Earthquake early-warning system (EEWS) is inevitable for saving human lives. The fast determination of the Earthquake’s (EQ’s) magnitude and its location is significant in disaster management and EQ risk mitigation. These parameters can be conveyed over the Internet-of-Things (IoT) network to alleviate an EQ disaster. In this article, a deep learning model based on integrating autoencoder (AE) and convolutional neural network (CNN) for a swift pinpointing of EQ magnitude and location after 3 s from the onset of the P-wave is proposed. Thus, we name it 3 s AE and CNN (3S-AE-CNN). The employed data set is observed by three stations from the Japanese Hi-net seismic network. We have trained our model on 12200 events (109.80 thousand 3-s-three-component seismic windows). The model facilitates the extraction of waveforms’ significant features leading to robust estimation of the EQ parameters. The proposed model predicts the magnitude and location of EQ with errors in magnitude, latitude, and longitude that reach 0.000028, 0.0000033, and 0.0001, respectively. The EQ’s parameters calculated by the proposed 3S-AE-CNN model are swiftly sent to a centralized IoT system that in turn directs the involved entity to take suitable action. The obtained results of the 3S-AE-CNN are compared to the conventional manual solution method, which represents the optimum solution mean. The 3S-AE-CNN shows an enhanced performance for the magnitude and location determination as compared with the benchmark method, which proves its effectiveness for EEWS.
20 July 2023 in IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing
The need for an earthquake early-warning system (EEWS) is unavoidable in order to save lives. In terms of managing earthquake disasters and achieving effective risk mitigation, the quick identification of the earthquake’s intensity is a valuable factor. In light of this, the on-site intensity measurement can be transmitted over an Internet of Things (IoT) network. In this regard, a machine learning (ML) strategy based on numerous linear and non-linear models is proposed in this study for a quick determination of earthquake intensity after two seconds from the P-wave onset. We call this model an on-site two-second ML model-based earthquake intensity determination (2S-ML-EIOS). The utilized dataset INSTANCE for this model is observed by the number of 386 stations from the Italian national seismic network. Our model has been trained on 50,000 occurrences (150 thousand of 2s-three-component seismic windows). The model has the ability to deal with limited features of the waveform traces leading to reliable estimation of the earthquake intensity. The suggested model has a 98.59% accuracy rate in predicting earthquake intensity. The suggested 2S-ML-EIOS model can be used with a centralized IoT system to promptly send the alarm, and the IoT system will then instruct the affected administration to take the appropriate action. The 2S-ML-EIOS results are contrasted with those from the traditional manual solution approach, which corresponds to the ideal solution mean. Based on the extreme gradient boosting (XGB) model, the 2S-ML-EIOS can achieve the best intensity determination, and this improved performance demonstrates the methodology’s efficacy for EEWS.
12 January 2022 in IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters
We develop a random forest (RF) model for rapid earthquake location with an aim to assist earthquake early warning (EEW) systems in fast decision making. This system exploits P-wave arrival times at the first five stations recording an earthquake and computes their respective arrival time differences relative to a reference station (i.e., the first recording station). These differential P-wave arrival times and station locations are classified in the RF model to estimate the epicentral location. We train and test the proposed algorithm with an earthquake catalog from Japan. The RF model predicts the earthquake locations with high accuracy, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.88 km. As importantly, the proposed RF model can learn from a limited amount of data (i.e., 10% of the dataset) and much fewer (i.e., three) recording stations and still achieve satisfactory results (MAE < 5 km). The algorithm is accurate, generalizable, and rapidly responding, thereby offering a powerful new tool for fast and reliable source-location prediction in EEW.
An earthquake early-warning system (EEWS) is an indispensable tool for mitigating loss of life caused by earthquakes. The ability to rapidly assess the severity of an earthquake is crucial for effectively managing earthquake disasters and implementing successful risk-reduction strategies. In this regard, the utilization of an Internet of Things (IoT) network enables the real-time transmission of on-site intensity measurements. This paper introduces a novel approach based on machine-learning (ML) techniques to accurately and promptly determine earthquake intensity by analyzing the seismic activity 2 s after the onset of the p-wave. The proposed model, referred to as 2S1C1S, leverages data from a single station and a single component to evaluate earthquake intensity. The dataset employed in this study, named “INSTANCE,” comprises data from the Italian National Seismic Network (INSN) via hundreds of stations. The model has been trained on a substantial dataset of 50,000 instances, which corresponds to 150,000 seismic windows of 2 s each, encompassing 3C. By effectively capturing key features from the waveform traces, the proposed model provides a reliable estimation of earthquake intensity, achieving an impressive accuracy rate of 99.05% in forecasting based on any single component from the 3C. The 2S1C1S model can be seamlessly integrated into a centralized IoT system, enabling the swift transmission of alerts to the relevant authorities for prompt response and action. Additionally, a comprehensive comparison is conducted between the results obtained from the 2S1C1S method and those derived from the conventional manual solution method, which is considered the benchmark. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed 2S1C1S model, employing extreme gradient boosting (XGB), surpasses several ML benchmarks in accurately determining earthquake intensity, thus highlighting the effectiveness of this methodology for earthquake early-warning systems (EEWSs).
16 September 2022 in IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters
Discrimination between earthquakes and quarry blasts is crucial for precise seismic analysis, e.g., seismic hazard mitigation and earthquake cataloging. However, the discrimination process is challenging due to the similarity of waveforms between the local earthquakes and quarry blasts. We propose to use the scalogram and the capsule neural network to distinguish between earthquakes and quarry blasts. First, we obtain the scalogram for 60 s three-channel waveforms, where we extract 10 s before and 50 s after the first arrival time of the seismic event. Second, we utilize the capsule neural network to extract the important information from the input scalogram which leads to robust classification performance. The proposed capsule neural network consists of the convolutional layer, primary capsule layer, and digit caps layer. The convolutional layer extracts the important information from the input data, and the primary capsule layer extracts the spatial relationship between different feature maps. Third, we use the dynamic routing process to connect the primary capsule to the digit caps layer. We train and test the proposed capsule network using a small and unbalanced dataset which is recorded by the Egyptian Seismic Network (ENSN) in the Red Sea and the surrounding area in Egypt. Accordingly, the proposed method achieves a test accuracy of 96.08%. The proposed method is compared to the benchmark methods, i.e., convolutional neural network (CNN), AlexNet, VGG, and ResNet networks, and demonstrated to outperform all of the competing methods. Finally, we apply the proposed method to classify real-time seismic events and obtain promising results.
5 September 2023 in IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters
We present a novel deep-learning method using the ConvMixer network for automatic earthquake location. The proposed ConvMixer network utilizes three-component waveform recordings of single stations for estimating the hypocenter location. The ConvMixer network is a patch-based architecture that combines depthwise and pointwise convolutions to extract the global and local information of the earthquake waveforms. We train and test the proposed method using the Italian seismic dataset (INSTANCE). The ConvMixer network estimates the earthquake hypocenter locations with high accuracy, reaching a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.71 km for the epicenter distance, and 1.15 km for the depth. In addition, we use the global STanford EArthquake Dataset (STEAD) to further evaluate the performance of the ConvMixer. As a result, the ConvMixer network achieves MAEs of 2.27 km and 1.19 km for the distance and the depth, respectively. The proposed ConvMixer network is compared to the benchmark methods, i.e., ResNet, AlexNet, MobileNet, and Xception, and outperforms all of them.