We introduce a Feasible Artificial Intelligence with Simple Trajectories for Predicting Adverse Catastrophic Events (FAST-PACE) solution for preparing immediate intervention in emergency situations. FAST-PACE utilizes a concise set of collected features to construct an artificial intelligence model that predicts the onset of cardiac arrest or acute respiratory failure from 1 h to 6 h prior to its occurrence. Data from the trajectory of 29,181 patients in intensive care units of two hospitals includes periodic vital signs, a history of treatment, current health status, and recent surgery. It excludes the results of laboratory data to construct a feasible application in wards, out-hospital emergency care, emergency transport, or other clinical situations where instant medical decisions are required with restricted patient data. These results are superior to previous warning scores including the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and the National Early Warning Score (NEWS). The primary outcome was the feasibility of an artificial intelligence (AI) model predicting adverse events 1 h to 6 h prior to occurrence without lab data; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of this model was 0.886 for cardiac arrest and 0.869 for respiratory failure 6 h before occurrence. The secondary outcome was the superior prediction performance to MEWS (net reclassification improvement of 0.507 for predicting cardiac arrest and 0.341 for predicting respiratory failure) and NEWS (net reclassification improvement of 0.412 for predicting cardiac arrest and 0.215 for predicting respiratory failure) 6 h before occurrence. This study suggests that AI consisting of simple vital signs and a brief interview could predict a cardiac arrest or acute respiratory failure 6 h earlier.

Background: Subtle abnormal motor signs are indications of serious neurological diseases. Although neurological deficits require fast initiation of treatment in a restricted time, it is difficult for nonspecialists to detect and objectively assess the symptoms. In the clinical environment, diagnoses and decisions are based on clinical grading methods, including the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score or the Medical Research Council (MRC) score, which have been used to measure motor weakness. Objective grading in various environments is necessitated for consistent agreement among patients, caregivers, paramedics, and medical staff to facilitate rapid diagnoses and dispatches to appropriate medical centers. Objective: In this study, we aimed to develop an autonomous grading system for stroke patients. We investigated the feasibility of our new system to assess motor weakness and grade NIHSS and MRC scores of 4 limbs, similar to the clinical examinations performed by medical staff. Methods: We implemented an automatic grading system composed of a measuring unit with wearable sensors and a grading unit with optimized machine learning. Inertial sensors were attached to measure subtle weaknesses caused by paralysis of upper and lower limbs. We collected 60 instances of data with kinematic features of motor disorders from neurological examination and demographic information of stroke patients with NIHSS 0 or 1 and MRC 7, 8, or 9 grades in a stroke unit. Training data with 240 instances were generated using a synthetic minority oversampling technique to complement the imbalanced number of data between classes and low number of training data. We trained 2 representative machine learning algorithms, an ensemble and a support vector machine (SVM), to implement auto-NIHSS and auto-MRC grading. The optimized algorithms performed a 5-fold cross-validation and were searched by Bayes optimization in 30 trials. The trained model was tested with the 60 original hold-out instances for performance evaluation in accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). Results: The proposed system can grade NIHSS scores with an accuracy of 83.3% and an AUC of 0.912 using an optimized ensemble algorithm, and it can grade with an accuracy of 80.0% and an AUC of 0.860 using an optimized SVM algorithm. The auto-MRC grading achieved an accuracy of 76.7% and a mean AUC of 0.870 in SVM classification and an accuracy of 78.3% and a mean AUC of 0.877 in ensemble classification. Conclusions: The automatic grading system quantifies proximal weakness in real time and assesses symptoms through automatic grading. The pilot outcomes demonstrated the feasibility of remote monitoring of motor weakness caused by stroke. The system can facilitate consistent grading with instant assessment and expedite dispatches to appropriate hospitals and treatment initiation by sharing auto-MRC and auto-NIHSS scores between prehospital and hospital responses as an objective observation.

