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Dr. Julia Martínez-Fernández
Fundación Nueva Cultura del Aga

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Research Keywords & Expertise

0 Ecological Modeling
0 Integrated Water Resources Management
0 Scenario Analysis
0 Socio-Ecological Systems
0 Sustainability Indicators

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Short Biography

Doctor in Biology and Executive Director of Fundacion Nueva Cultura del Agua (New Water Culture Foundation, www.fnca.eu/en). She has participated in around 25 national and international research projects with strong emphasis on inter and transdisciplinary approaches focusing on the dynamics and modelling of socio-ecological systems and scenario analysis, the development of water sustainability indicators, the environmental and socio-economic interactions of water management, the effectos of climate change on Mediterranean biodiversity and the ecology of water-related systems, particularly wetlands and coastal lagoons and their watersheds. She has presented her research works in more than 130 scientific congressess and workshops and has 140 scientific publications on these issues. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8675-947X

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Journal article
Published: 15 December 2020 in Science of The Total Environment
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The analysis of the sustainability should be addressed with a holistic approach that facilitates an integral analysis of the social, economic, institutional and environmental factors and their interactions characterizing complex socio-ecological systems (SES). Nevertheless, despite the increasing acknowledgment about the need for such systemic approaches, their application in real SES are less frequent than desirable. Among the difficulties behind this, the need for a new conceptual perspective concerning the relationships between science and the management of real SES, as well as the lack of tools to manage the inherent complexity of such systems should be emphasized. In this work, we further discuss these difficulties and propose an integral methodological framework for the assessment of SES sustainability, with the following key components: i) The hierarchical definition of sustainability goals and indicators. ii) A dynamic system model taking into account the key socio-economic and environmental factors and their interactions, in which the most representative indicators and their sustainability thresholds are integrated. iii) The analysis of vulnerabilities to exogenous drivers (scenario analysis) and the exploration of available management and planning options (policy assessment). iv) An uncertainty assessment concerning system behavior and model outcomes to guide decisions for an improved sustainability in complex SES. The whole framework highlights the need to integrate a participative approach, above all at the initial and final steps. In this work, these components are exemplified by means of their application to a real socio-ecological system: Fuerteventura island (The Canary Islands, Spain).

ACS Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández; Isabel Banos-González; Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma. An integral approach to address socio-ecological systems sustainability and their uncertainties. Science of The Total Environment 2020, 762, 144457 .

AMA Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández, Isabel Banos-González, Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma. An integral approach to address socio-ecological systems sustainability and their uncertainties. Science of The Total Environment. 2020; 762 ():144457.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández; Isabel Banos-González; Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma. 2020. "An integral approach to address socio-ecological systems sustainability and their uncertainties." Science of The Total Environment 762, no. : 144457.

Chapter
Published: 02 November 2020 in Socio-ecological Studies in Natural Protected Areas
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The assessment of the sustainability should be tackled with a systemic perspective that enables an integrated analysis of the environmental, social, economic, and institutional factors and their interactions characterizing protected areas, as well as other complex socio-ecological systems. An integrated framework for such assessment is presented with the following key components: (i) the hierarchical definition of sustainability goals and indicators; (ii) a dynamic system model taking into account the key socioeconomic and environmental factors and their interactions, in which the most representative indicators and their sustainability thresholds are integrated; (iii) the analysis of vulnerabilities to exogenous drivers (scenario analysis) and the exploration of available management and planning options (policy assessment); (iv) a multicriteria procedure, in which indicators, sustainability thresholds, model outputs, and scenario and policy analysis are integrated to guide decisions for an improved sustainability in complex socio-ecological system. The whole framework integrates a participative approach, mainly for the initial and final steps. In this chapter, some of these components, specifically indicators, dynamic model, and scenario analysis, are applied to one of the most valuable and challenging protected sites in the world: the Galapagos Islands (Ecuador).

ACS Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma; Isabel Banos-Gonzalez; Carolina Sampedro; Carlos Mena; Jorge Carrión-Tacuri. Managing the Galapagos National Park: A Systemic Approach Based on Socio-ecological Modeling and Sustainability Indicators. Socio-ecological Studies in Natural Protected Areas 2020, 187 -214.

