Credit risk analysis (CRA) quantum algorithms aim at providing a quadratic speedup over classical analogous methods. Despite this, experts in the business domain have identified significant limitations in the existing approaches. Thus, we proposed a new variant of the CRA quantum algorithm to address these limitations. In particular, we improved the risk model for each asset in a portfolio by enabling it to consider multiple systemic risk factors, resulting in a more realistic and complex model for each asset’s default probability. Additionally, we increased the flexibility of the loss-given-default input by removing the constraint of using only integer values, enabling the use of real data from the financial sector to establish fair benchmarking protocols. Furthermore, all proposed enhancements were tested both through classical simulation of quantum hardware and, for this new version of our work, also using QPUs from IBM Quantum Experience in order to provide a baseline for future research. Our proposed variant of the CRA quantum algorithm addresses the significant limitations of the current approach and highlights an increased cost in terms of circuit depth and width. In addition, it provides a path to a substantially more realistic software solution. Indeed, as quantum technology progresses, the proposed improvements will enable meaningful scales and useful results for the financial sector.

Quantum Computing (QC) promises to revolutionize the computing domain with its ability to outperform classical computing in various applications. This article explores the potential of QC and its impact on the financial industry, among other domains. It focuses on the Quantum Competence Center at Intesa Sanpaolo, the largest bank in Italy. The Quantum Competence Center aims at leveraging quantum technologies to drive innovation and enhance banking and financial services. This article discusses the establishment of this corporate entity, its objectives, collaborations with academic institutions and quantum providers, workforce development initiatives, future perspectives, and the challenge of integrating quantum computing into the bank's operational workflow.

Quanvolutional Neural Networks (QNNs) have been successful in image classification, exploiting inherent quantum capabilities to improve performance of the traditional convolution. Unfortunately, the qubit's reliability can be a significant issue for QNNs inference, since its logical state can be altered by both intrinsic noise and by the interaction with natural radiation. In this paper we aim at investigating the propagation of logical-shift errors (i.e. the unexpected modification of the qubit state) in QNNs. We propose a bottom-up evaluation reporting data from 13,322,547,200 logical-shift injections. We characterize the error propagation in the quantum circuit implementing a single convolution and then in various designs of the same QNN, varying the dataset and the network depth. We track the logical-shift error propagation through the qubits, channels, and subgrids identifying the faults that are more likely to cause misclassifications. We found that up to 10% of the injections in the quanvolutional layer cause misclassification and even logical-shifts of small magnitude can be sufficient to disturb the network functionality. Our detailed analysis shows that corruptions in the qubits' state that alter their probability amplitude are more critical than the ones altering their phase, that some object classes are more likely than others to be corrupted, that the criticality of subgrids depends on the dataset, and that the control qubits, once corrupted, are more likely to modify the QNN output than the target qubits.

This work introduces a novel approach to price rainbow options, a type of path-independent multi-asset derivatives, with quantum computers. Leveraging the Iterative Quantum Amplitude Estimation method, we present an end-to-end quantum circuit implementation, emphasizing efficiency by delaying the transition to price space. Moreover, we analyze two different amplitude loading techniques for handling exponential functions. Experiments on the IBM QASM simulator validate our quantum pricing model, contributing to the evolving field of quantum finance.

In recent years, a CRA (Credit Risk Analysis) quantum algorithm with a quadratic speedup over classical analogous methods has been introduced. We propose a new variant of this quantum algorithm with the intent of overcoming some of the most significant limitations (according to business domain experts) of this approach. In particular, we describe a method to implement a more realistic and complex risk model for the default probability of each portfolio's asset, capable of taking into account multiple systemic risk factors. In addition, we present a solution to increase the flexibility of one of the model's inputs, the Loss Given Default, removing the constraint to use integer values. This specific improvement addresses the need to use real data coming from the financial sector in order to establish fair benchmarking protocols. Although these enhancements come at a cost in terms of circuit depth and width, they nevertheless show a path towards a more realistic software solution. Recent progress in quantum technology shows that eventually, the increase in the number and reliability of qubits will allow for useful results and meaningful scales for the financial sector, also on real quantum hardware, paving the way for a concrete quantum advantage in the field. The paper also describes experiments conducted on simulators to test the circuit proposed and contains an assessment of the scalability of the approach presented.

The analysis of credit risk is crucial for the efficient operation of financial institutions. Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) offers the potential for a quadratic speed-up over classical methods used to estimate metrics such as Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR). However, numerous limitations remain in efficiently scaling the implementation of quantum circuits that solve these estimation problems. One of the main challenges is the use of costly and restrictive arithmetic that must be implemented within the quantum circuit. In this paper, we propose using Quantum Singular Value Transformation (QSVT) to significantly reduce the cost of implementing the state preparation operator, which underlies QAE for credit risk analysis. We also present an end-to-end code implementation and the results of a simulation study to validate the proposed approach and demonstrate its benefits.