Carbon and oxygen isotope ratios (δ¹³C and δ¹⁸O) were measured in annual tree-ring cellulose samples dated from 1756 to 2015 CE. These samples were extracted from Chinese pine (Pinus tabulaeformis Carr.) trees located in a semi-arid region of north-central China. We found that tree-ring δ¹³C and δ¹⁸O values both recorded similar climatic signals (e.g., temperature and moisture changes), but found that tree-ring δ¹³C exhibited a stronger relationship with mean temperature, precipitation, average relative humidity, self-calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI), and standard precipitation evaporation index (SPEI) than δ¹⁸O during the period 1951–2015 CE. The strongest correlation observed was between tree-ring δ¹³C and scPDSI (previous June to current May), which explains ~43% of the variance. The resulting 130-year reconstruction reveals severe drought events in the 1920s and a sustained drying trend since the 1980s. This hydroclimate record based on tree-ring δ¹³C data also reveals similar dry and wet events to other proxy data (i.e., tree-ring width and historical documentation) that have allowed reconstructions to be made across the northern fringe of the Asian summer monsoon region. Our results suggest that both large-scale modes of climate variability (e.g., El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and North Atlantic Oscillation) and external forcing (e.g., solar variability) may have modulated moisture variability in this region. Our results imply that the relationship between tree-ring δ¹⁸O and local climate is less well-characterized when compared to δ¹³C and may be affected more strongly by the influences of these different atmospheric circulation patterns. In this semi-arid region, tree-ring δ¹³C appears to represent a better tool with which to investigate historical moisture changes (scPDSI).

The development of the tree ring is a process occurring under limitations caused by a complex of environmental factors and intrinsic regulatory mechanisms. Its understanding is of interest in many scientific fields, but most quantitative models trying to describe its details meet several issues stemming from the difficulty of its verification. This study attempted to combine several observational and modeling approaches to verify intermediate details of the description of xylogenesis, aiming to restore the tree-ring seasonal growth kinetics on the basis of dendrochronological and wood anatomical data. It was carried out for Scots pine in two semiarid habitats in South Siberia. The Vaganov-Shashkin model was used jointly with tree-ring width chronology and climatic data to model the tree radial growth rate with daily precision. The Band-model was then used to calculate the kinetics of tracheid production from the growth rate and actual final number of cells per radial file in the ring. Seasonal observations of cell population and final measurements of cell sizes were used to fit model parameters and verify the numbers of developing tracheids produced by the Band-model. The patterns of modeled seasonal kinetics for six seasons and two sites were found to repeat the actual drought-derived deviations in tree growth and observations (R² = 0.70–0.84). Further research is required to test other climatic limitations and species-specific ecophysiological mechanisms of growth regulation.

Detailed study of historical drought events in North-Central China (NCC) is important to understand current hydroclimate variability in the background of global warming. Here, we combined 12 published tree-ring chronologies and 12 dryness/wetness indices (DWI) to reconstruct dry and wet climate variability across NCC. These 24 proxy records showed similarly significant responses to warm season (May–June–July–August–September, MJJAS) moisture signals. A new 530-year-long reconstruction of self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) values for the warm season in NCC was determined using a nested principal component regression (PCR) approach. The new reconstruction shows significant correlations with the instrumental MJJAS scPDSI data across NCC during the period AD 1901–2012. The reconstructed MJJAS scPDSI revealed seven severe dry/wet events from AD 1470 to 2012. The periods AD 1701–1727 and AD 1985–2011 represent the longest dry periods, and the drought during the 1920s is identified as the most severe one over the past 530 years. Our reconstruction shows significant interannual spectral peaks at the frequency domain of 2–7 years, together with relatively weaker decadal frequencies of 16, 24, and 78 years. The results of superposed epoch analysis (SEA) show that extreme North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) years may modulate drought variability in NCC.