AMA Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma, Isabel Banos-Gonzalez, Carolina Sampedro, Carlos Mena, Jorge Carrión-Tacuri. Managing the Galapagos National Park: A Systemic Approach Based on Socio-ecological Modeling and Sustainability Indicators. Socio-ecological Studies in Natural Protected Areas. 2020; ():187-214.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma; Isabel Banos-Gonzalez; Carolina Sampedro; Carlos Mena; Jorge Carrión-Tacuri. 2020. "Managing the Galapagos National Park: A Systemic Approach Based on Socio-ecological Modeling and Sustainability Indicators." Socio-ecological Studies in Natural Protected Areas , no. : 187-214.

Review
Published: 13 September 2020 in Sustainability
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Scenario analysis is a useful tool to facilitate discussions about the main trends of future change and to promote the understanding of global environmental changes implications on relevant aspects of sustainability. In this paper, we reviewed 294 articles published between 1995–2019, to evaluate the state of the art use of models and scenarios to investigate the effects of land use change and climate change on natural and social-ecological systems. Our review focuses on three issues. The first explores the extent to which the environmental dynamics of land use and climate change were jointly analyzed and the spatial scales associated with such integrated studies. The second explores the modelling methodologies and approaches used in the scenario analysis. The third explores the methods for developing or building scenarios. Results show that in most predictions there is little integration of key drivers of change. We find most forecasting studies use a sectoral modelling approach through dynamic spatially distributed models. Most articles do not apply a participatory approach in the development of scenarios. Based on this review, we conclude that there are some gaps in how scenario analysis on natural and social-ecological systems are conducted. These gaps pose a challenge for the use of models and scenarios as predictive tools in decision-making processes in the context of global change.

ACS Style

Noelia Guaita García; Julia Martínez Fernández; Carl Fitz. Environmental Scenario Analysis on Natural and Social-Ecological Systems: A Review of Methods, Approaches and Applications. Sustainability 2020, 12, 7542 .

AMA Style

Noelia Guaita García, Julia Martínez Fernández, Carl Fitz. Environmental Scenario Analysis on Natural and Social-Ecological Systems: A Review of Methods, Approaches and Applications. Sustainability. 2020; 12 (18):7542.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Noelia Guaita García; Julia Martínez Fernández; Carl Fitz. 2020. "Environmental Scenario Analysis on Natural and Social-Ecological Systems: A Review of Methods, Approaches and Applications." Sustainability 12, no. 18: 7542.

Case study
Published: 28 March 2020 in Environment, Development and Sustainability
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The social–ecological system of the Mar Menor located in southeastern Spain is facing serious environmental degradation which is generating important economic and social impacts. This article analyzes the local community perception in the Mar Menor area about the causes, consequences and possible solutions to current problems, especially the eutrophic crisis in the Mar Menor lagoon. For this research, a survey based on a questionnaire was conducted in 2017 and answered by 498 people. The collected data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and principal component analysis. Results showed significant differences among the groups of respondents, according to their profession and main economic activity, but the results also point to an important consensus in the group of respondents. It is worth noting that the broad consensus was that agricultural activities are the main causes of the entry of nutrients into the lagoon, and the respondents indicated that the priority should be given to measures to reduce nutrient inputs. This consensus, which is very different from the results obtained in previous studies, represents a very recent change of perception in relation to the role of agriculture in the Mar Menor. However, the broad consensus in the diagnosis of the current problem is not reflected in the varying opinions regarding the possible solutions or management options. Survey responses regarding solutions varied greatly across groups: There were important differences between (a) the respondents’ perceptions of the best solutions, and (b) the main management practices undertaken by the public administration at this point. This finding highlights a potential conflict that should be considered in any decision-making processes.

ACS Style

Noelia Guaita-García; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Carlos Javier Barrera-Causil; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; H. Carl Fitz. Local perceptions regarding a social–ecological system of the mediterranean coast: the Mar Menor (Región de Murcia, Spain). Environment, Development and Sustainability 2020, 23, 2882 -2909.

AMA Style

Noelia Guaita-García, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Carlos Javier Barrera-Causil, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma, H. Carl Fitz. Local perceptions regarding a social–ecological system of the mediterranean coast: the Mar Menor (Región de Murcia, Spain). Environment, Development and Sustainability. 2020; 23 (2):2882-2909.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Noelia Guaita-García; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Carlos Javier Barrera-Causil; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; H. Carl Fitz. 2020. "Local perceptions regarding a social–ecological system of the mediterranean coast: the Mar Menor (Región de Murcia, Spain)." Environment, Development and Sustainability 23, no. 2: 2882-2909.

Journal article
Published: 06 May 2019 in Cuadernos de Turismo
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Como herramienta para la evaluación cuantitativa del impacto turístico en sistemas socioecológicos insulares, en este trabajo se presenta el modelo dinámico de sostenibilidad de Fuerteventura. Una vez calibrado para el período 1996-2011, ha permitido una mejor comprensión de las interacciones dinámicas entre los indicadores de sostenibilidad y otros factores en la isla. También ha permitido analizar el comportamiento de algunos de esos indicadores bajo distintos escenarios y medidas de gestión para el periodo 2012-2025. Los resultados reflejan una influencia elevada de determinadas medidas de control relativas a la creación de nuevos alojamientos turísticos sobre la evolución de la sostenibilidad en la isla. In this work, Fuerteventura's dynamic sustainability model is applied as a tool for the quantitative evaluation of the tourism impact on insular socio-ecological systems. The model, calibrated for the period 1996-2011, has allowed a better understanding of the dynamic interactions between sustainability indicators and other factors on the island. Moreover, the analysis of the behavior of some of these indicators under different scenarios and management measures for the period 2012-2025. The results show a high influence of certain measures regarding the control on the creation of new tourist accommodation in the evolution of sustainability on the island.

ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez Fernández; Miguel Ángel Esteve; Pedro Pérez Cutillas. Evaluación de la sostenibilidad en el sector socioturístico de Fuerteventura (Islas Canarias). Cuadernos de Turismo 2019, 69 -96.

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez Fernández, Miguel Ángel Esteve, Pedro Pérez Cutillas. Evaluación de la sostenibilidad en el sector socioturístico de Fuerteventura (Islas Canarias). Cuadernos de Turismo. 2019; (43):69-96.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez Fernández; Miguel Ángel Esteve; Pedro Pérez Cutillas. 2019. "Evaluación de la sostenibilidad en el sector socioturístico de Fuerteventura (Islas Canarias)." Cuadernos de Turismo , no. 43: 69-96.

Original article
Published: 06 December 2018 in Sustainability Science
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The sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems (SESs) in drylands is challenged by external socio-economic and environmental drivers of change that interact both with one another and with endogenous drivers unexpectedly and in complex ways. Understanding the way large-scale changes interact with endogenous drivers and affect the sustainability of drylands is, thus, crucial for policy insights that aim to foster the stewardship of drylands in desirable states. By the system dynamics approach, we developed a dynamic simulation model to: (1) quantitatively analyse the relative weight of each driver type on the local dynamics of the SES of the oasis of Comondú (Baja California Sur, Mexico), which has witnessed sharp depopulation in recent decades; (2) identify and quantify cross-scale interactions; (3) discuss the local sustainability implications. Based on local knowledge, our model successfully simulated the SES’ historical behaviour. Our simulation showed that external drivers linked to global drivers, especially climatic drivers, have markedly influenced the local dynamics. However, endogenous factors (e.g. local economy, employment) have proven relevant in shaping this SES’ sustainability outcomes. The reinforcing relationship between the effects of the variability of rainfall and the volatility of market prices warns about the system’s vulnerability to a double exposure: climate change and globalisation. Our study demonstrates the suitability of dynamic simulation models to address key issues for sustainability science, like studying the long-term dynamics of SESs, interactions between regions, and place-based and problem-oriented approaches to solve real-world problems.

ACS Style

Alicia Tenza; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Irene Pérez-Ibarra; Andrés Giménez. Sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems in arid environments: trade-off and synergies of global and regional changes. Sustainability Science 2018, 14, 791 -807.

AMA Style

Alicia Tenza, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Irene Pérez-Ibarra, Andrés Giménez. Sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems in arid environments: trade-off and synergies of global and regional changes. Sustainability Science. 2018; 14 (3):791-807.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Alicia Tenza; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Irene Pérez-Ibarra; Andrés Giménez. 2018. "Sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems in arid environments: trade-off and synergies of global and regional changes." Sustainability Science 14, no. 3: 791-807.

Journal article
Published: 17 November 2018 in Land Use Policy
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Traditional Mediterranean irrigated lands, such as the Huerta of Murcia (Spain), constitute characteristic agroecosystems which provide several ecosystem services, both cultural and regulating. Nevertheless, these agroecosystems are threatened by factors linked to the low profitability of agricultural production under present market conditions and the land conversion to non-agricultural uses.In order to assess the perceptions and valuation of the Huerta of Murcia by the local population, an economic valuation survey was carried out, using a contingent valuation method (CVM). Based on the survey, we identified the measures that were most valued with regard to the conservation of the huerta, which were: i) Limitation of the land uptake for urban uses; ii) Creation of programs to conserve ecosystem services, by means of financial support; and iii) Initiatives to promote the production of traditional agricultural products. Finally, we included these measures in a dynamic system model that, once validated, was used to explore the potential impact of such initiatives on the expected future behavior of the Huerta of Murcia.The CVM findings show the importance given to the huerta by the population of the area, beyond the use they usually make of it. The results also allowed the determination of the amount that the local people are willing to pay for the conservation of the environmental services of the Huerta of Murcia.Moreover, the simulation results for the period 2015-2030, obtained using the model, suggest that more direct measures, such as land planning, achieve better results than indirect options, such as those derived from agricultural policy and the implementation of a payment for ecosystem services, even when these latter aspects are combined. Under a scenario combining the three measures valued most highly, the loss of these irrigated lands would be reduced by around 11.5% in 2030, compared to the base trend simulation.Although the policies analyzed would improve the situation in the short and medium term, more ambitious actions would be required for full conservation of this agroecosystem in the long run.

ACS Style

José Miguel Martínez-Paz; Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Assessment of management measures for the conservation of traditional irrigated lands: The case of the Huerta of Murcia (Spain). Land Use Policy 2018, 81, 382 -391.

AMA Style

José Miguel Martínez-Paz, Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Assessment of management measures for the conservation of traditional irrigated lands: The case of the Huerta of Murcia (Spain). Land Use Policy. 2018; 81 ():382-391.

Chicago/Turabian Style

José Miguel Martínez-Paz; Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. 2018. "Assessment of management measures for the conservation of traditional irrigated lands: The case of the Huerta of Murcia (Spain)." Land Use Policy 81, no. : 382-391.

Research article
Published: 11 October 2018 in PLOS ONE
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Natural nest sites are important breeding resource in terms of population dynamics, especially in forest systems where nest trees limit populations or timber harvesting destroys nests. Nest structures usually have a long life and can be reused by breeding pairs across multiple breeding seasons, so studying their dynamics is of relevance for biodiversity conservation. In this study, we develop a dynamic model to evaluate nest site availability and its influence on the breeding settlement of a forest raptor community composed of booted eagle (Hieraaetus pennatus), common buzzard (Buteo buteo) and northern goshawk (Accipiter gentilis) in a Mediterranean forest ecosystem in southeast Spain. This model approach is also applied to analyse the influence of forestry practices on the dynamics of occupied nests for a simulated period (2010–2050). The simulated scenarios include unmanaged forest and timber harvesting practices of clearcuttings every ten years considering two factors: the age class of trees for clearcutting (40, 50, 60 and 70 years old) and the type of forest management (with or without nest protection). Our simulated results show that the number of breeding pairs is constant during the period without timber harvest, whereas breeding pairs gradually decrease in the scenario of clearcutting trees aged from 70 to 50-years without nest protection, and populations become extinct with the clearcutting of 40-year old trees. Considering the practice of clearcutting and nest protection, nest occupancy can reach the maximum number of occupied nests for the scenarios of cutting 70 and 60-year old trees, and maintain populations without extinction for the scenarios of cutting 40-year old trees. We conclude that nest sites (whether occupied or not) are key resources for increasing the occupancy of the forest raptor community and that nest protection measures buffer the effects of clearcuttings, thus preventing population extinction.

