This paper developed an effective health indicator to indicate lithium-ion battery state of health and moving-window-based method to predict battery remaining useful life. The health indicator was extracted based on the partial charge voltage curve of cells. Battery remaining useful life was predicted using a linear aging model constructed based on the capacity data within a moving window, combined with Monte Carlo simulation to generate prediction uncertainties. Both the developed capacity estimation and remaining useful life prediction methods were implemented based on a real battery management system used in electric vehicles. Experimental data for cells tested at different current rates, including 1 and 2 C, and different temperatures, including 25 and 40 °C, were collected and used. The implementation results show that the capacity estimation errors were within 1.5%. During the last 20% of battery lifetime, the root-mean-square errors of remaining useful life predictions were within 20 cycles, and the 95% confidence intervals mainly cover about 20 cycles.

Since the noise statistics of large-scale battery energy storage systems (BESSs) are often unknown or inaccurate in actual applications, the estimation precision of state of charge (SOC) of BESSs using extended Kalman filter (EKF) or unscented Kalman filter (UKF) is usually inaccurate or even divergent. To resolve this problem, a method based on adaptive UKF (AUKF) with a noise statistics estimator is proposed to estimate accurately SOC of BESSs. The noise statistics estimator based on the modified Sage-Husa maximum posterior is aimed to estimate adaptively the mean and error covariance of measurement and system process noises online for the AUKF when the prior noise statistics are unknown or inaccurate. The accuracy and adaptation of the proposed method is validated by the comparison with the UKF and EKF under different real-time conditions. The comparison shows that the proposed method can achieve better SOC estimation accuracy when the noise statistics of BESSs are unknown or inaccurate.