The development and functional perfection of urban areas have led to increasingly severe fire risks in recent decades. Previous urban fire risk assessment methods relied on subjective judgment, rough data collection, simple linear statistical methods, etc. These drawbacks can lead to low robustness of evaluation and inadequate generalization ability. To resolve these problems, this paper selects the indicator and regression models based on the high-resolution data of the spatial distribution characteristics of Longquanyi distinct in Chengdu, China. and proposes an integrated machine learning algorithm for fire risk assessment. Firstly, the kernel density analysis is used to map the fourteen urban characteristics related to fire risks. The contributions of these indicators (characteristics) to fire risk and its corresponding index are determined by Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Then, the spatial correlation of fire risks is determined through Moran’s I, and the spatial distribution pattern of indicator weights is clarified through the raster coefficient space analysis. Finally, with these selected indicators, we test the regression performance with a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) algorithm and a geographically weighted regression (GWR) model. The results indicate that numerical variables are more suitable than dummy variables for estimating micro-scale fire risks. The main factors with a high contribution are all numerical variables, including roads, gas pipelines, GDP, hazardous chemical enterprises, petrol and charging stations, cultural heritage protection units, assembly occupancies, and high-rise buildings. The machine learning algorithm integrating RF and BPNN shows the best performance (R² = 0.97), followed by the RF-GWR integrated algorithm (R² = 0.87). Compared with previous methods, this algorithm reduces the subjectivity of the traditional assessment models and shows the ability to automatically obtain the key indicators of urban fire risks. Hence, this new approach provides us with a more robust tool for assessing the future fire safety level in urban areas.

One of the long-held assumptions of evacuation research is that households constitute the basic unit for decision making and ultimately evacuation itself. Most disaster researchers collect their data and build their models around the assumption that household decision making and ultimately evacuation are undertaken as a single unit. Recently it has been suggested that family and household evacuation patterns may be undergoing change and that there is an increasing trend of households using more than one vehicle to evacuate. This study addresses these potential changes directly by focusing on the issue of whether households actually stay together when evacuating versus splitting with groups leaving at different times. This investigation of households evacuating due to Hurricane Rita revealed that 9.3% of households evacuated in multiple groups at different times, with nearly 17% of households in highly vulnerable areas such as Galveston, Texas, splitting compared with 7.3% among shadow evacuee hous...