Climate change exerts substantial impacts on human society and the carbon cycle of terrestrial ecosystems. Studying the spatiotemporal characteristics of regional climate change and its impact on carbon sequestration is an important topic in ecology and environmental science. This study utilized meteorological and land use/cover data to explore these dynamics. Statistical methods such as the Mann–Kendall (M-K) test and wavelet analysis were used to simulate the changes in annual average temperature and precipitation in the Poyang Lake Basin from 1980 to 2020. The Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model was used to estimate the interannual variation in net primary productivity (NPP) in the region over the past 40 years. Additionally, the present study examined the influence of various factors on NPP changes. The main results are as follows: (1) Over the past four decades, the average temperature in the Poyang Lake Basin was 17.85 °C, while the average precipitation was 1621.35 mm. The average annual temperature rises at a rate of 0.27 °C per decade. (2) A significant shift in the average annual temperature occurred in the early 21st century, and annual precipitation exhibited multiple abrupt changes during the mid-to-late 1990s. Both temperature and precipitation changes follow a 25-year cycle, with temperature hotspots located in the south and precipitation hotspots in the northeast. (3) The impact of climate change on the change in NPP in the Poyang Lake Basin is about 70%, with the annual average temperature having a significant effect on the increase in NPP. This study can provide a scientific foundation for formulating policies aimed at mitigating climate-related disasters and enhancing carbon cycling in terrestrial ecosystems.

Forests are one of the largest terrestrial ecosystems on Earth, absorbing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere through photosynthesis and storing it as organic carbon, thereby mitigating global warming. Conducting bibliometric analysis of forest carbon storage can identify current research trends and hot issues in this field, providing data support for researchers and policy makers. This review article provides a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of global forest carbon storage research, using databases from the Web of Science Core Collection. CiteSpace software (6.2.6 version) was employed to visualize and analyze the data, focusing on key researchers, institutions, and countries, as well as major research themes and emerging trends. The main findings are as follows: (1) Since the 21st century, the publication volume in this field has been increasing, with the United States and China being the top contributors. (2) There is active collaboration among key authors, institutions, and countries, with a notable close-knit network centered around French author Philippe Ciais. This group includes nearly half of the field’s authors and many of them are crucial for advancing research in this field. (3) Cluster and citation burst analyses suggest that future research will focus more on the impact of forest management policies on carbon stocks, with particular attention to the roles of northern temperate forests and mangroves in global carbon storage. These findings provide valuable insights into the current state and future directions of forest carbon storage research. This article is instrumental in elucidating the role of forest ecosystems within the global carbon cycle, evaluating the impacts of anthropogenic activities on forest carbon stocks, and informing the development of effective climate change mitigation strategies.

Compound climate events often pose greater harm to humans and society than single-variable climate issues. This study projects the temporal changes and spatial pattern evolution of four compound climate events (including warm–wet, warm–dry, cold–wet, and cold–dry) and the corresponding population exposure in global land under the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 2–4.5 based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 simulations. Results show the following: (1) The warm–wet event is significantly decreasing at a rate of 0.06 days per decade, while the cold–wet event is significantly increasing at a rate of 0.06 days per decade. The warm–dry event and cold–dry event show an upward trend but are not significant. (2) All four types of compound events will undergo mutations in the next 80 years, with the warm–dry event having the highest frequency of mutations. (3) West Asia is a high-risk area for warm–dry and cold–wet events. Northern Africa is a hot spot area for the warm–wet event, while Brazil is a hot spot area for the cold–dry event. (4) Areas with exposure levels (population under four compound climate events) of medium or higher are mainly distributed in East Asia, South Asia, and central Africa. When the population exposure exceeds 10⁵ person · day, the area of population exposure to compound events related to dry conditions is greater than that of compound events related to wet conditions. This study has guiding significance for understanding, identifying, analyzing, and preventing compound extreme climate events in the context of global warming.

In the context of achieving global carbon neutrality, forests play a pivotal role in sequestering atmospheric CO₂, particularly in China, where forest management is central to national climate strategies. This study evaluates the forest carbon sink capacity in Zixi County, a subtropical region, under varying climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). Using the Forest-DNDC (Denitrification–Decomposition) model, combined with high-precision climate data and a random forest model, we simulate forest carbon density and forest carbon sink under different management strategies. The results indicate that under the baseline scenario, forest carbon density in Zixi County increases by 31% over 42 years under the SSP2-4.5 climate scenario and by 28.6% under SSP5-8.5. In the enhancing economic scenario, carbon density increases by 8.5% under SSP2-4.5 and by 7.2% under SSP5-8.5. For the natural development scenario, a significant increase of 130% is observed under SSP2-4.5, while SSP5-8.5 shows an increase of 120%. Spatially, forest carbon sinks in Zixi County total 843,152 T C in 2020, 542,852 T C in 2030, and 877,802 T C in 2060 under the baseline SSP2-4.5 scenario; under SSP5-8.5, these values are 841,321 T C in 2020, 531,301 T C in 2030, and 1,016,402 T C in 2060. In the enhancing economic scenario, the total carbon sink is 34,650 T C in both 2020 and 2030, increasing to 427,351 T C in 2060 under SSP2-4.5, while under SSP5-8.5, it is 46,200 T C in 2020, 34,650 T C in 2030, and 415,801 T C in 2060. The natural development scenario shows the total carbon sink under SSP2-4.5 as 11,157,332 T C in 2020, 3,441,910 T C in 2030, and 1,409,104 T C in 2060, and under SSP5-8.5, it is 10,903,231 T C in 2020, 3,337,960 T C in 2030, and 1,131,903 T C in 2060. Spatial analysis reveals that elevation and forest type significantly affect carbon density, with high-altitude areas and forests dominated by Chinese fir and broadleaf species showing higher carbon accumulation. The findings highlight the importance of targeted forest management, prioritizing species with higher carbon sequestration potential and considering spatial heterogeneity. These strategies, applied locally, can contribute to broader national and global carbon neutrality efforts.