Suhas Pol

Dr. Suhas Pol


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

11Years (2016-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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22 February 2023 in Forecasting
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Ashish SedaiAshish Sedai
Ashish Sedai
Rabin DhakalRabin Dhakal
Rabin Dhakal
SGShishir Gautam
Shishir Gautam
ADAnibesh Dhamala
Anibesh Dhamala
ABArgenis Bilbao
Argenis Bilbao
SPSuhas Pol
Suhas Pol
The Machine Learning/Deep Learning (ML/DL) forecasting model has helped stakeholders overcome uncertainties associated with renewable energy resources and time planning for probable near-term power fluctuations. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of long-term forecasting of renewable energy resources using an existing ML/DL model is still debatable and needs additional research. Considering the constraints inherent in current empirical or physical-based forecasting models, the study utilizes ML/DL models to provide long-term predictions for solar power production. This study aims to examine the efficacy of several existing forecasting models. The study suggests approaches to enhance the accuracy of long-term forecasting of solar power generation for a case study power plant. It summarizes and compares the statistical model (ARIMA), ML model (SVR), DL models (LSTM, GRU, etc.), and ensemble models (RF, hybrid) with respect to long-term prediction. The performances of the univariate and multivariate models are summarized and compared based on their ability to accurately predict solar power generation for the next 1, 3, 5, and 15 days for a 100-kW solar power plant in Lubbock, TX, USA. Conclusions are drawn predicting the accuracy of various model changes with variation in the prediction time frame and input variables. In summary, the Random Forest model predicted long-term solar power generation with 50% better accuracy over the univariate statistical model and 10% better accuracy over multivariate ML/DL models.

27 October 2023 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Mahtab MurshedMahtab Murshed
Mahtab Murshed
MCManohar Chamana
Manohar Chamana
KSKonrad Schmitt
Konrad Schmitt
SPSuhas Pol
Suhas Pol
OAOlatunji Matthew Adeyanju
Olatunji Matthew Adeyanju
SBStephen Benjamin Bayne
Stephen Benjamin Bayne
This article presents a comprehensive data-driven approach on enhancing grid-connected microgrid grid resilience through advanced forecasting and optimization techniques in the context of power outages. Power outages pose significant challenges to modern societies, affecting various sectors such as industries, households, and critical infrastructures. The research combines statistical analysis, machine-learning algorithms, and optimization methods to address this issue to develop a holistic approach for predicting and mitigating power outage events. The proposed methodology involves the use of Monte Carlo simulations in MATLAB for future outage prediction, training a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting solar irradiance and load profiles with a dataset spanning from 2009 to 2018, and a hybrid LSTM-Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) model to improve accuracy. Furthermore, the role of battery state of charge (SoC) in enhancing system resilience is explored. The study also assesses the techno-economic advantages of a grid-tied microgrid integrated with solar panels and batteries over conventional grid systems. The proposed methodology and optimization process demonstrate their versatility and applicability to a wide range of microgrid design scenarios comprising solar PV and battery energy storage systems (BESS), making them a valuable resource for enhancing grid resilience and economic efficiency across diverse settings. The results highlight the potential of the proposed approach in strengthening grid resilience by improving autonomy, reducing downtime by 25%, and fostering sustainable energy utilization by 82%.

8 September 2022 in Applied Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Rabin DhakalRabin Dhakal
Rabin Dhakal
Ashish SedaiAshish Sedai
Ashish Sedai
SPSuhas Pol
Suhas Pol
SPSiva Parameswaran
Siva Parameswaran
ANAli Nejat
Ali Nejat
Hanna MoussaHanna Moussa
Hanna Moussa
The need to deliver accurate predictions of renewable energy generation has long been recognized by stakeholders in the field and has propelled recent improvements in more precise wind speed prediction (WSP) methods. Models such as Weibull-probability-density-based WSP (WEB), Rayleigh-probability-density-based WSP (RYM), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), Kalman filter and support vector machines (SVR), artificial neural network (ANN), and hybrid models have been used for accurate prediction of wind speed with various forecast horizons. This study intends to incorporate all these methods to achieve a higher WSP accuracy as, thus far, hybrid wind speed predictions are mainly made by using multivariate time series data. To do so, an error correction algorithm for the probability-density-based wind speed prediction model is introduced. Moreover, a comparative analysis of the performance of each method for accurately predicting wind speed for each time step of short-term forecast horizons is performed. All the models studied are used to form the prediction model by optimizing the weight function for each time step of a forecast horizon for each model that contributed to forming the proposed hybrid prediction model. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and System Advisory Module (SAM) databases were used to demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed models and conduct a comparative analysis. The results of the study show the significant improvement on the performance of wind speed prediction models through the development of a proposed hybrid prediction model.
1

30 September 2016 in Journal of Physics: Conference Series
Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
PDF file
RCR Castillo
R Castillo
YWY Wang
Y Wang
TMT Monk
T Monk
SVS Vasquez
S Vasquez
SPSuhas Pol
Suhas Pol
CWC H Westergaard
C H Westergaard
A wind tunnel based "Hyper Accelerated Wind Farm Kinematic-Control Simulator" (HAWKS) is being built at Texas Tech University (TTU) to emulate controlled wind turbine flow physics. The HAWKS model turbine has pitch, yaw and speed controls that could be operated in real time with different power coefficient (Cp) conditions. The purpose of HAWKS is to simulate control strategies, operating at much faster turnaround times. Currently, the fundamental building blocks of the simulator are being tested. A few salient tests results are presented here.

15 March 2017 in Environmental Fluid Mechanics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
SPSuhas Pol
Suhas Pol
HFHarindra J. S. Fernando
Harindra J. S. Fernando

31 August 2023 in Preprints.org
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
Mahtab MurshedMahtab Murshed
Mahtab Murshed
MCManohar Chamana
Manohar Chamana
KSKonrad Schmitt
Konrad Schmitt
SPSuhas Pol
Suhas Pol
OAOlatunji Matthew Adeyanju
Olatunji Matthew Adeyanju
SBStephen Benjamin Bayne
Stephen Benjamin Bayne
This article presents a comprehensive study on enhancing grid resilience through advanced forecasting and optimization techniques in the context of power outages. Power outages pose significant challenges to modern societies, affecting various sectors such as industries, households, and critical infrastructures. The research combines statistical analysis, machine learning algorithms, and optimization methods to address this issue to develop a holistic approach for predicting and mitigating power outage events. The proposed methodology involves the use of Monte Carlo simulations in MATLAB for future outage prediction, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for forecasting solar irradiance and load profiles, and a hybrid LSTM-Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) model to improve accuracy. Furthermore, the role of Battery State of Charge (SoC) in enhancing system resilience is explored. The study also assesses the techno-economic advantages of a grid-tied microgrid integrated with solar panels and batteries over conventional grid systems. The results highlight the potential of the proposed approach in strengthening grid resilience, reducing downtime, and fostering sustainable energy utilization.