Vessel risk analysis is critical for safe ship navigation and maritime safety management. Near-miss collisions by ships comprise an significant risk, which may be complicated by factors, such as the ship conditions, waterway environment, and driving behavior of any ships encountered. Previous studies have rarely considered how to automatically and adaptively estimate the risk of near-miss collisions for different situations, particularly in port areas. In this paper, we propose an automatic identification system-based approach for adaptively calibrating near-miss collision risk model and assessing a ship's near-miss collision risk by using the vessel's speed and course patterns to obtain a robust estimate of the collision risk. Six measures are employed to determine the hierarchical geographical distribution of the near-miss collision risk for ships in port areas and to identify the high-risk areas. Some predicted high-risk areas were validated as official precautionary areas in the Xiamen Port area. All predicted areas may help the port administration to plan monitoring areas to ensure safe traffic flow in the port.

The three research topics, ship collision risk assessment, ship traffic hotspot detection and prediction, and collision-avoidance based ship path planning, are vital for next-generation vessel traffic management and monitoring systems. The system development is closely related to big data analytics and artificial intelligence for restricted waters. This study, therefore, aims to analyse the state-of-the art of these three topics over the latest decade, identify research gaps, and shed light on future research avenues. To achieve these three objectives, we critically and systematically review related articles that were published during the period between 2011 and 2021. We believe that this comprehensive and critical literature review would have a significant and profound impact on the formal safety assessment and vessel traffic management, and monitoring studies because it is not only an extension but also an essential continuity work of the literature review on maritime waterway risk assessment and prediction, as well as ship path guidance for ship collision risk mitigation in accordance with current automation vessels development and modern intelligent port construction.

Maritime ports face challenges associated with navigation safety, operational efficiency, and management. With the development of the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence simulation technologies, geographical information systems, and cloud computing technologies as well as navigation aids and decision support systems in maritime transportation, ports have the potential to better manage traffic, loading, and unloading. Recently, there has been growing attention in unmanned shipping to support the maritime industry and the military. This paper aims to extend the application of geographical theory and methodology in unmanned ship path optimization. Automatic collision avoidance concerning maneuvering capabilities of ships as well as complying with maritime traffic rules remains a challenge. This study attempts to tackle development needs associated with path optimization in maritime travel. By integrating ship movement behavior, geographical features, and the International Regulations for Avoiding Collisions at Sea, the proposed methods seek to reduce the human error associated with maritime accidents. This paper proposes economic efficiency and safety-driven unmanned ship path planning that will promote the future growth of intelligent port development.