Plant breeding programs primarily focus on improving a crop's environmental adaptability and biotic stress tolerance in order to increase yield. Crop improvements made since the 1950s – coupled with inexpensive agronomic inputs, such as fertilizers, pesticides, and water – have allowed agricultural production to keep pace with human population growth. Plant breeders, particularly those at public institutions, have an interest in reducing agriculture's negative impacts and improving the natural environment to provide or maintain ecosystem services (eg clean soil, water, and air; carbon sequestration), and in creating new agricultural paradigms (eg perennial polycultures). Here, we discuss recent developments in, as well as the goals of, plant breeding, and explain how these may be connected to the specific interests of ecologists and naturalists. Plant breeding can be a powerful tool to bring “harmony” between agriculture and the environment, but partnerships between plant breeders, ecologists, urban planners, and policy makers are needed to make this a reality.

Core Ideas: UAS captured increased genetic variation compared with manual terminal height. There were small significant differences in ground filtering methods to extract plant structure. Higher resolution did not improve imagery informativeness with regard to plant height. Logistic function provides informative phenotypes for temporal maize growth. Correlation and prediction accuracy of grain yield increased by ∼20% with UAS heights. Weekly unmanned aerial system (UAS) imagery was collected over the College Station, TX, 2017 Genomes to Fields (G2F) hybrid trial, across three environmental stress treatments, using two UAS platforms. The high‐altitude (120‐m) fixed‐wing platform increased the fraction of variation attributed to genetics and had highly repeatable (R > 60%) height estimates, increasing the genetic variance explained (10–40%) over traditional terminal plant height measurement (PHT_TRML ∼30%), as well as over the low‐altitude rotary‐wing UAS platform (10–20%). A logistic function reduced the dimensionality (>20 flights) of each UAS dataset to three parameters (inflection point, growth rate, and asymptote) and produced a more robust predictive model than independent flight dates, effectively summarizing (R² > 0.98) the UAS flight dates. The logistic model overcame the need to use specific flight dates when comparing different environments. The UAS height estimates (r = 0.36–0.48) doubled the correlations to grain yield in this G2F experiment compared with PHT_TRML (r = 0.23–0.28). Parameters of the logistical function achieved equivalent correlations (r = 0.30–0.46) to individual flight dates (r = 0.36–0.48), improving grain yield prediction by ∼400% (R² = 0.25–0.34) over PHT_TRML (R² = 0.06–0.08). Incorporating other UAS‐derived parameters beyond plant height may allow yield to be accurately predicted before maturity, speeding breeding programs. A new public R function to generate ESRI shapefiles for plot research is also described.

The primary maize (Zea mays L.) production areas are in temperate regions throughout the world and this is where most maize breeding is focused. Important but lower yielding maize growing regions such as the sub-tropics experience unique challenges, the greatest of which are drought stress and aflatoxin contamination. Here we used a diversity panel consisting of 346 maize inbred lines originating in temperate, sub-tropical and tropical areas testcrossed to stiff-stalk line Tx714 to investigate these traits. Testcross hybrids were evaluated under irrigated and non-irrigated trials for yield, plant height, ear height, days to anthesis, days to silking and other agronomic traits. Irrigated trials were also inoculated with Aspergillus flavus and evaluated for aflatoxin content. Diverse maize testcrosses out-yielded commercial checks in most trials, which indicated the potential for genetic diversity to improve sub-tropical breeding programs. To identify genomic regions associated with yield, aflatoxin resistance and other important agronomic traits, a genome wide association analysis was performed. Using 60,000 SNPs, this study found 10 quantitative trait variants for grain yield, plant and ear height, and flowering time after stringent multiple test corrections, and after fitting different models. Three of these variants explained 5–10% of the variation in grain yield under both water conditions. Multiple identified SNPs co-localized with previously reported QTL, which narrows the possible location of causal polymorphisms. Novel significant SNPs were also identified. This study demonstrated the potential to use genome wide association studies to identify major variants of quantitative and complex traits such as yield under drought that are still segregating between elite inbred lines.

