Sustainable potable groundwater supply is crucial for human development and the preservation of natural habitats. The largest endorheic inland lake in Kazakhstan, Balkhash Lake, is the main water resource for the arid southeastern part of the country. Several ore enrichment plants that are located along its shore have heavy metal pollution potential. The study area is located around a plant that has an evident anthropogenic impact on the Balkhash Lake aquatic ecological system, with ten known heavy metal toxic hotspots endangering fragile habitats, including some indigenous human communities. This study assessed the risk of heavy metal contamination from tailing dump operations, storage ponds, and related facilities and suggested management practices for preventing this risk. The coastal zone risk assessment analysis used an innovative integrated groundwater numerical flow and transport model that predicted the spread of groundwater contamination from tailing dump operations under several mitigation strategies. Heavy metal pollution prevention models included a no-action scenario, a filtration barrier construction scenario, and two scenarios involving the drilling of drainage wells between the pollution sources and the lake. The scenario assessment indicates that drilling ten drainage wells down to the bedrock between the existing drainage channel and the lake is the optimal engineering solution for confining pollution. Under these conditions, pollution from tailings will not reach Lake Balkhash during the forecast period. The methods and tools used in this study to enable mining activity without environmental implications for the region can be applied to sites with similar anthropogenic influences worldwide.
Groundwater is the primary source of livestock watering across the arid pasturelands of western Kazakhstan, yet no systematic field hydrochemical assessment has been published for this region in over 40 years. This study presents the first systematic field-based hydrochemical characterisation of groundwater sources used for pasture livestock watering in the West Kazakhstan Region and Aktobe Region, filling a critical data gap that has persisted since the Soviet era. Specifically, it characterises the hydrochemistry, water quality, and infrastructure condition of groundwater sources, and evaluates the groundwater resource potential against current and projected livestock water demand. A total of 139 groundwater samples were collected along 11,182 km of field routes during May–July 2025, and analysed for 25 physicochemical parameters; hydrochemical classification was performed using AquaChem 11, and spatial analysis was conducted in ArcGIS 10.8. The groundwater chemistry distribution is bimodal: fresh bicarbonate-calcium-magnesium waters (TDS < 3.0 g/L) constitute approximately 80% of samples, while highly mineralised chloride-sulphate-sodium waters (TDS up to 9.91 g/L) occur in salt-dome-influenced discharge zones. Nitrate concentrations exceeded 50 mg/L in 23–36% of samples, with maxima of 635 mg/L, reflecting intensive anthropogenic contamination near livestock facilities. Predictive exploitable fresh groundwater resources exceed current livestock demand by a factor of 162. The principal constraint on pasture water supply is not resource scarcity but the non-operational status of 51–75% of inspected watering infrastructure, a legacy of post-Soviet institutional collapse that requires urgent rehabilitation.
Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) is increasingly being realized as an important approach to improve water security in arid and semi-arid environments where there is a low amount of surface water and high climatic variability. This paper introduces a unified approach to the process of locating appropriate MAR locations and estimating recharge potential in Central Kazakhstan through a multi-criteria analysis using geographic information systems (GIS) and hydrogeological field exploration, water balance modelling. Remote sensing datasets and evapotranspiration (ET) analyses were conducted for the 2014–2024 period, while field investigations, infiltration tests, and hydrochemical sampling were performed during the 2025 field campaign. The suitability testing was preliminarily performed in the Google Earth Engine (GEE; Google LLC, Mountain View, CA, USA) environment as a weighted overlay test with the combination of terrain, vegetation, hydrological, and land cover parameters. According to the suitability map obtained and patterns of activity in agricultural activities, eleven candidate sites were identified, out of which eight were found to be suitable after hydrochemical analysis. The Nesterov and Boldyrev techniques of field-based infiltration tests produced a range of 0.05 to 1.42 m/day of hydraulic conductivity. Water balance analysis shows that the total amount of water that could potentially be added to groundwater recharge is about 40.2 million m3/year and that the effective amount of water could be recharged is about 11.0 million m3/year, which is limited by the infiltration processes. This means that about 27 percent of the available water is added into ground water recharge, which is a significant boost to the original estimates. The assessment of the storage capacity of the aquifers indicates that at all locations, the pore space is much greater than the recharge volumes that have been calculated and, therefore, storage is not a limiting factor in the implementation of MAR. It is estimated that the potential MAR rates range between 174 and 5282 m3/day depending on local hydrogeological conditions. The suggested method offers a powerful and generalizable site selection and measurement framework of MAR in arid areas with limited data. The findings highlight the significance of combining remote sensing, field measurements, and process-based modeling to aid sustainable groundwater management and climate adaptation strategies.
