Gabriela Mayumi Saiki

Mrs. Gabriela Mayumi Saiki

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

3Years (2024-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 July 2024 in Applied Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
ASAndre Luiz Marques Serrano
Andre Luiz Marques Serrano
GRGabriel Rodrigues
Gabriel Rodrigues
PMPatricia Helena Dos Santos Martins
Patricia Helena Dos Santos Martins
GSGabriela Mayumi Saiki
Gabriela Mayumi Saiki
GFGeraldo Pereira Rocha Filho
Geraldo Pereira Rocha Filho
RARobson De Oliveira Albuquerque
Robson De Oliveira Albuquerque
Energy demand forecasting is crucial for effective resource management within the energy sector and is aligned with the objectives of Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG7). This study undertakes a comparative analysis of different forecasting models to predict future energy demand trends in Brazil, improve forecasting methodologies, and achieve sustainable development goals. The evaluation encompasses the following models: Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), Exogenous SARIMA (SARIMAX), Facebook Prophet (FB Prophet), Holt–Winters, Trigonometric Seasonality Box–Cox transformation, ARMA errors, Trend, and Seasonal components (TBATS), and draws attention to their respective strengths and limitations. Its findings reveal unique capabilities among the models, with SARIMA excelling in tracing seasonal patterns, FB Prophet demonstrating its potential applicability across various sectors, Holt–Winters adept at managing seasonal fluctuations, and TBATS offering flexibility albeit requiring significant data inputs. Additionally, the investigation explores the effect of external factors on energy consumption, by establishing connections through the Granger causality test and conducting correlation analyses. The accuracy of these models is assessed with and without exogenous variables, categorized as economical, industrial, and climatic. Ultimately, this investigation seeks to add to the body of knowledge on energy demand prediction, as well as to allow informed decision-making in sustainable energy planning and policymaking and, thus, make rapid progress toward SDG7 and its associated targets. This paper concludes that, although FB Prophet achieves the best accuracy, SARIMA is the most fit model, considering the residual autocorrelation, and it predicts that Brazil will demand approximately 70,000 GWh in 2033.

5 December 2024 in Economies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
PMPatricia Helena Dos Santos Martins
Patricia Helena Dos Santos Martins
ASAndre Luiz Marques Serrano
Andre Luiz Marques Serrano
GRGabriel Rodrigues
Gabriel Rodrigues
GVGuilherme Fay Vergara
Guilherme Fay Vergara
GSGabriela Mayumi Saiki
Gabriela Mayumi Saiki
VGVinícius Pereira Gonçalves
Vinícius Pereira Gonçalves
This manuscript explores the role of green hydrogen produced through ethanol reforming in accelerating Brazil’s transition to a low-carbon economic framework. Despite ongoing efforts to lessen carbon dependence, Brazil’s reliance on biofuels and other renewable energy sources remains inadequate for fully achieving its decarbonization objectives. Green hydrogen presents a vital opportunity to boost energy sustainability, especially in sectors that are challenging to decarbonize, such as industry and transportation. By analyzing Brazil’s input–output (I-O) table, using data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), this study evaluates the macroeconomic potential of green hydrogen, focusing on GDP growth and employment generation. Furthermore, the research explores green hydrogen systems’ economic feasibility and potential impact on future energy policies, offering valuable insights for stakeholders and decision-makers. In addition, this investigation highlights Brazil’s abundant renewable resources and identifies the infrastructural investments necessary to support a green hydrogen economy. The findings aim to strengthen Brazil’s national decarbonization strategy and serve as a model for other developing nations transitioning to clean energy.

26 April 2024 in Applied Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
GBGuilherme Dantas Bispo
Guilherme Dantas Bispo
GVGuilherme Fay Vergara
Guilherme Fay Vergara
GSGabriela Mayumi Saiki
Gabriela Mayumi Saiki
PMPatricia Helena Dos Santos Martins
Patricia Helena Dos Santos Martins
JCJaqueline Gutierri Coelho
Jaqueline Gutierri Coelho
ASAndre Luiz Marques Serrano
Andre Luiz Marques Serrano
The academic community has witnessed a notable increase in paper publications, whereby the rapid pace at which modern society seeks information underscores the critical need for literature mapping. This study introduces an innovative automatic model for categorizing articles by subject matter using Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for classification and category labeling, alongside a proposed ranking method called SSS (Scientific Significance Score) and using Z-score to select the finest papers. This paper’s use case concerns industry productivity. The key findings include the following: (1) The Decision Tree model demonstrated superior performance with an accuracy rate of 75% in classifying articles within the productivity and industry theme. (2) Through a ranking methodology based on citation count and publication date, it identified the finest papers. (3) Recent publications with higher citation counts achieved better scores. (4) The model’s sensitivity to outliers underscores the importance of addressing database imbalances, necessitating caution during training by excluding biased categories. These findings not only advance the utilization of ML models for paper classification but also lay a foundation for further research into productivity within the industry, exploring themes such as artificial intelligence, efficiency, industry 4.0, innovation, and sustainability.

