Interventional trials that evaluate treatment effects using surrogate endpoints have become increasingly common. This paper describes four linked empirical studies and the development of a framework for defining, interpreting and reporting surrogate endpoints in trials. As part of developing the CONSORT (Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials) and SPIRIT (Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials) extensions for randomised trials reporting surrogate endpoints, we undertook a scoping review, e-Delphi study, consensus meeting, and a web survey to examine current definitions and stakeholder (including clinicians, trial investigators, patients and public partners, journal editors, and health technology experts) interpretations of surrogate endpoints as primary outcome measures in trials. Current surrogate endpoint definitional frameworks are inconsistent and unclear. Surrogate endpoints are used in trials as a substitute of the treatment effects of an intervention on the target outcome(s) of ultimate interest, events measuring how patients feel, function, or survive. Traditionally the consideration of surrogate endpoints in trials has focused on biomarkers (e.g., HDL cholesterol, blood pressure, tumour response), especially in the medical product regulatory setting. Nevertheless, the concept of surrogacy in trials is potentially broader. Intermediate outcomes that include a measure of function or symptoms (e.g., angina frequency, exercise tolerance) can also be used as substitute for target outcomes (e.g., all-cause mortality)—thereby acting as surrogate endpoints. However, we found a lack of consensus among stakeholders on accepting and interpreting intermediate outcomes in trials as surrogate endpoints or target outcomes. In our assessment, patients and health technology assessment experts appeared more likely to consider intermediate outcomes to be surrogate endpoints than clinicians and regulators. There is an urgent need for better understanding and reporting on the use of surrogate endpoints, especially in the setting of interventional trials. We provide a framework for the definition of surrogate endpoints (biomarkers and intermediate outcomes) and target outcomes in trials to improve future reporting and aid stakeholders' interpretation and use of trial surrogate endpoint evidence. SPIRIT-SURROGATE/CONSORT-SURROGATE project is Medical Research Council Better Research Better Health (MR/V038400/1) funded.

Papillary fibroelastomas are rare benign cardiac tumors. Although they have minimal hemodynamic effects, their propensity for embolization can result in serious morbidity. The pathophysiology and management of these tumors is the subject of this review.

Clinically available prosthetic heart valves are life-saving, but imperfect: mechanical valves requiring anticoagulation therapy, whilst bioprosthetic valves have limited durability. Polymer valves offer the prospect of good durability without the need for anticoagulation. We report the design and development of a polymeric heart valve, its bench-testing at ISO standards, and preliminary extra-vivo and in vivo short-term feasibility. Prototypes were manufactured by injection moulding of styrenic block copolymers to achieve anisotropic mechanical properties. Design was by finite element stress–strain modelling, which has been reported previously, combined with feedback from bench and surgery-based testing using various combinations of materials, valve geometry and processing conditions. Bench testing was according to ISO 5840:2015 standards using an in vitro cardiovascular hydrodynamic testing system and an accelerated fatigue tester. Bench comparisons were made with a best-in-class bio-prosthesis. Preliminary clinical feasibility evaluations included extra-vivo and short-term (1–24 hours) in vivo testing in a sheep model. The optimised final prototype met the requirements of ISO standards with hydrodynamic performance equivalent to the best-in-class bioprosthesis. Bench durability of greater than 1.2 billion cycles (30 years equivalent) was achieved (still ongoing). Extra-vivo sequential testing (n = 8) allowed refinement of external diameter, 3D shape, a low profile, flexibility, suturability, and testing of compatibility to magnetic resonance imaging and clinical sterilisation. In vivo short-term (1–24 hours) feasibility (n = 3) confirmed good suturability, no mechanical failure, no trans-valvular regurgitation, competitive trans-valvular gradients, and good biocompatibility at histopathology. We have developed and tested at ISO standards a novel prosthetic heart valve featuring competitive bench-based hydrodynamics and durability, well beyond the ISO requirements and comparable to a best-in-class bioprosthesis. In vivo short-term feasibility testing confirmed preliminary safety, functionality and biocompatibility, supporting progression to a long-term efficacy trial.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) after cardiac surgery is associated with increased mortality, morbidity, and expenditure. Controversial data exist on possible preventive effects of n-3 polyunsatured fatty acids (PUFAs) against postoperative AF. We investigated whether preoperative PUFA therapy is effective in reducing AF after cardiac surgery during the surgical hospitalization and/or the cardiac rehabilitation period. Methods: Over a 4-year period, 530 patients (363 men, 68.5%) with a mean age of 66.4 ± 10.9 years, undergoing cardiac surgery were monitored for ‘‘early AF’’ and ‘‘late AF’’ defined as AF documented in the surgical department or during the rehabilitation program, respectively. Results: The overall incidence of early AF in the whole study sample was 44.7%, whereas late AF occurred in 14.7% patients. Patients with AF had a longer length of hospital and rehabilitation stay (10.4 ± 9.8 vs 9.5 ± 9.2 days, P = .025 and 24.2 ± 15.3 vs 21.1 ± 8.3 days, P = .008, respectively). Early AF occurred in 31.0% of the patients with preoperative PUFAs compared with 47.3% of those without them (P = .006). Conversely, late AF was not influenced by preoperative PUFA regimen (11.9% vs 15.2%, P = .43). Preoperative PUFAs were independently associated with a 46% reduction in risk of early AF development (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.31-0.92), after propensity score analysis. Conclusion: Preoperative PUFA therapy is associated with a decreased incidence of early AF after cardiac surgery but not late AF. Patients undergoing cardiac surgery may benefit from a preventive PUFA approach.

