The incidence rate of thyroid cancer has tripled in the United States during the last 3 decades, although there has been some recent attenuation in this trend, partly associated with changes in diagnostic biopsy thresholds.
1 Given the excellent prognosis for low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and, in particular, papillary microcarcinoma (≤1 cm in maximal diameter) confined to the thyroid, active surveillance (AS; close follow-up in lieu of surgery) was first proposed as an alternative disease management option by Ito et al
2 and Miyauchi
3 in Japan. Active surveillance is a structured program of follow-up, with specific inclusion criteria as well as criteria for curative-intent treatment (surgery with or without additional treatments) in the event of evidence of disease progression (tumor growth or incident metastatic disease) during follow-up. Patients undergoing AS have the opportunity to undergo surgery in the absence of disease progression at any time during follow-up if it is preferred to continuing follow-up. The longest follow-up AS studies are from Japanese centers, including Kuma Hospital in Kobe and the Cancer Institute Hospital in Tokyo,
3 although, in recent years, research in AS for low-risk PTC has been initiated throughout the world. Initial reports on the association between age at diagnosis and risk of PTC progression in individuals undergoing AS were conflicting.
4 Our aim was to evaluate whether age is associated with disease progression in individuals undergoing AS.