The process of climate warming significantly affects agroclimatic resources and agricultural production. We study the agroclimatic resources and their variability on the territory of the Republic of Bashkortostan (Russia). The Bashkortostan has a high agricultural potential and holds a leading position in the country in the production of grain crops, potatoes, milk, and honey. Currently, no detailed studies have been conducted for this area to assess the effects of global climate change on agro-climatic resources. World experience shows such research becomes strategically important for regions with powerful agricultural production. We used the sums of average daily air temperatures above 0 and 10 °C, the G.T. Selyaninov hydrothermal coefficient, and the Ped aridity (humidification) index as agroclimatic indicators. We used data of long-term meteorological observations of 30 meteorological stations for the period of 1961–2020. We revealed the long-term dynamics of the agroclimatic indicators and the spatial and temporal regularities in their distribution on the territory of Bashkortostan. There is a steady increase in the sums of average daily air temperatures above 0 and 10 °C. Against this background, aridity increases, which is especially manifested in the southern parts of the Republic of Bashkortostan. We assessed the impact of agroclimatic indicators on the main types of agricultural crops in the republic. We revealed that the greatest positive impact on the yield of oilseeds, cereals, and industrial crops is made by precipitation at the beginning (r = 0.50, r = 0.44, and r = 0.52, respectively) and in the middle of the growing season (r = 0.55, r = 0.76, and r = 0.51, respectively). Temperature and precipitation during the growing season have a complex effect on cereals. This is proven by correlations with HCS and the Ped index (r = 0.45 and r = −0.56, respectively). Aridity at the beginning of the growing season affects the yield of oilseeds and potatoes. This is confirmed by correlations with the Ped index (r = −0.49 and r = −0.52, respectively). In general, the aridity of the growing season has a significant impact on the yield of cereals (r = −0.57). Negative relationships have been found between the air temperature growing season and the yield of potatoes (r = −0.50) and cereals (r = −0.53). The results of the study were compared with data from the Copernicus Climate Change Service database. We identified climate trends under RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5 scenarios. These scenarios should be taken into account when developing plans for the adaptation of agriculture in the Republic of Bashkortostan to changes in the regional climate. Maximum decrease in precipitation is established for the RCP 6.0 scenario. This can have an extremely negative impact on crop yields. This problem is especially relevant for the southern part of the Republic of Bashkortostan. The information presented in the study will allow for a more effective adaptation of the agricultural sector to current and future climate changes.

This study investigated carbon sequestration potential in reforesting agricultural lands with prevalence of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) in the “Nasibash” site of the Eurasian Carbon Polygon, located in the Republic of Bashkortostan, Russia. The research focused on analyzing carbon stocks in different ecosystem components (tree stand, herbaceous layer, litter, and soil) across various stages of succession, including fallow land, hayfield, and four stages of Scots pine reforestation. We found that needles during the first stage of succession were characterized by the highest carbon sequestration, while the lowest was in underground phytomass (roots). The tree stand exhibited a higher potential for carbon sequestration in stem wood, branches, and needles compared to other components. The highest carbon accumulation in the tree layer was observed in the stem phytomass at the fourth stage of reforestation, while the highest phytomass accumulation in the herbaceous layer was in the root mass at the fourth stage of succession. The study revealed that the highest organic carbon content in the topsoil layer was observed in areas dominated by herbaceous vegetation, with a decrease in carbon content as the stage of succession increased. The highest carbon content was found in tree pines at the first stage of succession. The research highlighted the importance of considering conversion factors for different stages of reforestation, as the average carbon content in vegetation was 20% higher than the approved conversion factors for young tree stands. Overall, the study demonstrates the significant potential of Scots pine reforestation on former agricultural lands for carbon. The findings suggest that these territories play a decisive role in future environmental and climate projects, contributing to the decarbonization efforts.