Forests are the largest terrestrial ecosystem carbon pool and provide the most important nature-based climate mitigation pathway. Compared with belowground biomass (BGB) and soil carbon, aboveground biomass (AGB) is more sensitive to human disturbance and climate change. Therefore, accurate forest AGB mapping will help us better assess the mitigation potential of forests against climate change. Here, we developed six models to estimate national forest AGB using six machine learning algorithms based on 52,415 spaceborne Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) footprints and 22 environmental features for China in 2007. The results showed that the ensemble model generated by the stacking algorithm performed best with a determination coefficient (R2) of 0.76 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 22.40 Mg/ha. The verifications at pixel level (R2 = 0.78, RMSE = 16.08 Mg/ha) and provincial level (R2 = 0.53, RMSE = 14.05 Mg/ha) indicated the accuracy of the estimated forest AGB map is satisfactory. The forest AGB density of China was estimated to be 53.16 ± 1.63 Mg/ha, with a total of 11.00 ± 0.34 Pg. Net primary productivity (NPP), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), enhanced vegetation index (EVI), average annual rainfall, and annual temperature anomaly are the five most important environmental factors for forest AGB estimation. The forest AGB map we produced is expected to reduce the uncertainty of forest carbon source and sink estimations.
8 July 2009 in Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
Research into pixel unmixing in remote sensing imagery led to the development of soft classification methods. In this article, we propose a possibilistic c repulsive medoids (PCRMdd) clustering algorithm which attempts to find c repulsive medoids as a minimal solution of a particular objective function. The PCRMdd algorithm is applied to predict the proportion of each land use class within a single pixel, and generate a set of endmember fraction images. The clustering results obtained on multi-temporal Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM)/Enhanced Thematic Mapper plus (ETM+) images of Shanghai city in China reveal the spatio-temporal pattern of Shanghai land use evolvement and urban land spatial sprawl in course of urbanization from 1989 to 2002. The spatial pattern of land use transformation with urban renewal and expansion indicates the urban land use structure is gradually optimized during vigorous urban renewal and large-scale development of Pudong area, which will have an active influence on improving urban space landscape and enhancing the quality of the ecological environment. In addition, accuracy analysis demonstrates that PCRMdd represents a robust and effective tool for mixed-pixel classification on remote sensing imagery to obtain reliable soft classification results and endmember spectral information in a noisy environment.
China’s university dormitories have high population densities, which can result in a large number of casualties because of crowding and stampedes during emergency evacuations. It is therefore important to plan properly for evacuations by mitigating the effect of choke points that create backlogs ahead of time. Accurate computer representations of the structure of a building and behavior of the evacuees are two important factors to obtain accurate evacuation time. In this paper, Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) and Building Information Modeling (BIM) are, respectively, implemented using the Unity platform to simulate the evacuation process. As a case study, the layout of a student dormitory building at Shanghai Normal University Xuhui District, Shanghai, China, is utilized along with the A* algorithm in Unity to explore the impact of evacuation speed and delays in creating choke points. Compared with previous research, the innovation of this study lies in: (1) using Unity software to make simulation of the physical environment both realistic and easy to implement, demonstrating Unity can be a well-developed platform to implement ABM-BIM research that focuses on crowd evacuation. (2) Using these simulations to evaluate different degrees of congestion caused by varying evacuation speeds, thus providing information about possible issues relating to evacuation efforts. Using the results, several recommended measures can be generated to help improve evacuation efficiency.
1 January 2021 in Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment