Crop plant height is a critical parameter for assessing crop physiological properties, such as above-ground biomass and grain yield and crop health. Current dominant plant height estimation methods are based on digital surface model (DSM) and vegetation indexes (VIs). However, DSM-based methods usually estimate plant height by growth stages, which would result in some discontinuity between growth stages due to different fitting curves. Additionally, there has been limited research on the application of VI-based plant height estimation for multiple crop species. Thus, this study investigated the validity and challenges associated with these methods for estimating canopy heights of multi-variety rice throughout the entire growing season. A total of 474 rice varieties were cultivated in a single season, and RGB images including red, green, and blue bands, DSMs, multispectral images including near infrared and red edge bands, and manually measured plant heights were collected in 2022. DSMs and 26 commonly used VIs were employed to estimate rice canopy heights during the growing season. The plant height estimation using DSMs was performed using different quantiles (50th, 75th, and 95th), while two-stage linear regression (TLR) models based on each VI were developed. The DSM-based method at the 95th quantile showed high accuracy, with an R² value of 0.94 and an RMSE value of 0.06 m. However, the plant height estimation at the early growth stage showed lower effectiveness, with an R² < 0. For the VIs, height estimation with MTCI yielded the best results, with an R² of 0.704. The first stage of the TLR model (maximum R² = 0.664) was significantly better than the second stage (maximum R² = 0.133), which indicated that the VIs were more suitable for estimating canopy height at the early growth stage. By grouping the 474 varieties into 15 clusters, the R² values of the VI-based TLR models exhibited inconsistencies across clusters (maximum R² = 0.984; minimum R² = 0.042), which meant that the VIs were suitable for estimating canopy height in the cultivation of similar or specific rice varieties. However, the DSM-based method showed little difference in performance among the varieties, which meant that the DSM-based method was suitable for multi-variety rice breeding. But for specific clusters, the VI-based methods were better than the DSM-based methods for plant height estimation. In conclusion, the DSM-based method at the 95th quantile was suitable for plant height estimation in the multi-variety rice breeding process, and we recommend using DSMs for plant height estimation after 26 DAT. Furthermore, the MTCI-based TLR model was suitable for plant height estimation in monoculture planting or as a correction for DSM-based plant height estimation in the pre-growth period of rice.

To study the impacts of toxin produced by phytoplankton and refuges provided for phytoplankton on phytoplankton-zooplankton interactions in lakes, we establish a simple phytoplankton-zooplankton system with Holling type Ⅱ response function. The existence and stability of positive equilibria are discussed. Bifurcation analyses are given by using normal form theory which reveals reasonably the mechanisms and nonlinear dynamics of the effects of toxin and refuges, including Hopf bifurcation, Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation of co-dimension 2 and 3. Numerical simulations are carried out to intuitively support our analytical results and help to explain the observed biological behaviors. Our findings finally show that both phytoplankton refuge and toxin have a significant impact on the occurring and terminating of algal blooms in freshwater lakes.

