To accurately evaluate the probabilistic characteristics of the fatigue properties of materials with small sample data under different stress ratios, a data fusion method for torsional fatigue life under different stress ratios is proposed based on the energy method. A finite element numerical modeling method is used to calculate the fatigue strain energy density during fatigue damage. Torsional fatigue tests under different stresses and stress ratios are carried out to obtain a database for research. Based on the test data, the - curves under a single stress ratio and different stress ratios are calculated. The reliability of the models is illustrated by the scatter band diagram. More than 85% of points are within ±2 scatter bands, indicating that the fatigue life under different stress ratios can be represented by the same - curve. Furthermore, P-- prediction models are established to consider the probability characteristics. According to the homogeneity of the - model under different stress ratios, we can fuse the fatigue life data under different stress ratios and different strain energy densities. This data fusion method can expand the small sample test data and reduce the dispersion of the test data between different stress ratios. Compared with the pre-fusion data, the standard deviations of the post-fusion data are reduced by a maximum of 21.5% for the smooth specimens and 38.5% for the notched specimens. And more accurate P-- curves can be obtained to respond to the probabilistic properties of the data.
The thermal protection system (TPS) represents one of the most critical subsystems for vehicle re-entry. However, due to uncertainties in thermal loads, material properties, and manufacturing deviations, the thermal response of the TPS exhibits significant randomness, posing considerable challenges in engineering design and reliability assessment. Given that uncertain aerodynamic heating loads manifest as a stochastic field over time, conventional surrogate models, typically accepting scalar random variables as inputs, face limitations in modeling them. Consequently, this paper introduces an effective characterization approach utilizing proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) to represent the uncertainties of aerodynamic heating. The augmented snapshots matrix is used to reduce the dimension of the random field by the decoupling method of independently spatial and temporal bases. The random variables describing material properties and geometric thickness are also employed as inputs for probabilistic analyses. An uncoupled POD Gaussian process regression (UPOD-GPR) model is then established to achieve highly accurate solutions for transient heat conduction. The model takes random heat flux fields as inputs and thermal response fields as outputs. Using a typical multi-layer TPS and thermal structure as two examples, probabilistic analyses are conducted. The mean square relative error of a typical multi-layer TPS is less than 4%. For the thermal structure, the averaged absolute error of the radiation and insulation layer is less than 25 °C and 6 °C when the maximum reaches 1200 °C and 150 °C, respectively. This approach can provide accurate and rapid predictions of thermal responses for TPS and thermal structures throughout their entire operating time when furnished with input heat flux fields and structural parameters.