Spatial downscaling is an important approach to obtain high-resolution land surface temperature (LST) for thermal environment research. However, existing downscaling methods are unable to sufficiently address both spatial heterogeneity and complex nonlinearity, especially in high-resolution scenes (<120 m), and accordingly limit the representation of regional details and accuracy of temperature inversion. In this study, by integrating normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference building index (NDBI), digital elevation model (DEM), and slope data, a high-resolution surface temperature downscaling method based on geographically neural network weighted regression (GNNWR) was developed to effectively handle the problem of surface temperature downscaling. The results show that the proposed GNNWR model achieved superior downscaling accuracy (maximum R2 of 0.974 and minimum RMSE of 0.896 °C) compared to widely used methods in four test areas with large differences in topography, landforms, and seasons. We also achieved the best extracted and most detailed spatial textures. Our findings suggest that GNNWR is a practical method for surface temperature downscaling considering its high accuracy and model performance.
Satellite-retrieved aerosol optical depth (AOD) data are extensively integrated with ground-level measurements to achieve spatially continuous fine particulate matters (PM2.5). Current satellite-based methods however face challenges in obtaining highly accurate and reasonable PM2.5 distributions due to the inability to handle both spatial non-stationarity and complex non-linearity in the PM2.5–AOD relationship. High-resolution (<1 km) PM2.5 products over the whole of China for fine exposure assessment and health research are also lacking. This study aimed to predict 750 m resolution ground-level PM2.5 in China with the high-resolution Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) intermediate product (IP) AOD data using a newly developed geographically neural network weighted regression (GNNWR) model. The performance evaluations demonstrated that GNNWR achieved higher prediction accuracy than the widely used methods with cross-validation and predictive R2 of 0.86 and 0.85. Satellite-derived monthly 750 m resolution PM2.5 data in China were generated with robust prediction accuracy and almost complete coverage. The PM2.5 pollution was found to be greatly improved in 2018 in China with annual mean concentration of 31.07 ± 17.52 µg/m3. Nonetheless, fine-scale PM2.5 exposures at multiple administrative levels suggested that PM2.5 pollution in most urban areas needed further control, especially in southern Hebei Province. This work is the first to evaluate the potential of VIIRS IP AOD in modeling high-resolution PM2.5 over large-scale. The newly satellite-derived PM2.5 data with high spatial resolution and high prediction accuracy at the national scale are valuable to advance environmental and health researches in China.
Spatial downscaling is an effective way to improve the spatial resolution of precipitation products. However, the existing methods often fail to adequately consider the spatial heterogeneity and complex nonlinearity between precipitation and surface parameters, resulting in poor downscaling performance and inaccurate expression of regional details. In this study, we propose a precipitation downscaling model based on geographically neural network weighted regression (GNNWR), which integrates normalized difference vegetation index, digital elevation model, land surface temperature, and slope data to address spatial heterogeneity and complex nonlinearity. We explored the spatiotemporal trends of precipitation in the Sichuan region over the past two decades. The results show that the GNNWR model outperforms common methods in downscaling precipitation for the four distinct seasons, achieving a maximum R2 of 0.972 and a minimum RMSE of 3.551 mm. Overall, precipitation in Sichuan Province exhibits a significant increasing trend from 2001 to 2019, with a spatial distribution pattern of low in the northwest and high in the southeast. The GNNWR downscaled results exhibit the strongest correlation with observed data and provide a more accurate representation of precipitation spatial patterns. Our findings suggest that GNNWR is a practical method for precipitation downscaling considering its high accuracy and model performance.
Since the outbreak of the Russia–Ukraine conflict in 2022, Ukraine’s agricultural production has faced significant disruption, leading to widespread cropland abandonment. These croplands were abandoned at different stages, primarily due to war-related destruction and displacement of people. Existing methods for detecting abandoned cropland fail to account for crop type differences and distinguish abandonment stages, leading to inaccuracies. Therefore, this study proposes a novel framework combining crop-type classification with the Bias-weighted Time-Weighted Dynamic Time Warping (BTWDTW) method, distinguishing between sowing and harvest abandonment. Additionally, the proposed framework improves accuracy by integrating a more nuanced analysis of crop-specific patterns, thus offering more precise insights into abandonment dynamics. The overall accuracy of the proposed method reached 88.9%. The results reveal a V-shaped trajectory of cropland abandonment, with abandoned areas increasing from 28,184 km2 in 2022 to 33,278 km2 in 2024, with 2023 showing an abandoned area of 24,007.65 km2. Spatially, about 70% of sowing abandonment occurred in high-conflict areas, with hotspots of unplanted abandonment shifting from southern Ukraine to the northeast, while unharvested abandonment was observed across the entire country. Significant variations were found across crop types, with maize experiencing the highest rate of unharvested abandonment, while wheat exhibited a more balanced pattern of sowing and harvest losses. The proposed method and results provide valuable insights for post-conflict agricultural recovery and decision-making in recovery planning.
Accurate, scalable estimation of rice planting dates is essential for climate-adaptive management in multi-cropping regions, yet most models rely on static calendars, which fail to capture climate-driven shifts and bias simulated yield responses. This study aims to develop a climate-driven, spatially explicit framework to simulate dynamic transplanting dates across diverse multi-cropping systems in monsoon Asia. Utilizing daily AgERA5 reanalysis and Monsoon Asia Rice Calendar (MARC) data from 2019 to 2020, we present Geo-ROCKET. The framework integrates an automated K-means clustering workflow to delineate bimodal planting windows and employs random convolutional kernel transforms with adaptive geographic neighborhoods to capture local climate heterogeneity. Evaluated by area-weighted mean absolute error (MAE), the model achieves high accuracy across six seasons (MAE 6.53–12.50 days), outperforming six traditional ROCKET and ensemble baselines while preserving smooth spatial error fields. Sensitivity experiments reveal that a 15-day bias in the previous harvest date can increase transplanting error to 10.8–17.8 days, emphasizing the importance of sequential consistency. By providing dynamic, climate-sensitive inputs, Geo-ROCKET improves the accuracy of crop modeling for climate impact projections. This framework offers a flexible tool for characterizing human management decisions and evaluating adaptation strategies in intensive agricultural systems.