Land use and land cover (LULC) change is one of the primary contributors to hydrological change in urban watersheds and can potentially influence stream flow and flood volume. Understanding the impacts of LULC change on urban hydrological processes is critical to effective urban water management and minimizing flood risks. In this context, this study aims to determine the impacts of LULC change on hydrological response in a fast transitioning watershed for the predicted years of 2050 and 2080. This research employs the hybrid land use classification technique, Cellular Automata–Markov (CA–Markov) model to predict land use changes, utilizing land use data from 2001, 2013, and 2021. Additionally, it incorporates a calibrated, event-specific hydrologic model known as the Personal Computer Storm Water Management Model (PCSWMM) to assess alterations in hydrological responses for storm events of various magnitudes. The findings indicate a transition of the watershed into an urbanized landscape, replacing the previous dominance of agriculture and forested areas. The initial urban area, constituting 11.6% of the total area in 2021, expands to cover 34.1% and 44.2% of the total area by 2050 and 2080, respectively. Due to the LULC changes, there are increases in peak discharge of 5% and 6.8% and in runoff volume of 8% and 13.3% for the years 2050 and 2080 for a 100-year return period storm event. Yet, the extent of these changes intensifies notably during storm events with lower return periods. This heightened impact is directly attributed to the swift urbanization of the watershed. These results underscore the pressing necessity to regulate LULC change to preserve the hydrological equilibrium.

Climate change and population growth have placed increasing stress on groundwater resources. Effective management of groundwater resources is crucial for promoting sustainable development, especially in areas heavily reliant on groundwater supply. However, sustainable groundwater management is more complex due to various factors affecting key drivers and their feedback interactions. In this regard, this study aims to examine the key driving forces and their interplay concerning fluctuations in groundwater levels within a study area in Illinois, United States, which heavily relies on groundwater for water supply. To achieve this objective, a system dynamics (SD) simulation model was developed, utilizing hydrology, climate, and urbanization data spanning from 2010 to 2020. Through calibration and validation of the SD model with historical data, the model demonstrated reliable simulation capabilities for groundwater levels. Additionally, sensitivity analysis and exploration of water resource scenarios were conducted to evaluate the critical factors influencing groundwater levels. Results revealed that population dynamics, agricultural land, and groundwater recharge were analyzed as key drivers influencing the change in groundwater level for the study area, among the climate and urbanization factors that had different contributions to the groundwater dynamics. A 10% increase in population, agricultural land, and groundwater recharge led to a decrease of approximately 5.5% and increases of 4.5% and 4.27% in groundwater levels, respectively. The results of the four-scenario analysis indicated that both climate change and urbanization exerted significant and adverse impacts on the groundwater level in the study area. These scenarios represented prominent and worst-case situations, highlighting the potential challenges and risks associated with the combination of these factors, which resulted in about a 77 mm decrease in groundwater levels by 2030. Overall, given limited data availability for SD model parameterization, the study emphasizes the need to consider the effects of both urbanization and climate change on groundwater supplies in decision-making for sustainable groundwater management, as well as the need for adequate management measures to maintain the long-term usage of groundwater resources.

Resilience-based decision-making for urban water distribution systems (WDSs) is a challenge when WDS sensing data contain incomplete or missing values. This study investigated the impact of missing data imputation on a WDS resilience evaluation depending on missing data percentages. Incomplete datasets for the nodal pressure of the C-town WDS were developed with 10%, 30%, and 50% missing data percentages by manipulating a true dataset for normal operation conditions produced using EPANET. This study employed multiple imputation methods including classification and regression trees, predictive mean matching, linear regression regarding model error, and linear regression using projected values. Then, resilience values were evaluated and compared using unimputed and imputed datasets. An analysis of performance indicators based on NRMSE, NMAE, NR-Square, and N-PBIAS revealed that higher missing-data percentages led to increased deviation between the true and imputed datasets. The resilience evaluation using unimputed datasets produced significant deviations from the true resilience values, which tended to increase as the missing data percentages increased. However, the imputed datasets substantially contributed to reducing the deviations. These findings underscore the contributions of data imputation to enhancing resilience evaluation in WDS decision-making and suggest insights into advancing a resilience evaluation framework for urban WDSs with more reliable data imputation approaches.

Urban water distribution networks (WDNs) are increasingly vulnerable to diverse disruptions, including pipe leaks/bursts and cyber–physical failures. A critical step in a resilience-based approach against these disruptions is the rapid and reliable identification of failures and their types for the timely implementation of emergency or recovery actions. This study proposes a framework for sensor placement and multiple failure type classification in WDNs. It applies a wrapper-based feature selection (recursive feature elimination) with Random Forest (RF–RFE) to find the best sensor locations and employs an Autoencoder–Random Forest (AE–RF) framework for failure type identification. The framework was tested on the C-town WDN using the failure type scenarios of pipe leakage, cyberattacks, and physical attacks, which were generated using EPANET-CPA and WNTR models. The results showed a higher performance of the framework for single failure events, with accuracy of 0.99 for leakage, 0.98 for cyberattacks, and 0.95 for physical attacks, while the performance for multiple failure classification was lower, but still acceptable, with a performance accuracy of 0.90. The reduced performance was attributed to the model’s difficulty in distinguishing failure types when they produced hydraulically similar consequences. The proposed framework combining sensor placement and multiple failure identification will contribute to advance the existing data-driven approaches and to strengthen urban WDN resilience to conventional and cyber–physical disruptions.

Droughts have become more severe and prolonged in recent years, causing significant social and environmental impacts. Analysing drought conditions with various climatic and socio-economic factors is critical for effective drought monitoring. This study investigated the correlation between drought severity and climatic and socio-economic changes in a study area – San Diego County, CA, USA. The drought severity was quantified using three drought indices: standardised precipitation index, standardised precipitation evapotranspiration index and standardised streamflow index. These indices were also used to describe the variation of the drought severity in the study area. The study employed Spearman’s correlation coefficient analysis to evaluate the correlations between the drought indices and climatic and socio-economic factors. The results showed that the drought indices indicated similar variations of the droughts in the study area. However, the severity, duration and frequency of the droughts varied with the timescales in the drought index analysis. Additionally, this study found that the drought conditions based on the three indices had strong negative correlations with precipitation, soil moisture, agricultural area and forest area, which were more pronounced as the timescale increased. The findings will provide insights into effective drought monitoring and management, particularly targeting severe droughts.