Near the Atacama Desert, Tacna city in Peru is among the largest arid cities with constant urban development, thus understanding of the urban surface thermal pattern is needed. We propose a comprehensive study of the urban heat island phenomenon, with the objective of (1) determining the spatial and temporal variations of the urban heat islands (UHIs), in the period 1985 to 2020; (2) analyzing the relationship between the UHI and influencing factors such as vegetation, urban area, and population, using indices calculated with satellite images. The Google Earth Engine repository was used to evaluate the corrected images from the years 1985 to 2020. The coincidence between the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and normalized difference built-up index (NDBI) was good, negative between NDVI and the land surface temperature (LST), attributable to dense vegetation, and negative and very high (−0.81) between NDBI and NDVI, as massive urbanization leads to the reduction in the vegetal surface. The NDBI has a high impact on the LST; a coefficient of connections is recorded as 0.46. Tacna is a very arid region, and an increase in the time of the LST occurred with the increase in industrialization and urbanization. The land use/cover change (LUCC) evidences change in the climate in the city of Tacna; temperatures of 24.2 °C to 44.2 °C are observed in the built-up areas. In vegetated areas, the temperature remains below 24 °C, which is associated with a high rate of potential evapotranspiration. Thus, this study shows that variations in urban form and growth have produced the development of intraurban surface thermal patterns.
One of the most notable problems in the Atacama desert is the low occurrence of rainfall, which leads to a shortage of surface and groundwater for different users in the region. Therefore, the task of carrying out new exploration studies of potential groundwater zones (GWPZs) is of vital importance for decision-makers in water resources. The main objective of this research is to determine potential sources of groundwater using a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making technique with remote sensors. A method of exploration using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) techniques applied to remote sensing data is provided. The AHP method allows calculating the influence of multiple factors, and along with the GIS environment, a map of groundwater exploitation potential can be produced. The results indicating GWPZs showed four classifications of groundwater potential. The distribution shows 15.02%, 23.93%, 59.80%, and 1.25% of the total area with high, moderate, low, and very low potential, respectively. The results were validated with existing wells in the study area, offering an acceptance of 86.9%. This reveals the effectiveness and accuracy of the AHP-based GIS approach as a strategy for analyzing groundwater potential in arid zones. Similarly, the tested high GWP areas are helpful for the development and management of water resources in the Caplina basin.
Land surface temperature (LST) and its relationship with vegetation indices (VIs) have proven to be effective for monitoring water stress in large-scale crops. Therefore, the objective of this study is to find an appropriate VI to analyse the spatio-temporal evolution of olive water stress using LST images and VIs derived from Landsat 5 and 8 satellites in the semi-arid region of southern Peru. For this purpose, VIs (Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index 2 (EVI2) and Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI)) and LST were calculated. The information was processed in Google Earth Engine (GEE) for the period 1985 to 2024, with an interval of every five years for the summer season. The triangle method was applied based on the LST-VIs scatterplot analysis, a tool that establishes wet and dry boundary conditions for the Temperature Vegetation Dryness Index (TVDI). The results indicated a better appreciation of olive orchard water stress over time, with an average of 39% drought (TVDINDVI and TVDISAVI), 24% severe drought (TVDINDVI) and 25% (TVDISAVI) of the total area, compared to TVDIEVI2, which showed 37% drought and 16% severe drought. It is concluded that TVDINDVI and TVDISAVI provide a better visualisation of the water stress map of the olive crop and offer a range of options to address current and future problems in water resource management in the olive sector in semi-arid areas of southern Peru.
Natural aquifers used for human consumption are among the most important resources in the world. The Locumba basin faces significant challenges due to its limited water availability for the local population. In this way, the search for possible aquifer recharge zones is crucial work for urban development in areas that have water scarcity. To evaluate this problem, this research proposes the use of the hybrid Fuzzy AHP methodology in conjunction with the TOPSIS algorithm to obtain a potential aquifer recharge map. Ten factors that influence productivity and capacity in an aquifer were implemented, which were subjected to Fuzzy AHP to obtain their weighting. Using the TOPSIS algorithm, the delineation of the most favorable areas with high recharge potential was established. The result shows that the most influential factors for recharge are precipitation, permeability, and slopes, which obtained the highest weights of 0.22, 0.19, and 0.17, respectively. In parallel, the TOPSIS result highlights the potential recharge zones distributed in the Locumba basin, which were classified into five categories: very high (13%), high (28%), moderate (15%), low (28%), and very low (16%). The adapted methodology in this research seeks to be the first step toward effective water resource management in the study area.
Droughts have always been one of the most dangerous hazards for civilizations, especially when they impact the headwaters of a watershed, as their effects can spread downstream. In this context, observed droughts (1981–2015) and projected droughts (2016–2100) were assessed in Candarave, the headwaters of the Locumba basin. Regarding observed droughts, SPI-3 and SPEI-3 detected seven extreme droughts (1983, 1992, 1996, 1998, 2010, 2011, and 2012), with the most intense occurring in 1992 and 1998. SPI-6 and SPEI-6 identified the same extreme drought events, highlighting 1992 as the most intense. Additionally, it was concluded that the VCI also detected the droughts identified by the SPEI; however, a more detailed analysis of its use is necessary due to the limited availability of suitable satellite images in the area. On the other hand, a high-resolution dataset of climate models from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) under the SSP3-7.0 scenario was used to project future droughts. Of the models in that dataset, CanESM5, IPSL–CM6A–LR, and UKESM1–0–LL did not perform well in the study area. SPI and SPEI projected more than ten episodes of extreme drought, indicating that extreme droughts will become more frequent, severe, and intense in the last 30 years of this century.
Floods represent one of the most significant climate-related hazards, particularly in regions with complex topographies and variable precipitation patterns. This study assesses flood-prone areas within the Mantaro watershed, Peru, using Geographic Information Systems (GISs) and morphometric analysis. The methodology integrates digital elevation models (DEMs) with hydrological parameters, applying weighted sum analysis to classify 18 sub-watersheds into different flood priority levels. Morphometric parameters, including basin relief, drainage density, and slope, were analyzed to establish correlations between watershed morphology and flood susceptibility. The results indicate that approximately 74.38% of the watershed exhibits high to very high flood risk, with the most vulnerable sub-watersheds characterized by steep slopes, high drainage densities, and compact morphometric configurations. The correlation matrix confirms that watershed topography significantly influences surface runoff behavior, underscoring the necessity of incorporating geospatial analysis into flood risk assessment frameworks. The classification of sub-watersheds into priority levels provides a scientific basis for optimizing resource allocation in flood mitigation strategies. This study highlights the importance of integrating advanced geospatial technologies, such as GISs and remote sensing, into hydrological risk assessments. The findings emphasize the need for proactive watershed management, including the use of real-time monitoring and digital tools for climate adaptation. Future research should explore the influence of land-use changes and climate variability on flood dynamics to enhance predictive modeling. These insights contribute to evidence-based decision-making for disaster risk reduction, reinforcing resilience in climate-sensitive regions.