The strategic planning of open pit operations defines the best strategy for extraction of the mineral deposit to maximize the net present value. The process of strategic planning must deal with several sources of uncertainty; therefore, many authors have proposed models to incorporate it at each of its stages: Computation of the ultimate pit, optimization of pushbacks, and production scheduling. However, most works address it at each level independently, with few aiming at the whole process. In this work, we propose a methodology based on new mathematical optimization models and the application of conditional simulation of the deposit for addressing the geological uncertainty at all stages. We test the method in a real case study and evaluate whether incorporating uncertainty increases the quality of the solutions. Moreover, we benefit from our integrated framework to evaluate the relative impact of uncertainty at each stage. This could be used by decision-makers as a guide for detecting risks and focusing efforts.
Uncertainty in short-term grade estimations can significantly affect destination policies and dig-limit definitions in open-pit mining. However, most dig-limit techniques still rely on deterministic methods and manual procedures. This study proposes a stochastic optimization model for the dig-limit definition problem that incorporates geological uncertainty through multiple grade scenarios and explicitly controls deviations from production targets. Two real case studies were evaluated to compare the stochastic formulation against deterministic and manual definitions. Results show that the stochastic model systematically improves economic performance, with profit increases of up to 2.3% over deterministic policies and up to 4.3% when compared against manual solutions. The stochastic solution also reduces deviations from metal and grade targets, producing more stable outcomes across scenarios. The model is computationally efficient, with solution times below 25 s for all case studies, which are compatible with practical short-term planning workflows. Overall, our findings demonstrate that incorporating grade variability into the dig-limit definition improves profitability and reliability in short-term mine planning horizons.