Rafael Morais

Dr. Rafael Morais

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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10 August 2023 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
ENErika Carvalho Nogueira
Erika Carvalho Nogueira
RMRafael Morais
Rafael Morais
Amaro PereiraAmaro Pereira
Amaro Pereira
Renewable sources stand out in energy planning due to their contribution to greenhouse gas emission reduction when displacing fossil fuels and the enhancement of energy security through the diversification of the energy matrix. Understanding and optimizing the complementary operative synergy between different energy sources over time and space leads to efficient policies. This article uses an hourly Pearson’s correlation coefficient to explore the complementarity between offshore wind and other power generation sources in the Brazilian matrix. An analysis of offshore wind power feasibility in the Brazilian power system will be conducted, considering environmental implications, synergies with the oil industry, costs, and complementarities with other energy sources. The methodology uses an optimization model to minimize costs and optimize the production mix while considering the time series of renewable energy, subject to demand constraints, renewable resource availability, reservoir storage, capacity limitations, and thermal generation. The study concludes that the northeast and southeast electrical subsystems must start offshore wind installation in Brazil due to their complementarity with hydropower production, synergy with the oil and gas industry, and proximity to the largest consumption spots.

22 June 2022 in Energy Storage
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
RMRafael Morais
Rafael Morais
MLMariana Padilha Campos Lopes
Mariana Padilha Campos Lopes
MBMarlon Max H. Bellido
Marlon Max H. Bellido
Amaro PereiraAmaro Pereira
Amaro Pereira
DBDavid Alves Castelo Branco
David Alves Castelo Branco

10 January 2023 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Amaro PereiraAmaro Pereira
Amaro Pereira
RMRafael Morais
Rafael Morais
Bruno S. L. CunhaBruno S. L. Cunha
Bruno S. L. Cunha
MGMaria Bernadete Gomes Pereira Sarmiento Gutierrez
Maria Bernadete Gomes Pereira Sarmiento Gutierrez
MMMARIO JORGE CARDOSO DE MENDONCA
MARIO JORGE CARDOSO DE MENDONCA
Conventional economic theory indicates that the free market contributes to allocative efficiency. However, specific energy markets present network industry characteristics which distance them from perfect competition. These markets, therefore, need effective regulation. The liberalizing reforms which took place in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and emerging countries from the 1990s onwards have reduced the share of state ownership in the energy sector, but not its functions of regulation, coordination and planning. It is also worth noting the expansion of the government’s agenda due to the energy transition that has unequivocally imposed itself in the 21st century. This article uses the Slacks-Based Measure of the Data Envelopment Analysis (SBM-DEA) methodology to investigate the relationship between market liberalization and sustainability in a low-carbon energy transition context. Taking the cases of the natural gas and electricity markets, we verify whether liberalization contributes to the progress of the energy transition, driven by the emergency need to tackle climate change. The results show that the most advanced markets, in their processes of opening up, tend to be positively associated with a more vigorous energy transition. European nations, such as the United Kingdom and Norway, have experienced a relatively more advanced market liberalization leading to an efficient path toward energy transition. Chile, Canada and Colombia also have efficient scores regarding their energy transitions. For low performing countries, such as Brazil, the study suggests some calls for action that should be pursued to improve their energy market indicators, resulting in a stronger energy transition towards renewables, more competitive energy prices and a larger participation of natural gas in the energy mix, which will contribute to decreasing its external dependency.

21 March 2025 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
PCPedro Vardiero Corrêa
Pedro Vardiero Corrêa
Amaro PereiraAmaro Pereira
Amaro Pereira
FDFabio A. Diuana
Fabio A. Diuana
RMRafael Morais
Rafael Morais
The increasing integration of variable renewable energy sources (VRESs) into modern power systems presents significant challenges in ensuring operational flexibility, highlighting the need for robust methodologies to evaluate and ensure system reliability. The Insufficient Ramping Resource Expectation (IRRE) has emerged as a critical metric for quantifying the probability of ramping deficiencies in power systems. However, its traditional application, designed primarily for capacity-constrained systems, may not fully capture the operational dynamics of energy-constrained systems, such as those dominated by hydropower generation. This study analyzes the IRRE methodology and proposes enhancements to incorporate additional constraints, including seasonal and monthly hydrological variability and operational reserve requirements, to better reflect the flexibility limitations in energy-constrained systems. A case study of the Brazilian electricity system evaluates these modifications by comparing traditional and enhanced IRRE results across varying scenarios, including higher VRES penetration. Results reveal that, under stricter constraints, IRRE values increased by over 11 times for monthly hydrological limits in the Northeast subsystem, compared to the traditional IRRE. Additionally, combining these constraints with a 5% operational reserve requirement led to ramping deficits in up to 5% of the hours in a year for the same subsystem, highlighting the critical impact of operational constraints. Furthermore, scenarios with 30% and 100% VRES growth resulted in deficits increasing by 56 times and 418 occurrences, respectively, in certain subsystems. These findings demonstrate the enhanced IRRE’s effectiveness in evaluating flexibility challenges and its relevance for supporting planning and operational strategies in systems undergoing rapid renewable energy expansion.

3 September 2024
Verified
Book Chapter
Closed access
PDF file
JFJoice Figueiredo
Joice Figueiredo
SKSolange Kileber
Solange Kileber
LFLeonardo Campos Filho
Leonardo Campos Filho
RMRafael Morais
Rafael Morais
ENErika Carvalho Nogueira
Erika Carvalho Nogueira
BMBianca Morais
Bianca Morais

3 February 2025 in Preprints.org
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
PCPedro Vardiero Corrêa
Pedro Vardiero Corrêa
Amaro PereiraAmaro Pereira
Amaro Pereira
FDFabio A. Diuana
Fabio A. Diuana
RMRafael Morais
Rafael Morais
The increasing integration of variable renewable energy sources (VRES) into modern power systems presents significant challenges in ensuring operational flexibility, highlighting the need for robust methodologies to evaluate and ensure system reliability. The Insufficient Ramping Resource Expectation (IRRE) has emerged as a critical metric for quantifying the probability of ramping deficiencies in power systems. However, its traditional application, designed primarily for capacity-constrained systems, may not fully capture the operational dynamics of energy-constrained systems, such as those dominated by hydropower generation. This study critically reviews the IRRE methodology and proposes enhancements to incorporate additional constraints, including seasonal and monthly hydrological variability and operational reserve requirements, to better reflect the flexibility limitations in energy-constrained systems. A case study of the Brazilian electricity system evaluates these modifications by comparing traditional and enhanced IRRE results across varying scenarios, including higher VRES penetration. The findings reveal significant increases in ramping insufficiencies when additional constraints are considered, particularly in subsystems with constrained hydropower resources. By integrating more realistic and specific operational constraints, this study advances IRRE's applicability as a planning tool and to guide policy decisions, ensuring enhanced system reliability in the face of escalating renewable energy integration specially into energy-constrained systems.