Drought stress disrupts the molecular-level water balance in plants, and severe water deficiency can be fatal for cotton plants. However, mild water deficits or short-term drought stress may enhance crop resilience, increasing yields. The present study aims to determine the optimal watering time and irrigation amount to induce drought tolerance in cotton seedlings during drought training. Specifically, the investigation focuses on identifying the ideal day for watering and the corresponding irrigation volume that effectively triggers the transition of cotton plants into a state of enhanced resistance to drought stress during the seedling stage. In this study, the CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model was utilized, and our objectives were to (i) evaluate the predictive capability of CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton for yield estimation in field experiments in Xinjiang and (ii) simulate and assess the range of time during the seedling stage when cotton plants can withstand drought stress without reducing yields, identifying irrigation strategies that induce drought training while maintaining yield under mild water deficiency. The model was validated using yield data from field experiments conducted in 2023. The validation criteria included a normalized root mean square error $\left(nRMSE\right)>10\%$ and a coefficient of determination $\left(r^2\right)>85\%$ for yield; for the leaf area index (LAI), the criterion was $\left(r^2\right)>90\%$, with a degree of agreement of $\left(d\right)>75\%$. The results demonstrated the accuracy of the CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model in predicting cotton yield. Based on the validated CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model, this study employed the LINUX crop model batch-processing technique to efficiently simulate 357 different irrigation strategies by adjusting the amount of “first irrigation” and timing. The findings revealed that in the irrigation scheme for cotton during the seedling stage, when the amount of first irrigation was in the lower range of 10 mm to 15 mm, the cotton plants underwent drought training during the early growth stage, and their yields did not exhibit drastic fluctuations due to reduced amounts of first irrigation. The suitable period for first irrigation for drought training was from 25 June to 6 July, and the amount of first irrigation could save approximately 57.14% in irrigation water. This implies that subjecting cotton plants to a certain level of drought training can enhance their stress tolerance and increase yields. This finding holds great significance for cotton cultivation in drought-prone regions.

With the changing global climate, drought stress will pose a considerable challenge to the sustainable development of agriculture in arid regions. The objective of this study was to explore the resistance and water demand of cotton plants to water stress during the flowering and boll setting stage. The experimental plot was in Huaxing Farm of Changji city. The plots were irrigated, respectively, at 100% (as the control), 90%, 85% and 80% of the general irrigation amount in the local area. The relationship between the various measured indexes and final yield under different deficit irrigation (DI) treatments was studied. The results showed that deficit irrigation impacted the growth and development processes of cotton during the flowering and boll setting stage. There was a high negative correlation (R² > 0.95) between the maximum leaf area index and yield. Similarly, there was a high correlation between malondialdehyde content and yield. Meanwhile, 90% of the local cotton irrigation contributed to water saving and even increasing cotton yield. Furthermore, based on the results, the study made an initial optimization to the local irrigation scheme by utilizing the DSSAT model. It was found that changing the irrigation interval to 12 days during the stage could further enhance cotton yield and conserve resources.