This study aims to evaluate the financial risk, debt, and efficiency of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in Indonesia’s construction industry and compare these aspects with those of private companies through financial ratio analysis and efficiency analysis approaches. Four SOEs from the construction sector were evaluated and compared to five private companies with financial data ranging from 2015 to 2022. Financial ratio analysis was applied to assess debt and financial risk, while efficiency analysis utilized data envelopment analysis (DEA) and paired t-tests to validate differences between the two groups of companies. This study reveals that the financial ratio performance of state-owned companies is relatively poor, with low profitability, critical liquidity, and a high debt ratio. Debt, as a source of capital in financing construction projects, causes companies to face a greater debt risk. This study also validates that SOEs have lower efficiency compared to private companies. In response to current challenges, SOEs should prioritize enhancing liquidity through faster receivable collections, debt restructuring, capital infusions, and divestment, reducing non-essential investments, focusing on asset recycling, and improving project efficiency.

As part of the “Indonesia Emas 2045” framework, state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in the construction industry are expected to dominate government infrastructure projects. This research conducts an industrial foresight analysis of Indonesia’s SOE construction industry to identify future trends and opportunities. The study employs a three-level analysis: macro (using the Political, Economic, Social, Technology, Legal, Environmental/PESTLE framework), meso (applying Porter’s Five Forces), and micro (focusing on organizational scope). Data were collected from seven industry experts from both SOEs and the private sector, supplemented by secondary sources. The qualitative findings were gathered using the Delphi method, while expert voting provided the quantitative assessment. The results highlight that focusing on macro-level targets like net zero emissions (NZE) and sustainable development goals (SDGs) is crucial in implementing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices. Adoption of advanced technologies such as Construction 4.0 emerges as a top priority, with digital innovations such as predictive analytics, digital control towers, light detection and ranging (LiDAR), and building information modeling (BIM) enhancing efficiency and risk management. Achieving sustainability and technological advancement requires regulatory certainty, serving as the third pillar at the macro level. At the micro level, strengthening the SOE construction industry’s core competencies, resources, and capabilities is essential to accelerate future trends. Competitiveness at the meso level is not a significant concern, as the industry operates with moderate competition.

As part of the "Indonesia Emas 2045" framework, State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) in the construction industry are expected to dominate government infrastructure projects. This research conducts an industrial foresight analysis of Indonesia's SOE construction industry to identify future trends and opportunities. The study employs a three-level analysis: macro (using the PESTLE framework), meso (applying Porter's Five Forces), and micro (focusing on organizational scope). Data were collected from seven industry experts from both SOEs and the private sector, supplemented by secondary sources. The qualitative findings were gathered using Delphi method, while expert voting provided the quantitative assessment. The results highlight that focusing on macro-level targets like Net Zero Emissions (NZE) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is crucial in implementing Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) practices. Adoption of advanced technologies such as Construction 4.0 emerges as a top priority, with digital innovations such as predictive analytics, digital control towers, LiDAR, and Building Information Modeling (BIM) enhancing efficiency and risk management. Achieving sustainability and technological advancement requires regulatory certainty, serving as the third pillar at the macro level. At the micro level, strengthening the SOE construction industry's core competencies, resources, and capabilities is essential to accelerate future trends. Competitiveness at the meso level is not a significant concern, as the industry operates with moderate competition.

This study aims to evaluate the financial performance of SOEs in Indonesia and compare it with private companies using financial ratio analysis and efficiency analysis approaches. Four construction sector SOEs were evaluated, and five private companies were compared using financial data from 2015 to 2022. The financial ratio analysis used the Peterson (2013) approach, while the efficiency analysis employed the data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach and the paired t-test. The study results show that the financial ratio performance of state-owned companies is relatively poor, with low profitability, critical liquidity, and a high debt ratio. Debt, as a source of capital in financing construction projects, makes companies face a greater debt risk. This study validates that SOEs have lower efficiency compared to private companies.