Unoccupied aerial system (UAS; i.e., drone equipped with sensors) field-based high-throughput phenotyping (HTP) platforms are used to collect high quality images of plant nurseries to screen genetic materials (e.g., hybrids and inbreds) throughout plant growth at relatively low cost. In this study, a set of 100 advanced breeding maize (Zea mays L.) hybrids were planted at optimal (OHOT trial) and delayed planting dates (DHOT trial). Twelve UAS surveys were conducted over the trials throughout the growing season. Fifteen vegetative indices (VIs) and the 99^th percentile canopy height measurement (CHMs) were extracted from processed UAS imagery (orthomosaics and point clouds) which were used to predict plot-level grain yield, days to anthesis (DTA), and silking (DTS). A novel statistical approach utilizing a nested design was fit to predict temporal best linear unbiased predictors (TBLUP) for the combined temporal UAS data. Our results demonstrated machine learning-based regressions (ridge, lasso, and elastic net) had from 4- to 9-fold increases in the prediction accuracies and from 13- to 73-fold reductions in root mean squared error (RMSE) compared to classical linear regression in prediction of grain yield or flowering time. Ridge regression performed best in predicting grain yield (prediction accuracy = ~0.6), while lasso and elastic net regressions performed best in predicting DTA and DTS (prediction accuracy = ~0.8) consistently in both trials. We demonstrated that predictor variable importance descended towards the terminal stages of growth, signifying the importance of phenotype collection beyond classical terminal growth stages. This study is among the first to demonstrate an ability to predict yield in elite hybrid maize breeding trials using temporal UAS image-based phenotypes and supports the potential benefit of phenomic selection approaches in estimating breeding values before harvest.

High‐throughput phenotyping technologies, which can generate large volumes of data at low costs, may be used to indirectly predict yield. We explore this concept, using high‐throughput phenotype information from Fourier transformed near‐infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS) of harvested kernels to predict parental grain yield in maize ( Zea mays L.), and demonstrate a proof of concept for phenomic‐based models in maize breeding. A dataset of 2,563 whole‐kernel samples from a diversity panel of 346 hybrid testcrosses were scanned on a plot basis using NIRS. Scans consisted of 3,076 wavenumbers (bands) in the range of 4,000–10,000 cm ⁻¹ . Corresponding grain yield for each sample was used to train phenomic prediction and selection models using three types of statistical learning: (a) partial least square regression (PLSR), (b) NIRS best linear unbiased predictor (NIRS BLUP), and (c) functional regression. Our results found that NIRS data were a useful tool to predict maize grain yield and showed promising results for evaluating genetically independent breeding populations. All model types were successful; functional regression followed by the PLSR model resulted in the best predictions. Pearson's correlations between predicted and observed grain yields exceeded .7 in many cases within random cross validation. Partial least squares regression also showed promise on independent breeding trials. More research on predicting phenotypic traits from spectra will provide better understanding how NIRS and other phenomic technology can be used in predicting phenotypes of breeding programs.

Lodging has been recognized as one of the major destructive factors for crop quality and yield, resulting in an increasing need to develop cost-efficient and accurate methods for detecting crop lodging in a routine manner. Using structure-from-motion (SfM) and novel geospatial computing algorithms, this study investigated the potential of high resolution imaging with unmanned aircraft system (UAS) technology for detecting and assessing lodging severity over an experimental maize field at the Texas A&M AgriLife Research and Extension Center in Corpus Christi, Texas, during the 2016 growing season. The method was proposed to not only detect the occurrence of lodging at the field scale, but also to quantitatively estimate the number of lodged plants and the lodging rate within individual rows. Nadir-view images of the field trial were taken by multiple UAS platforms equipped with consumer grade red, green, and blue (RGB), and near-infrared (NIR) cameras on a routine basis, enabling a timely observation of the plant growth until harvesting. Models of canopy structure were reconstructed via an SfM photogrammetric workflow. The UAS-estimated maize height was characterized by polygons developed and expanded from individual row centerlines, and produced reliable accuracy when compared against field measures of height obtained from multiple dates. The proposed method then segmented the individual maize rows into multiple grid cells and determined the lodging severity based on the height percentiles against preset thresholds within individual grid cells. From the analysis derived from this method, the UAS-based lodging results were generally comparable in accuracy to those measured by a human data collector on the ground, measuring the number of lodging plants (R² = 0.48) and the lodging rate (R² = 0.50) on a per-row basis. The results also displayed a negative relationship of ground-measured yield with UAS-estimated and ground-measured lodging rate.