ACS Style

María V. Jiménez-Franco; Julia Martínez-Fernández; José Enrique Martínez; Iluminada Pagán; José Francisco Calvo; Miguel A. Esteve. Nest sites as a key resource for population persistence: A case study modelling nest occupancy under forestry practices. PLOS ONE 2018, 13, e0205404 .

AMA Style

María V. Jiménez-Franco, Julia Martínez-Fernández, José Enrique Martínez, Iluminada Pagán, José Francisco Calvo, Miguel A. Esteve. Nest sites as a key resource for population persistence: A case study modelling nest occupancy under forestry practices. PLOS ONE. 2018; 13 (10):e0205404.

Chicago/Turabian Style

María V. Jiménez-Franco; Julia Martínez-Fernández; José Enrique Martínez; Iluminada Pagán; José Francisco Calvo; Miguel A. Esteve. 2018. "Nest sites as a key resource for population persistence: A case study modelling nest occupancy under forestry practices." PLOS ONE 13, no. 10: e0205404.

Journal article
Published: 01 October 2018 in Island Studies Journal
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ACS Style

Anna Tsoukala; Ioannis Spilanis; Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; George Tsirtsis. An exercise in decision support modelling for islands: a case study for a ‘typical’ Mediterranean island. Island Studies Journal 2018, 13, 185 -202.

AMA Style

Anna Tsoukala, Ioannis Spilanis, Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma, George Tsirtsis. An exercise in decision support modelling for islands: a case study for a ‘typical’ Mediterranean island. Island Studies Journal. 2018; 13 (2):185-202.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Tsoukala; Ioannis Spilanis; Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; George Tsirtsis. 2018. "An exercise in decision support modelling for islands: a case study for a ‘typical’ Mediterranean island." Island Studies Journal 13, no. 2: 185-202.

Journal article
Published: 17 August 2018 in Sustainability
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The assessment of environmental policies and sustainability in socio-ecological systems (SES) should be tackled from a holistic perspective, using methodologies such as dynamic system models. However, the integral assessment of SES generally suffers from high levels of uncertainty. In this work, the potential of sensitivity analysis (SA) to assess uncertainty and its implications in SES models, specifically in the Fuerteventura sustainability model, has been explored. An extensive SA was applied in different stages of model development and application. The different SA techniques applied allowed, besides a detailed assessment of robustness, the identification of leverage points and their application to define environmental policies and management measures intended to improve sustainability. The results suggest that measures based on leverage points identified by the SA in the model are more effective than others proposed so far by different agents. Furthermore, the assessment of uncertainty of measures thought to contribute to sustainability shows that, when uncertainty ranges are considered, the thresholds of some sustainability indicators might be exceeded, whereas mean values would not. Therefore, the surpassing of some sustainability thresholds might go unnoticed if uncertainties are not considered in the policy analysis. This work shows SA to be a powerful tool that provides important insights to policy makers and end users, with regard to improving environmental policies for sustainability.

ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel-Ángel Esteve-Selma; Patricia Esteve-Guirao. Sensitivity Analysis in Socio-Ecological Models as a Tool in Environmental Policy for Sustainability. Sustainability 2018, 10, 2928 .

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel-Ángel Esteve-Selma, Patricia Esteve-Guirao. Sensitivity Analysis in Socio-Ecological Models as a Tool in Environmental Policy for Sustainability. Sustainability. 2018; 10 (8):2928.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel-Ángel Esteve-Selma; Patricia Esteve-Guirao. 2018. "Sensitivity Analysis in Socio-Ecological Models as a Tool in Environmental Policy for Sustainability." Sustainability 10, no. 8: 2928.