«A«Institute of Hydrogeology and Geoecology named after U.M. Akhmedsafin»
«Institute of Hydrogeology and Geoecology named after U.M. Akhmedsafin»
Выявлены основные факторы, определяющие инженерно-геологические условия, закономерности развития и распространения опасных геологических явлений (ОГЯ) на территории Восточного и Юго-Восточного Казахстана Разнообразие геологических, гидрогеологических, инженерно-геологических, сейсмических условий рассматриваемой территории обуславливают здесь развитие различных генетических типов опасных геологических явлений, таких как: землетрясения, сейсмодислокации, сейсмообвалы, оползни, осыпи, лавины, горные озёра, селевые потоки и др. В настоящее время особенно актуально проведение мониторинговых исследований ОГЯ с целью изучения оценки масштабов проявлений и уменьшение ущерба от них.
Groundwater resources are becoming increasingly scarce, especially in arid regions of western Kazakhstan. By 2070, the domestic and drinking water demands will increase from 640 to 901 thousand m3/day. This deficiency may be overcome by utilizing the Zhem Artesian Basin’s Cretaceous Albian–Cenomanian aquifer complex. The hydrodynamic interactions between the 123 known aquifer segments and recharge zones of these promising, exploitable, high-quality groundwater sources are unclear. While MODFLOW is a nominal platform for groundwater flow assessment, which is usually used for the simulation of simple hydrological scenarios, in this study, integrating several different scales and functional modules over a GIS platform enabled delineation and the forecast of this multi-layer aquifer complex. The MODFLOW simulation assessed exploitable groundwater resources and reservoir interactions, enabling the establishment of a simultaneous operation to the Zhem aquifer complex and its neighboring reservoirs. The model suggests that the total exploitable groundwater resources may grow to 629.4 thousand m3/day during the next 50 years. The simultaneous drawdown model suggests a water level decrease of up to 80 m at the end of this period, which will cause a river flow reduction of approximately 6% of the average long-term river flow. Thus, the assessed exploitable groundwater resources will cover more than 70% of the future regional water demand. The mathematical model developed may be used for monitoring and forecasting groundwater head and water balance changes and may be applied to attain a more detailed groundwater resource transfer scheme with economic criteria.
Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) is increasingly being realized as an important approach to improve water security in arid and semi-arid environments where there is a low amount of surface water and high climatic variability. This paper introduces a unified approach to the process of locating appropriate MAR locations and estimating recharge potential in Central Kazakhstan through the multi-criteria analysis using GIS and hydrogeological field exploration, water balance modelling. The suitability testing was preliminarily performed in the Google Earth Engine environment as a weighted overlay test with the combination of terrain, vegetation, hydrological, and land cover parameters. According to the suitability map obtained and patterns of activity in agricultural activities, eleven candidate sites were identified out of which eight were found to be suitable after hydrochemical analysis. The Nesterov and Boldyrev techniques of field-based infiltration tests, produced a range of 0.05 to 1.42 m/day of hydraulic conductivity. Water balance analysis shows that the total amount of water that could be recharged into the suitable sites is about 40.2 million m3/year and that the effective amount of water could be recharged is about 11.0 million m3/year, which is limited by the infiltration processes. This means that about 27 percent of the available water is added into ground water recharge which is a significant boost to the original estimates. The assessment of the storage capacity of the aquifers indicates that at all locations, the pore space is much greater than the recharge volumes that have been calculated and, therefore, storage is not a limiting factor in the implementation of MAR. It is estimated that there are recharge rates of between 174 and 5,282 m3/day, with a high degree of spatial variability which is caused by local hydrogeological circumstances. The suggested method offers a powerful and generalizable site selection and measurement framework of MAR in arid areas with limited data. The findings highlight the significance of combining remote sensing, field measurements, and process-based modeling to aid sustainable groundwater management and climate adaptation strategies.