This paper proposes an effective approach for modelling and assessing the risks associated with unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) integrated into national airspace system (NAS). Two critical hazards with UAV operations are considered and analyzed, which are ground impacts and midair collisions. Threats to fatalities that result from the two hazards are the focus in the proposed method. In order to realize ground impact assessment, a multifactor risk model is designed by calculating system reliability required to meet a target level of safety for different UAV categories. Both fixed-wing and rotary-wing UAVs are taken into account under a real scenario that is further partitioned into different zones to make the evaluation more precise. Official territory and population data of the operation scenario are incorporated, as well as UAV self-properties. Casualty area of impacting debris can be obtained as well as the probability of fatal injuries on the ground. Sheltering factors are not neglected and defined as four types based on the real scenario. When midair collision fatality risk is estimated, a model of aircraft collisions based on the density of civil flight in different regions over Chinese airspace is proposed. In the model, a relative collision area and flying speed between UAVs and manned aircraft are constructed to calculate expected frequency of fatalities for each province correspondingly. Truthful data with different numbers of UAVs is incorporated in the model with the expected number of fatalities after a collision is included. Experimental simulations are made to evaluate the ground impacts and midair collisions when UAVs operate in the NAS.
1 January 2016 in Mathematical Problems in Engineering
This paper proposes a potential odor intensity grid based optimization approach for unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) path planning with particle swarm optimization (PSO) technique. Odor intensity is created to color the area in the searching space with highest probability where candidate particles may locate. A potential grid construction operator is designed for standard PSO based on different levels of odor intensity. The potential grid construction operator generates two potential location grids with highest odor intensity. Then the middle point will be seen as the final position in current particle dimension. The global optimum solution will be solved as the average. In addition, solution boundaries of searching space in each particle dimension are restricted based on properties of threats in the flying field to avoid prematurity. Objective function is redesigned by taking minimum direction angle to destination into account and a sampling method is introduced. A paired samples-test is made and an index called straight line rate (SLR) is used to evaluate the length of planned path. Experiments are made with other three heuristic evolutionary algorithms. The results demonstrate that the proposed method is capable of generating higher quality paths efficiently for UAV than any other tested optimization techniques.
24 December 2021 in Mathematical Problems in Engineering
In this paper a ground safety assessment model is introduced based on the probability estimation of possible impact positions when unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) crashes on the ground. By incorporating the random uncertainties during the descending process, risks associated with UAVs ground crash are estimated accurately. The number of victims on the ground per flight hour is selected as the indicative index to evaluate the risk levels of the corresponding ground area. We mainly focus on the analysis of uncertainties that usually appear in drag coefficient which would generate a great amount of effects on the travelled horizontal distance from the failure point to the impact point on the ground, which further influences the possible impact positions. The drag force in the air, failure velocity of a UAV, and wind effects in the local area are all considered in the proposed model, as well as ground features, including sheltering effects on the ground, UAV parameter settings, and distribution of local population. Uncertainties in drag force when a UAV descends, UAVs initial horizontal and vertical speeds at failure point, and local wind patterns are all considered as the indispensable factors in the proposed model. Especially the probability of fatality once hit by the UAVs debris is explored to make the safety assessment more reliable and valuable. In the end, the actual UAV parameters and official historical weather data are used to estimate the risks in a real operation environment when a failure event happens at a legal flying height. Experimental results are given based on different types of UAVs and random effects in the descent. The results show that all the operations of all kinds of UAVs selected in the validation are so dangerous that the safety of people on the ground cannot be guaranteed, whose value is much bigger than the manned aircraft safety criterion 10−7.
As a novel mode of urban air mobility (UAM), unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) pose a great amount of risk to ground people. Assessing ground risk and mitigation effects correctly is a focused issue. This paper proposes a grid-based risk matrix framework for assessing the ground risk associated with two types of UAVs, namely fixed-wing and quadrotor. The framework has a three-stage structure of “intrinsic risk assessment—mitigation effect—final map generation”. First, the intrinsic risk to ground populations caused by potential UAV crashes is quantified. Second, the mitigation effects are measured by establishing a mathematical model with a focus on the ground sheltering and parachute systems. Finally, a modular approach is presented for generating a ground risk map of UAVs, aiming to effectively characterize the effects of each influencing factor on the failure process of UAVs. The framework facilitates the modular analysis and quantification of the impact of diverse risk factors on UAV ground risk. It also provides a new perspective for analyzing ground risk mitigation measures, such as ground sheltering and UAV parachute systems. A case study experiment on a realistic urban environment in Shenzhen shows that the risk map generated by the presented framework can accurately characterize the distribution of ground risk posed by various UAVs.
Wireless sensor networks (WSNs) are applied in many fields, among which node localization is one of the most important parts. The Distance Vector-Hop (DV-Hop) algorithm is the most widely used range-free localization algorithm, but its localization accuracy is not high enough. In this paper, to solve this problem, a hybrid localization algorithm for an adaptive strategy-based distance vector-hop and improved sparrow search is proposed (HADSS). First, an adaptive hop count strategy is designed to refine the hop count between all sensor nodes, using a hop count correction factor for secondary correction. Compared with the simple method of using multiple communication radii, this mechanism can refine the hop counts between nodes and reduce the error, as well as the communication overhead. Second, the average hop distance of the anchor nodes is calculated using the mean square error criterion. Then, the average hop distance obtained from the unknown nodes is corrected according to a combination of the anchor node trust degree and the weighting method. Compared with the single weighting method, both the global information about the network and the local information about each anchor node are taken into account, which reduces the average hop distance errors. Simulation experiments are conducted to verify the localization performance of the proposed HADSS algorithm by considering the normalized localization error. The simulation results show that the accuracy of the proposed HADSS algorithm is much higher than that of five existing methods.
This paper presents a path-planning strategy for unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in urban environments with a ground risk map. The aim is to generate a UAV path that minimizes the ground risk as well as the flying cost, enforcing safety and efficiency over inhabited areas. A quantitative model is proposed to evaluate the ground risk, which is then used as a risk constraint for UAV path optimization. Subsequently, beetle swarm optimization (BSO) is proposed based on a beetle antennae search (BAS) that considers turning angles and path length. In this proposed BSO, an adaptive step size for every beetle and a random proportionality coefficient mechanism are designed to improve the deficiencies of the local optimum and slow convergence. Furthermore, a global optimum attraction operator is established to share the social information in a swarm to lead to the global best position in the search space. Experiments were performed and compared with particle swarm optimization (PSO), genetic algorithm (GA), firefly algorithm (FA), and BAS. This case study shows that the proposed BSO works well with different swarm sizes, beetle dimensions, and iterations. It outperforms the aforementioned methods not only in terms of efficiency but also in terms of accuracy. The simulation results confirm the suitability of the proposed BSO approach.