An increasing number of octogenarians are referred to undergo mitral valve surgery for degenerative disease, and percutaneous approaches are being increasingly used in this subgroup of patients. We sought to determine the survival and its predictors after Mitral Valve Surgery in Octogenarians (MiSO) in a multicenter UK study of high-volume specialized centers. Pooled data from 3 centers were collected retrospectively. To identify the predictors of short-term composite outcome of 30 days mortality, acute kidney injury, and cerebrovascular accident, a multivariable logistic regression model was developed. Multiple Cox regression analysis was performed for late mortality. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated for long-term survival in various subsets of patients. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was done to determine the predictive power of the logistic European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation. A total of 247 patients were included in the study. The median follow-up was 2.9 years (minimum 0, maximum 14 years). A total of 150 patients (60.7%) underwent mitral valve repair, and 97 patients (39.3%) underwent mitral valve replacement. Apart from redo cardiac surgery (mitral valve repair 6 [4%] vs mitral valve replacement 11 [11.3%], P = .04) and preoperative atrial fibrillation (mitral valve repair 79 [52.6%] vs mitral valve replacement 34 [35.1%], P < .01), there was no significant difference in terms of any other preoperative characteristics between the 2 groups. Patient operative risk, as estimated by logistic European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation, was lower in the mitral valve repair group (10.2 ± 11.8 vs 13.7 ± 15.2 in mitral valve replacement; P = .07). No difference was found between groups for duration of cardiopulmonary bypass and aortic crossclamp times. The 30-day mortality for the whole cohort was 13.8% (mitral valve repair 4.7% vs mitral valve replacement 18.6%; P < .01). No differences were found in terms of postoperative cerebrovascular accident (2% vs 3.1%; P = .9), acute kidney injury requiring dialysis (6.7% vs 13.4%; P = .12), and superficial or deep sternal wound infection (10% vs 16.5%, P = .17; 2% vs 3.1%, P = .67, respectively). The final multiple regression model for short-term composite outcome included previous cardiac surgery (odds ratio [OR], 4.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37-17.46; P = .02), intra-aortic balloon pump use (OR, 4.77; 95% CI, 1.67-15.79; P < .01), and mitral valve replacement (OR, 7.7; 95% CI, 4.04-14.9; P < .01). Overall survival for the entire cohort at 1, 5, and 10 years was 82.4%, 63.7%, and 45.5% (mitral valve repair vs mitral valve replacement: 89.9% vs 70.7% at 1 year, 69.6% vs 54% at 5 years, and 51.8% vs 35.5% at 10 years; P = .0005). Cox proportional hazard model results showed mitral valve replacement (hazard ratio, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.22-2.89; P < .01) and intra-aortic balloon pump use (hazard ratio, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.26-5.13; P < .01) to be independent predictor factors affecting long-term survival. Logistic European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation did not perform well in predicting early mortality (area under the curve, 0.57%). In octogenarians, mitral valve repair for degenerative disease is associated with good survival and remains the gold standard, whereas mitral valve replacement is still associated with significant mortality. Logistic European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation was unable to predict early mortality in our cohort of patients. Larger international multicenter registries are required to optimize the decision-making process in such a high-risk subgroup.