Large freshwater lakes provide immense value to the surrounding populations, yet there is limited understanding of how these lakes will respond to climate change and other factors. This study uses satellite remote sensing to estimate annual, lake-wide primary production in 11 of the world’s largest lakes from 2003–2018. These lakes include the five Laurentian Great Lakes, the three African Great Lakes, Lake Baikal, and Great Bear and Great Slave Lakes. Mean annual production in these lakes ranged from under 200 mgC/m²/day to over 1100 mgC/m²/day, and the lakes were placed into one of three distinct groups (oligotrophic, mesotrophic, or eutrophic) based on their level of production. The analysis revealed only three lakes with significant production trends over the study period, with increases in Great Bear Lake (24% increase over the study period) and Great Slave Lake (27%) and a decline in Lake Tanganyika (−16%). These changes appear to be related to climate change, including increasing temperatures and solar radiation and decreasing wind speeds. This study is the first to use consistent methodology to study primary production in the world’s largest lakes, allowing for these novel between-lake comparisons and assessment of inter-annual trends.

This study used satellite remote sensing to investigate trends in harmful algal blooms (HABs) over the last 21 years, focusing on four regions within the Laurentian Great Lakes: western Lake Erie, Green Bay, Saginaw Bay, and western Lake Superior. HABs in the water column were identified from remote sensing-derived chlorophyll concentrations, and surface HAB scums were classified based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) band ratio index. Using imagery from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer sensor on the Aqua satellite (MODIS-Aqua) from 2002 to 2022, we generated daily estimates of the HAB and surface scum extents for each region, which were then averaged to generate mean annual extents. We observed a significant decline in the Saginaw Bay mean annual HAB extents over the 21-year study period. Otherwise, no significant changes were observed over this period in any region for either the HAB or surface scum mean annual extents, thus suggesting that HABs are not increasing in the Great Lakes. Despite the lack of increasing trends, the blooms are still recurring annually and causing a negative impact on the nearby communities; thus, we believe that it is crucial to continue studying Great Lakes HABs to monitor the impact of current and future abatement strategies.