17 April 2024 in Systems
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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ASAndre Luiz Marques Serrano
Andre Luiz Marques Serrano
GSGabriela Mayumi Saiki
Gabriela Mayumi Saiki
CRCarlos Rosano-Penã
Carlos Rosano-Penã
GRGabriel Rodrigues
Gabriel Rodrigues
RARobson De Oliveira Albuquerque
Robson De Oliveira Albuquerque
Luis Javier García VillalbaLuis Javier García Villalba
Luis Javier García Villalba
With the economic growth of the Brazilian agroindustry, it is necessary to evaluate the efficiency of this activity in relation to environmental demands for the country’s economic, social, and sustainable development. Within this perspective, the present research aims to examine the eco-efficiency of agricultural production in Brazilian regions, covering 5563 municipalities in the north, northeast, center-west, southeast, and south regions, using data from 2016–2017. In this sense, this study uses the DEA methods (classical and stochastic) and the computational bootstrap method to remove outliers and measure eco-efficiency. The findings lead to two fundamental conclusions: first, by emulating the benchmarks, it is feasible to increase annual revenue and preserved areas to an aggregated regional level by 20.84% while maintaining the same inputs. Given that no municipality has reached an eco-efficiency value equal to 1, there is room for optimization and improvement of production and greater sustainable development of the municipalities. Secondly, climatic factors notably influence eco-efficiency scores, suggesting that increasing temperatures and decreasing precipitation can positively impact eco-efficiency in the region. These conclusions, dependent on regional characteristics, offer valuable information for policymakers to design strategies that balance economic growth and environmental preservation. Furthermore, adaptive policies and measures can be implemented to increase the resilience of local producers and reduce vulnerability to changing climate conditions.

26 July 2024 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MOMatheus Noschang de Oliveira
Matheus Noschang de Oliveira
LMLetícia Rezende Mosquéra
Letícia Rezende Mosquéra
PMPatricia Helena Dos Santos Martins
Patricia Helena Dos Santos Martins
ASAndre Luiz Marques Serrano
Andre Luiz Marques Serrano
GBGuilherme Dantas Bispo
Guilherme Dantas Bispo
VGVinícius Pereira Gonçalves
Vinícius Pereira Gonçalves
The use of biofuels represents a promising means of achieving a sustainable future and offers considerable economic and environmental benefits. Since they are derived from organic sources, such as vegetable oils and animal fats, biofuels can mitigate the effects of greenhouse gas emissions, improve air quality, support local agriculture, create employment opportunities, and enhance energy security by reducing dependence on fossil fuels. However, introducing these alternative fuels to the aviation sector remains a significant challenge. Thus, it is vital to investigate the potential of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and discover how to overcome the technological obstacles to its integration into mainstream aviation to attain broader decarbonization objectives. This article seeks to contribute to a discussion about SAF by examining how it has evolved and its connections to related patents. This article is a comprehensive study of biofuel innovation, highlighting the complex relationships between academia, industry, and other stakeholders. It is hoped that the findings from this study will provide a clearer understanding of the catalysts involved in SAF innovation and provide valuable insights for policymakers, academics, and professionals in the field who are committed to shaping the trajectory of sustainable energy technologies in the future.

4 July 2024 in Sustainability
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
GSGabriela Mayumi Saiki
Gabriela Mayumi Saiki
ASAndre Luiz Marques Serrano
Andre Luiz Marques Serrano
GRGabriel Rodrigues
Gabriel Rodrigues
CRCarlos Rosano-Peña
Carlos Rosano-Peña
FPFabiano Mezadre Pompermayer
Fabiano Mezadre Pompermayer
PAPedro Henrique Melo Albuquerque
Pedro Henrique Melo Albuquerque
The exponential growth of the agricultural industry in the Amazon region has brought about notable economic advancements. However, this growth has substantially cost the region’s ecosystems, manifesting in increased deforestation and biodiversity degradation within the Amazon forest. This article is dedicated to assessing the eco-efficiency of agricultural production in Amazon Biome municipalities. It places particular emphasis on identifying critical determinants through the utilization of the classic Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model for efficiency computation, super-efficiency models for distinctive characterization, bootstrap computational techniques for robust resampling, and the Malmquist index for calculating annual eco-efficiency indices of each Decision-Making Unit (DMU). An exploration of the correlation between efficiency and meteorological attributes of the municipalities is conducted. The findings of this study reveal the following significant points: Eco-efficient municipalities within the Amazon Biome can serve as benchmarks for other DMUs striving to attain optimal input–output levels, most municipalities in the Amazon Biome operate close to the productive frontier due to the prevalent technology employed in their agricultural activities, the nature of the technological frontier’s return suggests that small and large DMUs possess eco-efficiency potential, and the current dataset does not yield conclusive evidence regarding a direct correlation between the variables. Leveraging this information, strategic pathways can be formulated to drive economic development in tandem with the sustainability of Amazon Biome municipalities. These strategies promise to foster social, economic, and environmental benefits for the populace while providing valuable insights to inform future research within this thematic domain.