Article
Published: 16 August 2017 in WIREs Water
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We propose a long-term view of the evolution of human–environment interactions within Mediterranean wetlands, from prehistory to the present day, based on available published works. Our aim is to consider the sustainable use of these landscapes, past, present, and future, integrating perspectives from archaeology, ecology, and sustainable development. After briefly introducing the physiographic and ecological processes that characterize Mediterranean wetlands and the ecosystem services they provide to human populations, we consider their significance for three major questions in European archaeology: the Neanderthal extinction and the spread of modern humans, the introduction and spread of agriculture, human environmental impact since the Bronze and Iron ages. We then proceed with historical evidence of intentional transformation of Mediterranean wetlands by means of land reclamation, from the Classical to Medieval periods and into Modern times, before considering the current state of Mediterranean wetlands and the challenges they are facing in the present day. The preservation of wetlands has now become a priority issue at European level and generates concern for local communities and governing bodies, concerning biodiversity, maintenance of key services and cultural preservation. Based on the review of key events in the dynamic relationship between human populations and Mediterranean wetlands, we end by exploring available initiatives, tools and strategies to assess and support their conservation, governance and sustainable development, present and future. WIREs Water 2017, 4:e1238. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1238 For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website.

ACS Style

Andrea L. Balbo; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel‐Angel Esteve‐Selma. Mediterranean wetlands: archaeology, ecology, and sustainability. WIREs Water 2017, 4, 1 .

AMA Style

Andrea L. Balbo, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, Miguel‐Angel Esteve‐Selma. Mediterranean wetlands: archaeology, ecology, and sustainability. WIREs Water. 2017; 4 (6):1.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Andrea L. Balbo; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel‐Angel Esteve‐Selma. 2017. "Mediterranean wetlands: archaeology, ecology, and sustainability." WIREs Water 4, no. 6: 1.

Communications
Published: 03 April 2017 in Water International
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ACS Style

Leandro Del Moral; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Nuria Hernández-Mora. Ongoing dialogues with Erik Swyngedouw about desalination in Spain. Water International 2017, 42, 333 -338.

AMA Style

Leandro Del Moral, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Nuria Hernández-Mora. Ongoing dialogues with Erik Swyngedouw about desalination in Spain. Water International. 2017; 42 (3):333-338.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Leandro Del Moral; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Nuria Hernández-Mora. 2017. "Ongoing dialogues with Erik Swyngedouw about desalination in Spain." Water International 42, no. 3: 333-338.

Research article
Published: 08 March 2017 in PLOS ONE
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In the transition between Mediterranean forest and the arid subtropical shrublands of the southeastern Iberian Peninsula, humans have transformed habitat since ancient times. Understanding the role of the original mosaic landscapes in wildlife species and the effects of the current changes as pine forest plantations, performed even outside the forest ecological boundaries, are important conservation issues. We studied variation in the density of the endangered spur-thighed tortoise (Testudo graeca) in three areas that include the four most common land types within the species’ range (pine forests, natural shrubs, dryland crop fields, and abandoned crop fields). Tortoise densities were estimated using a two-stage modeling approach with line transect distance sampling. Densities in dryland crop fields, abandoned crop fields and natural shrubs were higher (>6 individuals/ha) than in pine forests (1.25 individuals/ha). We also found large variation in density in the pine forests. Recent pine plantations showed higher densities than mature pine forests where shrub and herbaceous cover was taller and thicker. We hypothesize that mature pine forest might constrain tortoise activity by acting as partial barriers to movements. This issue is relevant for management purposes given that large areas in the tortoise’s range have recently been converted to pine plantations.

ACS Style

Roberto C. Rodríguez-Caro; Cornelia S. Oedekoven; Eva Graciá; José D. Anadón; Stephen Buckland; Miguel A. Esteve-Selma; Julia Martinez; Andres Gimenez. Low tortoise abundances in pine forest plantations in forest-shrubland transition areas. PLOS ONE 2017, 12, e0173485 .

