Estimating dam reservoir level is very important in terms of the operation of a dam, the safety of transport in the river, the design of hydraulic structures, and determining pollution, the salinity of the river flow fluctuations and the change of water quality in the dam reservoir. In this study, an adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS ), support vector machines (SVM), radial basis neural networks (RBNN) and generalized regression neural networks (GRNN) approaches were used for the prediction and estimation of daily reservoir levels of Millers Ferry Dam on the Alabama River in the USA. Particularly, the feasibility of ANFIS as a prediction model for the reservoir level has been investigated. The Millers Ferry Dam on the Alabama River in the USA was selected as a case study area to demonstrate the feasibility and capacity of ANFIS, SVM, RBNN, and GRNN. The model results are compared with conventional auto-regressive models (AR), auto-regressive moving average (ARMA), multi-linear regression (MLR) models, and artificial intelligence models for the best-input combinations. The comparison results show that ANFIS models give better results than classical and other artificial intelligence models in estimating reservoir level.
22 June 2020 in Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects
Solar energy has a key role in producing clean and emissions-free power compare to conventional methods. However, sustainable development also requires a reliable and predictable energy source. It also needs methods to measure and predict predictable supply. The main aim of the study is to improve reliable and precise solar radiation prediction models on monthly mean daily basis using various machine learning techniques. Simple Membership Function and Fuzzy Rule Generating Technique (SMGRT), which does not require error and trial for model adjustment, is the first-choice model in this study. Experience and observations about the model will greatly reduce the volume of processing for the fuzzy SMGRT model. On the other hand, Deep Learning (DL) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) have become increasingly popular in understanding nonlinear data structures and solving complex problems. Therefore, DL and ANFIS were also applied to estimate solar radiation. The data set used in the study were created using sunshine duration (s), extra-terrestrial solar radiation (H0), relative humidity (RH), cloudiness (C), air temperature (T) and soil temperature (ST) parameters. Estimation performance of models was evaluated by using several statistical indicators which are Mean Bias Error (MBE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Correlation Coefficient (R2). When the performances of the models were compared, it was seen that all three models obtained remarkable results. In addition, it was shown that the models performed well based on the metrics in the testing phase. The SMGRT model has slightly better performance than DL and ANFIS for different input combinations. SMGRT Model 1 (with inputs H0, s, and T) shows the best statistical performance (MBE = 0.156, MSE = 1.878, RMSE = 1.371, and R2 = 0.960) not only in SMGRT models but also in others.
Accurate determination of river flows and variations is used for the efficient use of water resources, the planning of construction of water structures, and preventing flood disasters. However, accurate flow prediction is related to a good understanding of the hydrological and meteorological characteristics of the river basin. In this study, flow in the river was estimated using Multi Linear Regression (MLR), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), M5 Decision Tree (M5T), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Mamdani-Fuzzy Logic (M-FL) and Simple Membership Functions and Fuzzy Rules Generation Technique (SMRGT) models. The Stilwater River in the Sterling region of the USA was selected as the study area and the data obtained from this region were used. Daily rainfall, river flow, and water temperature data were used as input data in all models. In the paper, the performance of the methods is evaluated based on the statistical approach. The results obtained from the generated models were compared with the recorded values. The correlation coefficient (R), Mean Square Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) statistics are computed separately for each model. According to the comparison criteria, as a final result, it is considered that Mamdani-Fuzzy Logic (M-FL) and Simple Membership Functions and Fuzzy Rules Generation Technique (SMRGT) model have better performance in river flow estimation than the other models.
In recent years, significant flood events have occurred in various parts of the world. The most important reasons for these events are global warming and consequent imbalances in climate and rainfall regimes. Many studies are performed to prevent the loss of life and property caused by floods. Many methods have been developed to predict future floods and possible affected areas. Developing computer and numerical calculation methods gives opportunities to make simulations of flood hazards. One of the affected areas, which is also one of the world’s first residential districts at Hatay in Turkey, is the Amik Plain. In this study, the floods on the Amik Plain in Hatay province are analyzed. Hatay airport was also affected during floods since 2012 and serious material damage occurred. For this purpose, Google Earth Pro software was used to obtain maps of the basin where the airport is located and the rivers it contains. Afterwards, Hydrologic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System module (HEC-RAS) was used for the hydraulic and hydrological definitions of the river basin. The results of numerical models are presented as simulated maps.
This article presents a three-dimensional CFD model and OpenCV code by comparing the flow over the spillway with the experimental data for use in spillway studies. A 1/200-scale experimental model of a real dam spillway was created according to Froude similarity. In the experimental studies, velocity and water depth were measured in four different sections determined in the spillway model. A three-dimensional ANSYS Fluent model of the spillway was created and the simulations of the flows occurring during the flood were obtained. In the numerical model, the two-phase VOF model and k-epsilon turbulence model are used. As a result of the numerical analysis, velocity, depth, pressure, and cavitation index values were examined. The velocity and depth values obtained with models were compared and a good agreement was found between the results. In addition, in this study, a different technique based on image processing is developed to calculate water velocity and depth. A floating object was placed in the spillway channel during the experiment and the movement of the object on the water was recorded with cameras placed at different angles. By using the object tracking method, which is an image processing technique, the position of the floating object was determined in each video frame in the video recordings. Based on this position, the velocity of the floating object and its perpendicular distance to the bottom of the channel was determined. Thus, an OpenCV-Python code has been developed that determines the velocity and water depth of the floating object depending on its position. The floating object velocity values obtained by the algorithm were compared with the velocity values measured during the experimental model, and new velocity correction coefficients were obtained for the chute spillways.