Emilio Cerda Tena

Prof. Emilio Cerda Tena

Department of Economic Analysis and Quantitative Economics, Complutense University of Madrid, 28040 Madrid, Spain

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

21Years (2006-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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5 September 2017 in Energies
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Journal Article
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Kepa SolaunKepa Solaun
Kepa Solaun
Emilio Cerda TenaEmilio Cerda Tena
Emilio Cerda Tena
Climate change could pose a significant threat to the energy sector in various countries. The objective of this study is to analyze the long-term impact of changes in precipitation and water availability on hydroelectric production. To do so, the study focuses on three hydroelectric power plants in Southern Spain combining climatological, technical and economic data and projections. A physical model has been designed that reproduces the plants’ operations and incorporates various scenarios for the evolution of contributions to the basin. The results predict a 10 to 49% drop in production by the end of the century, depending on the plant and scenario. This decrease in production, in accordance with our economic and operational hypotheses, would significantly affect the operating margins of the facilities and, in certain scenarios, could reach an economically unsustainable level by the end of the century. An investment analysis has been carried out as well, showing that climate change may jeopardize future investments in similar facilities.

21 September 2020 in Energies
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MLMiguel Ángel Rodríguez López
Miguel Ángel Rodríguez López
Emilio Cerda TenaEmilio Cerda Tena
Emilio Cerda Tena
Pablo del RioPablo del Rio
Pablo del Rio
Global warming represents a serious challenge, which requires the adoption of renewable energy technologies worldwide. However, it can negatively affect the availability of renewable energy resources, such as wind, which are needed for electricity generation. In this context, there is an increasing need for more accurate evaluations of wind turbine power curves. A novel methodology to model the power curves of wind turbines, which combines the use of artificial neural networks (ANN) and Fuzzy logic rules, is proposed in this paper. This methodology assesses the role of environmental temperature in the power curve and the impact of temperature increases on wind energy production. The application of this methodology is illustrated with the simulation of the impact of global warming on the electricity generation of a wind farm. Due to the non-linear relationship between the power output of a turbine and its primary and derived parameters, it is shown that ANN combined with an expert system formed by a Fuzzy logic module fit power curve modeling processes well. The application of the methodology shows that an increase in temperatures would trigger a small reduction in the performance of wind turbines.

6 July 2022 in IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems
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Journal Article
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FSFrancisco Javier Santos-Arteaga
Francisco Javier Santos-Arteaga
DCDebora Di Caprio
Debora Di Caprio
Madjid TavanaMadjid Tavana
Madjid Tavana
Emilio Cerda TenaEmilio Cerda Tena
Emilio Cerda Tena
Multiple Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) methods do not account for the potentially strategic evaluations of experts. Once the ranking is delivered, Decision Makers (DMs) select the first alternative without questioning the credibility of the evaluations received from the experts. We formalize the selection problem of a DM who must choose from a set of alternatives according to both their characteristics and the credibility of the reports received. That is, we transform an MCDM setting into a game-theoretical scenario. We build our analysis on a recent extension of hesitant fuzzy numbers incorporated within the formal structure of TOPSIS. We define the restrictions that must be imposed regarding the credibility of the evaluations and the capacity of experts to form coalitions and manipulate rankings based on their subjective preferences. This feature constitutes a considerable drawback in real-life scenarios, mainly when dealing with environmental and sustainable strategic problems. In this regard, sustainable transportation problems incorporate both technical variables and subjective assessments whose values can be strategically reported by experts. We extend a real-life study case accounting for the evaluations of several experts to demonstrate the importance of strategic incentives for the rankings obtained when implementing MCDM techniques. We numerically illustrate the interactions between the experts’ reporting strategies and the formal tools available for the DMs to counteract potential manipulations of the final ranking.

23 September 2009 in TOP
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Emilio Cerda TenaEmilio Cerda Tena
Emilio Cerda Tena
SQSonia Quiroga
Sonia Quiroga

1 January 2006
Verified
Book Chapter
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Emilio Cerda TenaEmilio Cerda Tena
Emilio Cerda Tena
LPLaura de Pablos
Laura de Pablos
MRMaria V. Rodriguez
Maria V. Rodriguez

18 April 2025 in Renewable Energy
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
Emilio Cerda TenaEmilio Cerda Tena
Emilio Cerda Tena
XLXiral López-Otero
Xiral López-Otero
SQSonia Quiroga
Sonia Quiroga
Mario SoliñoMario Soliño
Mario Soliño