Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of lithium-ion batteries can assess the battery reliability to determine the advent of failure and mitigate battery risk. The existing RUL prediction techniques for lithium-ion batteries are inefficient for learning the long-term dependencies among the capacity degradations. This paper investigates deep-learning-enabled battery RUL prediction. The long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN) is employed to learn the long-term dependencies among the degraded capacities of lithium-ion batteries. The LSTM RNN is adaptively optimized using the resilient mean square back-propagation method, and a dropout technique is used to address the overfitting problem. The developed LSTM RNN is able to capture the underlying long-term dependencies among the degraded capacities and construct an explicitly capacity-oriented RUL predictor, whose long-term learning performance is contrasted to the support vector machine model, the particle filter model, and the simple RNN model. Monte Carlo simulation is combined to generate a probabilistic RUL prediction. Experimental data from multiple lithium-ion cells at two different temperatures are deployed for model construction, verification, and comparison. The developed method is able to predict the battery's RUL independent of offline training data, and when some offline data is available, the RUL can be predicted earlier than in the traditional methods.

To improve the use of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicle (EV) applications, evaluations and comparisons of different equivalent circuit models are presented in this paper. Based on an analysis of the traditional lithium-ion battery equivalent circuit models such as the Rint, RC, Thevenin and PNGV models, an improved Thevenin model, named dual polarization (DP) model, is put forward by adding an extra RC to simulate the electrochemical polarization and concentration polarization separately. The model parameters are identified with a genetic algorithm, which is used to find the optimal time constant of the model, and the experimental data from a Hybrid Pulse Power Characterization (HPPC) test on a LiMn₂O₄ battery module. Evaluations on the five models are carried out from the point of view of the dynamic performance and the state of charge (SoC) estimation. The dynamic performances of the five models are obtained by conducting the Dynamic Stress Test (DST) and the accuracy of SoC estimation with the Robust Extended Kalman Filter (REKF) approach is determined by performing a Federal Urban Driving Schedules (FUDS) experiment. By comparison, the DP model has the best dynamic performance and provides the most accurate SoC estimation. Finally, sensitivity of the different SoC initial values is investigated based on the accuracy of SoC estimation with the REKF approach based on the DP model. It is clear that the errors resulting from the SoC initial value are significantly reduced and the true SoC is convergent within an acceptable error.

This paper developed an effective health indicator to indicate lithium-ion battery state of health and moving-window-based method to predict battery remaining useful life. The health indicator was extracted based on the partial charge voltage curve of cells. Battery remaining useful life was predicted using a linear aging model constructed based on the capacity data within a moving window, combined with Monte Carlo simulation to generate prediction uncertainties. Both the developed capacity estimation and remaining useful life prediction methods were implemented based on a real battery management system used in electric vehicles. Experimental data for cells tested at different current rates, including 1 and 2 C, and different temperatures, including 25 and 40 °C, were collected and used. The implementation results show that the capacity estimation errors were within 1.5%. During the last 20% of battery lifetime, the root-mean-square errors of remaining useful life predictions were within 20 cycles, and the 95% confidence intervals mainly cover about 20 cycles.