop polar-orbiting satellites. We address this problem by using machine learning techniques, i.e., Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Gaussian Process Regression, Neural Network, and Stacked Regression. We applied the methodology over the Po Valley region, a very heterogeneous area that allows addressing the trained models’ robustness. Overall, the methods significantly enhanced spatial sampling, keeping errors in terms of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and bias (Mean Absolute Error, MAE) very low. Although we demonstrate and assess the results primarily using IASI data, the paper is also intended for applications to the IASI follow-on, that is, IASI Next Generation (IASI-NG), and much more to the Infrared Sounder (IRS), which is planned to fly this year, 2025, on the Meteosat Third Generation platform (MTG).

Surface and vegetation monitoring is a key activity in analyzing and understanding how climate change is impacting natural resources. Moreover, identifying vegetation stress using remote-sensed data has proven to be essential in assessing said understanding, as well as in the effort to prevent or act upon extreme phenomena, such as premature land and forest dryness due to summer heatwaves in the Mediterranean area. Typically used satellite indices for this purpose are the well-known NDVI, followed by Leaf Area Index (LAI) and Surface Soil Moisture (ssm), together with physical parameters such as surface and air temperature close to the surface (the latter retrieved by both remote-sensed data and in situ measurements). However, it is a known fact that NDVI is not able to differentiate between barren soil and suffering vegetation, while surface temperature and air temperature correlate poorly with soil moisture. The analysis carried out in this paper is aimed at proving the effectiveness of two newly designed thermodynamical indices, ECI and wdi, in assessing vegetation stress and woodland degradation in southern Italy between 2014 and 2022. ECI is based on infrared surface emissivity, which is closely related to land cover, while wdi directly measures surface water loss. Said indices have been estimated from both ECMWF operational analysis and IASI L2 data, the latter upscaled and remapped on a regular grid using an optimal interpolation scheme. Moreover, a comparison with other traditional indices is presented, further validating the applied methodology.

The new σ-IASI/F2N radiative transfer model is an advancement of the σ-IASI model, introduced in 2002. It enables rapid simulations of Earth-emitted radiance and Jacobians under various sky conditions and geometries, covering the spectral range of 3-100μm. Successfully utilized in δ-IASI, the advanced Optimal Estimation tool tailored for the IASI MetOp interferometer, its extension to the Far Infrared (FIR) holds significance for the ESA Earth Explorer FORUM mission, necessitating precise cloud radiative effect treatment, crucial in regions with dense clouds and temperature gradients. The model's update, incorporating the "linear-in-T" correction, addresses these challenges, complementing the "linear-in-tau" approach. Demonstrations highlight its effectiveness in simulating cloud complexities, with the integration of the "linear-in-T" and Tang correction for the computation of cloud radiative effects. The results presented will show that the updated σ-IASI/F2N can treat the overall complexity of clouds effectively and completely, at the same time minimizing biases.

Exploiting the Infrared Atmospheric Sounder Interferometer (IASI) profiling capability for surface parameters, atmospheric temperature, and water vapour we have designed a new Water Deficit Index (wdi) to monitor drought and heatwaves. Because of climate change at a global level, drought is becoming a strong emergency also in countries which never experienced it, such as the Mediterranean mid-latitude area and, in particular, Italy. The last two years strongly affected the northern part of Italy, i.e. the Po Valley, causing high vegetation and soil water stress. Satellite data can provide a large spatial coverage (locally and globally) as well as a continuous data supply and are an important help to ground monitoring stations, especially in remote regions with dense vegetation. In this paper, we used the wdi to investigate the 2022 intense drought over the Po Valley region. We integrated the study considering both the Surface Soil Moisture (SSM) from Copernicus Sentinel-1 C-SAR and the Normalized Difference Moisture Index (NDMI) from Sentinel-2 images. We also considered the Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC), the Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FAPAR) and the Leaf Area Index (LAI) data from the Drought & Vegetation Data Cube (D&V Data Cube) from the European Organization for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites - Satellite Application Facilities (EUMETSAT SAFs). Overall, we found that the wdi compares well to other indices related to vegetation stress and can be used as a tool for risk assessment of forest fires and agriculture productivity.