Debris flow occurs frequently in mountainous areas due to the special geographical and geological environment, causing significant damage to linear infrastructure. However, a systematic assessment of debris flow risk to the national highway is limited by the lack of regional vulnerability data. Based on a detailed inventory of debris flow and highway structure characteristics, this study presents a comprehensive regional risk assessment framework on the northern line of the Sichuan-Tibet Highway in China. The proposed framework consists of three main procedures: (1) debris flow hazard analyses by the weight-of-evidence method, (2) analyses of physical vulnerability using 12 vulnerability indexes, and (3) risk calculation which considers the natural attributes of debris flow and the social characteristics of a linear highway. The predictive performance was evaluated through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the validation results showed that areas under the ROC curves were 83.77%. The risk zoning map indicated that the high-risk areas were particularly distributed in Dege County and Daofu County, with a high disaster frequency and a low highway protection standard. The regional risk assessment framework supports decision-making for disaster prevention and highway rehabilitation in mountainous areas.

Faults are critical to the preservation or destruction of shale gas concentration. The Lower Silurian Longmaxi Formation in the southern Sichuan Basin hosts relatively developed faults, which pose a huge challenge to the exploration and exploitation of shale gas. An urgent need to quickly determine the widths of fault damage zones (FDZs) arises in locating horizontal shale gas wells. In this study, FDZs were estimated using the fault likelihood. The results are as follows: (1) It is rational to constrain the FDZ width using a fault likelihood greater than 0.2. The six major NEE-trending faults in the Fuji syncline of the Luzhou block have complex structures and varying FDZ widths from about 240–1220 m. (2) The degree of influence of FDZs is negatively correlated with their distance from the faults. In other words, a greater distance from a fault is associated with a weaker influence and a smaller fault likelihood. (3) Based on the ratio of the fault throw to the FDZ width, we propose that the width of seismic-scale fault damages can be directly constrained using a ratio value of 3.5. This method is fast and accurate and can provide support for the evaluation of the shale gas preservation conditions and well placement in the Longmaxi Formation of the southern Sichuan Basin.

1 Debris flows are highly destructive forms of gravitational mass movement that are widely distributed in mountainous regions worldwide (Dowling and Santi 2014), such as Ridi debris flow in China (...