Background and Objectives: A machine learning technique for identifying hidden coronary artery disease (CAD) might be useful. We developed and validated machine learning models to predict patients with hidden CAD and assess long-term outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Methods: Multidetector coronary computed tomography was performed for patients without known history of CAD. Primary outcomes were defined as having any degree of CAD and having obstructive CAD (≥50% stenosis). Demographic variables, risk factors, laboratory results, Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) classification, NIH Stroke Scale score, blood pressure, and carotid artery stenosis were used to develop and validate machine learning models to predict CAD. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) was calculated for performance analysis, and Kaplan–Meier and Cox survival analyses of long-term outcomes were performed. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were defined as ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, urgent coronary revascularization, and cardiovascular mortality. Results: Overall, 1,710 patients were included for the training dataset and 348 patients for the validation dataset. An Extreme Gradient Boosting model was developed to predict any degree of CAD, which showed an AUC of 0.763 (95% CI 0.711–0.814) on validation. A logistic regression model was used to predict obstructive CAD and had an AUC of 0.714 (95% CI 0.692–0.799). During the first 5 years of follow-up, MACE occurred more frequently when predicted of any CAD (P = 0.022) or obstructive CAD (P < 0.001). Cox proportional analysis showed that the hazard ratio of MACE was 1.5 (95% CI 1.1–2.2; P = 0.016) when predicted of any CAD, whereas it was 1.9 (95% CI 1.3–2.6; P < 0.001) for obstructive CAD. Discussion: We demonstrated that machine learning may help identify hidden CAD in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Long-term outcomes were also associated with prediction results. Classification of Evidence: This study provides Class II evidence that in patients with acute ischemic stroke with CAD risk factors but no known history of CAD, a machine learning model predicts CAD on multidetector coronary computed tomography with an AUC of 0.763 (95% CI 0.711-0.814).

Journal of Medical Internet Research - International Scientific Journal for Medical Research, Information and Communication on the Internet

Emergency medical service (EMS) occurs in a high-pressure and error-prone environment, where paramedics must provide prompt decisions in care while recording information with limited time, incomplete data, restricted resources, and competing priorities. The EMS requires cooperative workflows between patients or caregivers, paramedics and medical centers in the community. In a conventional EMS, they have difficulties in obtaining causes of emergencies and personal medical histories, which are important for a rapid and proper response. We analyzed the requirement of a smart EMS (SEMS) system and derived the key components in connected care environments leveraging information and communication technology. A survey of paramedics (n=113) revealed that a SEMS system using IoT technology should integrate personal lifelogs, electronic medical records, and patient monitoring in ambulances into pre-hospital care recording systems. It also addressed context-awareness in the EMS accelerates first responder's activities, while supporting personalized care not only at the scene of the emergency but also during the entire hospital stay. Based on requirement analysis, we designed and implemented SEMS using health information standards to provide interoperability between devices and systems. As an application of SEMS, an example service is introduced: lifelog-connected EMS for stroke patients with a real-time location service for managing timeline of treatment.

Summary: Background: Alcohol ingestion influences sensory-motor function and the overall well-being of individuals. Detecting alcoholinduced impairments in gait in daily life necessitates a continuous and unobtrusive gait monitoring system.Objectives: This paper introduces the development and use of a non-intrusive monitoring system to detect changes in gait induced by alcohol intoxication.Methods: The proposed system employed a pair of sensorized smart shoes that are equipped with pressure sensors on the insole. Gait features were extracted and adjusted based on individual’s gait profile. The adjusted gait features were used to train a machine learning classifier to discriminate alcohol-impaired gait from normal walking. In experiment of pilot study, twenty participants completed walking trials on a 12 meter walkway to measure their sober walking and alcohol-impaired walking using smart shoes.Results: The proposed system can detect alcohol-impaired gait with an accuracy of 86.2% when pressure value analysis and person-dependent model for the classifier are applied, while statistical analysis revealed that no single feature was discriminative for the detection of gait impairment.Conclusions: Alcohol-induced gait disturbances can be detected with smart shoe technology for an automated monitoring in ubiquitous environment. We demonstrated that personal monitoring and machine learning-based prediction could be customized to detect individual variation rather than applying uniform boundary parameters of gait.