Characterizing the spatiotemporal evolution of creep is essential to constrain fault slip budget and understand creep mechanism. Studies based on interferometric synthetic aperture radar and Global Positioning System (GPS) satellite observations until 2012 have shown that the central segment of the 17 August 1999 Mw 7.4 Izmit earthquake on the North Anatolian Fault began slipping aseismically following the event. In the present study, we combine new interferometric synthetic aperture radar time series, based on TerraSAR‐X and Sentinel 1A/B radar images acquired over the period 2011–2017, with near‐field GPS measurement campaigns performed every 6 months from 2014 to 2016. The mean velocity fields reveal that creep on the central segment of the 1999 Izmit fault rupture continues to decay, more than 19 years after the earthquake, in overall agreement with models of postseismic afterslip decaying logarithmically with time for a long period of time. Along the fault section that experienced supershear velocity rupture during the Izmit earthquake creep continues with a rate up to ~ 8 mm/year. A significant transient accelerating creep is detected in December 2016 on the Sentinel‐1 time series, near the maximum creep rate location, associated with a total surface slip of 10 mm released in 1 month only. Additional analyses of the vertical velocity fields show a persistent subsidence on the hanging wall block of the Golcuk normal fault that also ruptured during the Izmit earthquake. Our results demonstrate that afterslip processes along the North Anatolian Fault east‐southeast of Istanbul are more complex than previously proposed as they vary spatiotemporally along the fault.
28 September 2021 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth
The East Anatolian Fault (EAF) is a left‐lateral transform fault accommodating the relative motion between the Anatolian and Arabian plates. On January 24, 2020, Mw6.8 Sivrice (Elazığ) earthquake is the largest event that occurred along the EAF since the nineteenth century. The earthquake provides a unique opportunity to capture a critical stage of the seismic cycle from the interseismic deformation to co‐seismic rupture. In this study, we examine the relationship between the interseismic fault activity and co‐seismic behavior of the earthquake. A kinematic model of the earthquake obtained from strong‐motion, GNSS and teleseismic waveforms along with static displacements from GNSS and InSAR data shows that the mainshock ruptured only 45 km of the 95 km long Sivrice‐Pütürge segment. Rupture initiated adjacent to the interseismically weakly coupled northeastern section and propagated unilaterally toward southwest with a rupture velocity of ∼2.5 km/s, stopping ∼30 km before the southwestern segment boundary. The earthquake did not generate any surface offsets. We identified 4 long‐term near‐repeating earthquake clusters beneath the highest co‐seismic slip zone adjacent to the northeastern creeping section. The mainshock was dynamically triggered by a M ∼ 5.4 foreshock located within the zone of near‐repeating earthquakes. We suggest that creep along the weakly coupled section of the fault loaded the neighboring locked section leading to the repeating earthquakes below the locked zone. The earthquake partially ruptured a fault segment characterized by high rate of diffuse seismicity, structural complexities and heterogeneous coupling, leading to a source characterized by a complex source time function with relatively slow rupture velocity.
The spatiotemporal pattern of surface displacements from large earthquakes provides crucial insights about the deformation of Earth’s crust at various scales and the interactions among tectonic plates. However, the lack of extensive and large-scale geodetic networks near such seismic events hinders our thorough understanding of the large-scale crustal deformation resulting from earthquakes. Using Türkiye’s extensive and continuous global navigation satellite system (GNSS) network during the moment magnitude 7.8 and 7.6 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes on 6 February 2023, we show that large earthquakes can induce far-field crustal deformations (>700 kilometers), exceeding current predictions from elastic dislocation models. They can lead to the mobilization of tectonic plates and the triggering of far-field earthquakes, which carries profound implications for seismic hazard assessments and necessitates a new perspective on crustal deformation and earthquake mechanics.
SUMMARY: The 2017 July 20, Mw6.6 Bodrum–Kos earthquake occurred in the Gulf of Gökova in the SE Aegean, a region characterized by N–S extension in the backarc of the easternmost Hellenic Trench. The dip direction of the fault that ruptured during the earthquake has been a matter of controversy where both north- and south-dipping fault planes were used to model the coseismic slip in previous studies. Here, we use seismic (seismicity, main shock modelling, aftershock relocations and aftershock mechanisms using regional body and surface waves), geodetic (GPS, InSAR) and structural observations to estimate the location, and the dip direction of the fault that ruptured during the 2017 earthquake, and the relationship of this event to regional tectonics. We consider both dip directions and systematically search for the best-fitting locations for the north- and south-dipping fault planes. Comparing the best-fitting planes for both dip directions in terms of their misfit to the geodetic data, proximity to the hypocenter location and Coulomb stress changes at the aftershock locations, we conclude that the 2017 earthquake ruptured a north-dipping fault. We find that the earthquake occurred on a 20–25 km long, ∼E–W striking, 40° north-dipping, pure normal fault with slip primarily confined between 3 and 15 km depth, and the largest slip exceeding 2 m between depths of 4 and 10 km. The coseismic fault, not mapped previously, projects to the surface within the western Gulf, and partly serves both to widen the Gulf and separate Kos Island from the Bodrum Peninsula of SW Anatolia. The coseismic fault may be an extension of a mapped, north-dipping normal fault along the south side of the Gulf of Gökova. While all of the larger aftershocks are consistent with N–S extension, their spatially dispersed pattern attests to the high degree of crustal fracturing within the basin, due to rapid trenchward extension and anticlockwise rotation within the southeastern Aegean.
19 November 2020 in Geophysical Journal International
In order to better assess earthquake hazards, it is vital to have a better understanding of the spatial and temporal characteristics of fault creep that occur on ruptured faults during the period following major earthquakes. Towards this end, we use new far-field GPS velocities from continuous stations (extending ∼50 − 70 km from the fault) and updated near-fault GPS survey observations, with high temporal and spatial density, to constrain active deformation along the Mw7.4, 1999 Izmit, Turkey Earthquake fault. We interpret and model deformation as resulting from postseismic afterslip on the coseismic fault. In the broadest sense, our results demonstrate that logarithmically decaying post-seismic afterslip continues at a significant level 20 years following 1999 Earthquake. Elastic models indicate substantially shallower apparent locking depths at present than prior to the 1999 Earthquake, consistent with continuing afterslip on the coseismic fault at depth. High-density, near-fault GPS observations indicate shallow creep on the upper 1-2 km of the coseismic fault, with variable rates, the highest and most clearly defined of which reach ∼12 mm/yr (10-15 mm/yr, 95% c.i.) near the epicenter between 2014-2016. This amounts to ∼half the long-term slip deficit rate.
17 August 2022 in Geophysical Journal International
SUMMARY: The Global Positioning System (GPS), although it has existed for only 30 years, is an important source for active tectonics, resulting in estimates of plate motions very close to geologic estimates over millions of years. GPS is also used for elastic block models to calculate slip rates for a better understanding of Earth’s active crustal deformation. GPS-derived velocity fields may be used as the basis for clustering analysis to create a preliminary definition of block geometry. In this study, we used published horizontal velocity fields to evaluate the effects of data dependences on determining the optimum number of clusters with algorithms. For this purpose, we used different variations of velocity fields in Turkey and tested four different algorithms that are Davies–Bouldin index, the elbow method, GAP statistics algorithm and the silhouette method. We also clustered velocity components with the k-means technique and compared the results with previous studies.