On 20 December 2021, after six quiet years, the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha’apai volcano erupted abruptly. Then, on 15 January 2022, the largest eruption produced a plume well registered from satellites and destroyed the volcanic cone previously formed in 2015, connecting the two islands. We applied a multi-parametric and multi-layer study to investigate all the possible pre-eruption signals and effects of this volcanic activity in the lithosphere, atmosphere, and ionosphere. We focused our attention on: (a) seismological features considering the eruption in terms of an earthquake with equivalent energy released in the lithosphere; (b) atmospheric parameters, such as skin and air temperature, outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), cloud cover, relative humidity from climatological datasets; (c) varying magnetic field and electron density observed by ground magnetometers and satellites, even if the event was in the recovery phase of an intense geomagnetic storm. We found different precursors of this unique event in the lithosphere, as well as the effects due to the propagation of acoustic gravity and pressure waves and magnetic and electromagnetic coupling in the form of signals detected by ground stations and satellite data. All these parameters and their detailed investigation confirm the lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling (LAIC) models introduced for natural hazards such as volcano eruptions and earthquakes.
CO2 is a widespread fluid naturally occurring within the Earth crust or injected in deep strata for technological issues such as Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS). At STP conditions, CO2 is a gas, with a net zero dipole moment. Growing pressures produce an increase in its density. The reduced intermolecular distance causes a variation in the molecular structure, due to the intensification of mutual interactions. Some published spot data reveal the departure from the planarity of the bond angle while others provide few values of the CO2 dipole moment. Based on a small amount of literature-measured angle values, it was possible first to extrapolate a correlation between bond angle and density (R2 = 0.879). By fixing the partial charges distribution, we present a simple model that allows the calculation of the CO2 dipole moment directly from the geometry of the molecule, in the range of 179–162 degrees, 1-degree step. Results give values up to about 1 D. Being aware that this model is qualitative, it gives, however, an explanation of the experimental reactivity, and it also provides a valid tool in identifying zones in the crust where these reactions are likely to occur efficiently. Finally, we hypothesise the role of dry CO2 in the carbonate formation through the interactions with the basalts.
On 6 February 2023, Turkey experienced its most powerful earthquake in over 80 years, with a moment magnitude (Mw) of 7.7. This was then followed by a second earthquake of Mw 7.6 just nine hours later. According to the lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling (LAIC) models, such a significant seismic activity is expected to cause anomalies across various observables, from the Earth’s surface to the ionosphere. This multidisciplinary study investigates the preparatory phase of these two major earthquakes by identifying potential precursors across the lithosphere, atmosphere, and ionosphere. Our comprehensive analysis successfully identified and collected various anomalies, revealing that their cumulative occurrence follows an accelerating trend, either exponential or power-law. Most anomalies appeared to progress from the lithosphere upward through the atmosphere to the ionosphere, suggesting a sequential chain of processes across these geospheres. Notably, some anomalies deviated from this overall trend, manifesting as oscillating variations. We propose that these anomalies support a two-way coupling model preceding major earthquakes, highlighting the potential role of fluid chemistry in facilitating these processes.
The role of water in the nucleation process of an earthquake and its contribution to the mainshock is ascertained by many models in its physical part, as a factor capable of altering the balance of pressures and thus influencing the effective pressure. Assuming that water is present at depth, starting from the observation of its molecular structure at various crustal pressure and temperature conditions, the present paper analyses water’s chemical role in relation with the rock matrix, and its response during microfracturing. The creation of a network of new void spaces produces a decrease of the water pressure. Water may respond at molecular scale differently, depending on its aggregation state. Effectively depressurisation has a limited influence on the liquid water, only if it does not cause the transition to the vapour phase. Conversely, depressurisation causes an instantaneous variation in the intermolecular structure of supercritical water (SCW). Specifically, the nearly total disappearance of its ionic characteristics: that means the severe drop of solubility constants. At the same time, the already low viscosity decreases too: SCW intrudes easily into new fissures. When the microcracks tend to close, SCW reacquires adequate ionic characteristics for the rise in density (isothermal pressurisation); hence, an intense water rock interaction starts with freshly opened surfaces. This process influences actively the subcritical crack growth too, again with differences between liquid and SCW: last one participates only when reacquires density. Summarising, it is likely that water plays a fundamental and active role in determining the rock weakening, once earthquake preparation process begin with the development of microcracks are forming, perhaps playing an active role in determining the main rupture. With different modalities according to its aggregation state.
Recent years have witnessed growing interest in CO2 and in the possibility of injecting it into the Earth’s crust for multiple purposes. In addition to the fact that pure CO2 is already present in some geological formations, the most debated is Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), which aims to capture and trap CO2 through water-assisted reactions that promote its precipitation; moreover, proposed technological improvements to geothermal plants foresee the use of pure CO2 as a working fluid and energy carrier for electricity generation in terms of MWh. These applications require detailed knowledge and a deep understanding of CO2 behaviour under non-standard conditions. Upon entering the Earth’s crust, CO2 is subjected to progressively increasing temperature and pressure. The resulting effects are not limited to a reduction in intermolecular distance; they also include changes in molecular geometry, as well as in chemical and thermodynamic behaviour. For instance, a dipole moment may arise even in the gaseous phase as intermolecular distances decrease. Moreover, CO2 typically reaches supercritical conditions at depths of approximately 700 m. It is therefore necessary to account for both phase transitions and variations in molecular structure, as these can significantly influence the surrounding environment and the stoichiometric relationships with other substances. In this work, a steady-state column was simulated, representing CO2 injection down to a depth of 5 km, assuming an average geothermal gradient of 30 °C/km and nine different initial pressures, so nine different steady state columns. The results highlight the presence of a wedge-shaped region acting as a barrier for stepwise-equilibrated CO2: the computed CO2 column profiles avoid this region. This wedge includes part of the liquid–gas boundary under subcritical conditions, as well as the Widom lines above the critical point. It effectively separates two supercritical regimes, namely gas-like and liquid-like domains. In this context, the present work provides insights into the Widom region—possibly extending into subcritical conditions—and into these two distinct regimes. This may have implications for the solvent capacity of CO2 for ionic species. Ultimately, the initial pressure appears to determine the behaviour of CO2 at depth.
This paper presents an analysis of anomalies detected during the preparatory phase of the 9 November 2022 ML = 5.7 earthquake, occurring approximately 30 km off the coast of the Marche region in the Adriatic Sea (Italy). It was the largest earthquake in Italy in the last 5 years. According to lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling (LAIC) models, such earthquake could induce anomalies in various observable variables, from the Earth’s surface to the ionosphere. Therefore, a multiparametric and multilayer approach based on ground and satellite data collected in each geolayer was adopted. This included the revised accelerated moment release method, the identification of anomalies in atmospheric parameters, such as Skin Temperature and Outgoing Longwave Radiation, and ionospheric signals, such as Es and F2 layer parameters from ionosonde measurements, magnetic field from Swarm satellites, and energetic electron precipitations from NOAA satellites. Several anomalies were detected in the days preceding the earthquake, revealing that their cumulative occurrence follows an exponential trend from the ground, progressing towards the upper atmosphere and the ionosphere. This progression of anomalies through different geolayers cannot simply be attributed to chance and is likely associated with the preparation phase of this earthquake, supporting the LAIC approach.