Permafrost areas are sensitive to climate change and have a significant impact on energy and water cycles. Ground ice is a crucial component on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP). Understanding the environmental characteristics of ground ice is vital for accurately modeling its distribution and evolution. In this study, we analyzed 15 environmental characteristics of high ice-content permafrost sites. These attributes were extracted from 400 high ice-content permafrost datasets including 300 drilling boreholes and 100 thaw slumps collected throughout the entire plateau using large-scale remote sensing data and their products. The results are as follows: The mean annual air temperature in areas where high ice-content permafrost exists ranges from −5 to −3.5 °C, with an average warming rate of 0.08 °C/a. Additionally, there was an average increase in precipitation of about 25 mm/10a and an increase in soil moisture of about 4%/10a. Geomorphology strongly influences the occurrence of high ice content permafrost, with 85% of high ice-content permafrost development at altitudes between 4400 and 5100 m. Approximately 86% of high ice-content permafrost were developed in lowland or relatively flat areas, preferably in gently sloping and shady slope regions. Soils exhibit less variability in clay particles and more variability in silt and sand. Key indicators in the high ice content permafrost region include warming rate, active layer thickness, elevation, bulk density, soil thickness, clay content, precipitation, soil moisture, and NDVI. High ice-content permafrost is the result of a combination of environmental factors and is expected to undergo significant changes in the future. This study provides a foundation for comprehending the environmental changes in the high ice-content permafrost areas and modeling the distribution of ground ice. It underscores the urgent need to address the significant environmental changes faced by high ice-content permafrost regions.

The Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) is characterized by its extreme climate and dominated by periglacial processes. Permafrost conditions vary greatly, and the recent changes on the QTP are not well known in the hinterland. Here, we examine the changes in climate and permafrost temperatures in several different regions. Climate data were obtained from three weather stations from 1957 to 2019. Annual mean air temperature (T_a) has gradually increased at .031°C/yr–.039°C/yr. Climate warming has been more rapid in the past two decades, particularly during the cold season (November to February). Precipitation has also been slowly increasing during the instrumental record. However, there is pronounced heterogeneity in the seasonal distribution of precipitation, with very little falling between October and April. Ground temperatures and active-layer thickness (ALT) have been investigated over ∼20 years at five sites representative of the hinterland of the QTP. These sites are located along the Qinghai–Tibet Highway, which crosses the permafrost zone and traverses the mountainous area and basin areas. Annual mean ground temperatures within the active layer (T_al ∼ 1 m depth) indicate recent ground warming at all sites, at rates near .05°C/yr. The ALT at five sites has been increasing steadily by 2–9 cm/yr, with an average of 4.6 cm/yr. The temperature near the permafrost table (T_ps) has been increasing at .01°C/yr and .06°C/yr, with an average of .03°C/yr. Permafrost temperatures at 15 m depth (T_g) have been increasing by about .01°C/yr–.02°C/yr. The southern boundary (AD site) of the permafrost has warmed the least among the five locations. In high mountainous areas where permafrost temperatures are low (e.g., KLS site), the annual mean T_g has increased by nearly .02°C/yr. The rate of permafrost warming at a basin site (BLH), with relatively high ground temperatures, was approximately .01°C/yr. The GIPL2.0 model simulation results indicate that the annual mean permafrost temperature at 1 m depth at these sites will increase by .6°C–1.8°C in the next 100 years (to 2100) and that ALT will increase by ∼40–100 cm. We also discuss the impacts of permafrost changes on the environment and infrastructure on the QTP. This study provides useful information to understand observed and anticipated permafrost changes in this region, under different shared socioeconomic pathways, which will allow engineers to develop adaptation measures.

Influenced by a warm and humid climate, the permafrost on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau is undergoing significant degradation, leading to the occurrence of extensive thermokarst landforms. Among the most typical landforms in permafrost areas is thaw slump. This study, based on three periods of data from keyhole images of 1968–1970, the fractional images of 2006–2009 and the Gaofen (GF) images of 2018–2019, combined with field surveys for validation, investigates the distribution characteristics and spatiotemporal variation trends of thaw slumps in the Hoh Xil area and evaluates the susceptibility to thaw slumping in this area. The results from 1968 to 2019 indicate a threefold increase in the number and a twofold increase in total area of thaw slumps. Approximately 70% of the thaw slumps had areas less than 2 × 10⁴ m². When divided into a grid of 3 km × 3 km, about 1.3% (128 grids) of the Hoh Xil region experienced thaw slumping from 1968 to 1970, while 4.4% (420 grids) showed such occurrences from 2018 to 2019. According to the simulation results obtained using the informativeness method, the area classified as very highly susceptible to thaw slumping covers approximately 26% of the Hoh Xil area, while the highly susceptible area covers about 36%. In the Hoh Xil, 61% of the thaw slump areas had an annual warming rate ranging from 0.18 to 0.25 °C/10a, with 70% of the thaw slump areas experiencing a precipitation increase rate exceeding 12 mm/10a. Future assessments of thaw slump development suggest a possible minimum of 41 and a maximum of 405 thaw slumps occurrences annually in the Hoh Xil region. Under rapidly changing climatic conditions, apart from environmental risks, there also exist substantial potential risks associated with thaw slumping, such as the triggering of large-scale landslides and debris flows. Therefore, it is imperative to conduct simulated assessments of thaw slumping throughout the entire plateau to address regional risks in the future.

Slope direction affects permafrost degradation because of its influence on the surface energy balance. The ground thermal difference between slopes of differing aspect is known, however there are few detailed reports on differences in soil temperature, humidity, and radiation from slopes in permafrost areas that caused permafrost degradation. In this study variations in air and ground thermal regime were compared at two sloping sites with opposing aspect in a permafrost region of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP). The results indicate that air temperatures (Ta) were similar at both sites in September 2016-19. However, ground temperatures, including the ground surface temperature (Ts), the temperature near the permafrost surface (Tps), and the permafrost temperature at 5.0 m depth (Tg), and soil moisture content within the active layer differed greatly between sites. The mean annual Ts, Tps, and Tg over three years (2016-19) were 1.3-1.4 ℃ higher at the sunny slope than at the shady slope. The near-surface soil moisture content during the thawing season was 10-13% lower at the sunny slope (~22-27%) than the shady slope (~35-38%), and was significantly and negatively correlated with ground temperature. Shortwave downward radiation (DR) at the sunny slope was higher than at the shady slope. However, net radiation (Rn) was lower at the sunny slope due to the greater surface albedo at the site. The results highlight a complex spatial pattern of ground thermal conditions in mountainous permafrost regions, help define the climate-permafrost relation in the region, and for understanding permafrost degradation on a local scale.