Summary: Background: In many parts of the world, restrictive non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) that aim to reduce contact rates, including stay-at-home orders, limitations on gatherings, and closure of public places, are being lifted, with the possibility that the epidemic resurges if alternative measures are not strong enough. Here we aim to capture the combination of use of NPI’s and reopening measures which will prevent an infection rebound. Methods: We employ an SEAIR model with household structure able to capture the stay-at-home policy (SAHP). To reflect the changes in the SAHP over the course of the epidemic, we vary the SAHP compliance rate, assuming that the time to compliance of all the people requested to stay-at-home follows a Gamma distribution. Using confirmed case data for the City of Toronto, we evaluate basic and instantaneous reproduction numbers and simulate how the average household size, the stay-at-home rate, the efficiency and duration of SAHP implementation, affect the outbreak trajectory. Findings: The estimated basic reproduction number R_0 was 2.36 (95% CI: 2.28, 2.45) in Toronto. After the implementation of the SAHP, the contact rate outside the household fell by 39%. When people properly respect the SAHP, the outbreak can be quickly controlled, but extending its duration beyond two months (65 days) had little effect. Our findings also suggest that to avoid a large rebound of the epidemic, the average number of contacts per person per day should be kept below nine. This study suggests that fully reopening schools, offices, and other activities, is possible if the use of other NPIs is strictly adhered to. Interpretation: Our model confirmed that the SAHP implemented in Toronto had a great impact in controlling the spread of COVID-19. Given the lifting of restrictive NPIs, we estimated the thresholds values of maximum number of contacts, probability of transmission and testing needed to ensure that the reopening will be safe, i.e. maintaining an R _t < 1. Research in context: Evidence before this study: A survey on published articles was made through PubMed and Google Scholar searches. The search was conducted from March 1 to August 13, 2020 and all papers published until the end of this research were considered. The following terms were used to screen articles on mathematical models: “household structure”, “epidemic model”, “SARS-CoV-2”, “COVID-19”, “household SIR epidemic”, “household SIS epidemic”, “household SEIR epidemic”, “quarantine, isolation model”, “quarantine model dynamics”, “structured model isolation”. Any article showing, in the title, application of epidemic models in a specific country/region or infectious diseases rather than SARS-CoV-2 were excluded. Articles in English were considered. Added value of this study: We develop an epidemic model with household structure to study the effects of SAHP on the infection within households and transmission of COVID-19 in Toronto. The complex model provides interesting insights into the effectiveness of SAHP, if the average number of individuals in a household changes. We found that the SAHP might not be adequate if the size of households is relatively large. We also introduce a new quantity called symptomatic diagnosis’ completion ratio (d_c). This indicator is defined as the ratio of cumulative reported cases and the cumulative cases by episode date at time t, and it is used in the model to inform the implementation of SAHP. If cases are diagnosed at the time of symptom onset, isolation will be enforced immediately. A delay in detecting cases will lead to a delay in isolation, with subsequent increase in the transmission of the infection. Comparing different scenarios (before and after reopening phases), we were able to identify thresholds of these factors which mainly affect the spread of the infection: the number of daily tests, average number of contacts per individual, and probability of transmission of the virus. Our results show that if any of the three above mentioned factors is reduced, then the other two need to be adjusted to keep a reproduction number below 1. Lifting restrictive closures will require the average number of contacts a person has each day to be less than pre-COVID-19, and a high rate of case detection and tracing of contacts. The thresholds found will inform public health decisions on reopening. Implications of all the available evidence: Our findings provide important information for policymakers when planning the full reopening phase. Our results confirm that prompt implementation of SAHP was crucial in reducing the spread of COVID-19. Also, based on our analyses, we propose public health alternatives to consider in view of a full reopening. For example, for different post-reopening scenarios, the average number of contacts per person needs to be reduced if the symptomatic diagnosis’ completion ratio is low and the probability of transmission increases. Namely, if fewer tests are completed and the usage of NPI’s decreases, then the epidemic can be controlled only if individuals can maintain contact with a maximum average number of 4-5 people per person per day. Different recommendations can be provided by relaxing/strengthening one of the above-mentioned factors.

The proliferation of IoT devices generates vast amounts of sensor data, making sensor data mining an increasingly important research topic in the IoT domain. The Top-k similarity search plays a crucial role in sensor data mining, forming the foundation for advanced techniques such as sensor data classification, clustering, and anomaly detection. The need for efficient algorithms to enhance search speed drives our research. This paper introduces an efficient method named PIPDTW for Top-k similarity search of sensor data using Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) distance, a prevalent but computationally intensive similarity measure in time-series data mining. To address the high computational complexity, PIPDTW first employs perceptually important points (PIPs) to transform lengthy sensor data into concise vector representations. We then introduce a novel distance measure, DTWIV, based on PIP representations to quickly estimate DTW distances between the query q and all sensor data. Finally, during the online search, we apply two levels of filtering based on approximate ranking and the lower-bound technique to efficiently prune dissimilar data, reducing the need for exact DTW distance computations and thereby achieving efficient querying. Experiments conducted on synthetic and real-world publicly available datasets, compared with relevant competitors, demonstrate that PIPDTW slightly sacrifices retrieval accuracy but significantly reduces runtime.

African swine fever (ASF), a highly lethal viral disease with no effective vaccines or treatments, poses a significant threat to the global pig industry. Since its first report in China in August 2018, it has spread rapidly, severely impacting China’s pig industry. This study developed a Bayesian spatiotemporal model to explore ASF’s spatiotemporal patterns, assess relative risk (RR), and identify key factors, aiming to inform targeted prevention strategies. Data (disease‐related deaths, pig inventory, GDP, temperature, and 6 other factors) were collected from 31 mainland Chinese provinces from August 2018 to December 2019. The INLA algorithm estimated parameters, with the optimal model selected via DIC and WAIC. Multicollinearity was addressed using VIF and Spearman’s correlation coefficient. Univariate and multivariate models quantified factor effects, with risk classified by natural breaks. Significant spatiotemporal patterns emerged: high‐risk clusters in Liaoning, Heilongjiang, and Beijing, lower risk in Yunnan and Chongqing. Economic factors and veterinary resources were crucial: GDP per capita correlated positively (RR = 1.8814, 95% CI: 1.1264, 3.1362), while veterinarian numbers correlated inversely (RR = 0.7233, 95% CI: 0.4776, 0.9637). This study clarifies ASF dynamics and influencing factors in China, highlighting the need to strengthen veterinary services and balance economic development with biosecurity, offering a global reference for infectious disease management.