AMA Style

Roberto C. Rodríguez-Caro, Cornelia S. Oedekoven, Eva Graciá, José D. Anadón, Stephen Buckland, Miguel A. Esteve-Selma, Julia Martinez, Andres Gimenez. Low tortoise abundances in pine forest plantations in forest-shrubland transition areas. PLOS ONE. 2017; 12 (3):e0173485.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Roberto C. Rodríguez-Caro; Cornelia S. Oedekoven; Eva Graciá; José D. Anadón; Stephen Buckland; Miguel A. Esteve-Selma; Julia Martinez; Andres Gimenez. 2017. "Low tortoise abundances in pine forest plantations in forest-shrubland transition areas." PLOS ONE 12, no. 3: e0173485.

Journal article
Published: 01 January 2017 in Ecology and Society
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Tenza, A., I. Pérez, J. Martínez-Fernández, and A. Giménez. 2017. Understanding the decline and resilience loss of a long-lived social-ecological system: insights from system dynamics. Ecology and Society 22(2):15. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-09176-220215

ACS Style

Alicia Tenza; Irene Pérez; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Andrés Giménez. Understanding the decline and resilience loss of a long-lived social-ecological system: insights from system dynamics. Ecology and Society 2017, 22, 1 .

AMA Style

Alicia Tenza, Irene Pérez, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Andrés Giménez. Understanding the decline and resilience loss of a long-lived social-ecological system: insights from system dynamics. Ecology and Society. 2017; 22 (2):1.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Alicia Tenza; Irene Pérez; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Andrés Giménez. 2017. "Understanding the decline and resilience loss of a long-lived social-ecological system: insights from system dynamics." Ecology and Society 22, no. 2: 1.

Erratum
Published: 18 October 2016 in European Journal of Wildlife Research
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ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; C. Terrer; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; M. A. Esteve-Selma; L. M. Carrascal. Erratum to: Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuertaventurae). European Journal of Wildlife Research 2016, 62, 805 -805.

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, C. Terrer, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, M. A. Esteve-Selma, L. M. Carrascal. Erratum to: Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuertaventurae). European Journal of Wildlife Research. 2016; 62 (6):805-805.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; C. Terrer; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; M. A. Esteve-Selma; L. M. Carrascal. 2016. "Erratum to: Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuertaventurae)." European Journal of Wildlife Research 62, no. 6: 805-805.

Journal article
Published: 01 August 2016 in Ecological Indicators
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ACS Style

I. Banos-González; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Using dynamic sustainability indicators to assess environmental policy measures in Biosphere Reserves. Ecological Indicators 2016, 67, 565 -576.

AMA Style

I. Banos-González, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Using dynamic sustainability indicators to assess environmental policy measures in Biosphere Reserves. Ecological Indicators. 2016; 67 ():565-576.

Chicago/Turabian Style

I. Banos-González; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. 2016. "Using dynamic sustainability indicators to assess environmental policy measures in Biosphere Reserves." Ecological Indicators 67, no. : 565-576.

Journal article
Published: 20 February 2016 in European Journal of Wildlife Research
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In this work, we apply a dynamic modelling approach to analyse the habitat loss of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuerteventurae). This tool allows us to assess the effects of the socio-economic and environmental interactions on the factors threatening the habitat and to carry out a prospective analysis. The results show a potential habitat loss of around 13 % during the period 1996–2011, the land uptake and increase in new roads and tracks being the factors contributing most. After model testing, a set of scenarios was explored. Under the business as usual (BAU) scenario, around 20 % of the habitat would be lost by the end of the period considered (2012–2025). The impact of the economic growth scenario on the habitat would mean an additional loss of around 21 % with respect to BAU, whereas under the recession scenario, the loss might be around 6.5 % lower than BAU. The policy of restoration of gavias—traditional farming systems—would suppose an additional loss of almost 6 %, relative to BAU. If this policy took place under economic growth conditions, it might mean an additional loss of almost 28 % relative to BAU. These results point to the existence of a potential trade-off between the recuperation of ecosystem services offered by restored gavias and the conservation of the houbara habitat, which must be addressed within the management processes, as well as to the need for compensatory measures to guarantee the conservation goals.This work has been developed as part of the project: BAn integrated tool for the sustainable management and the development of an information and participation system in Biosphere Reserves, funded by the Ministry of Industry, Tourism and Commerce, Subprogram: Avanza Competitividad I+D+i 2010–2012.Peer Reviewe

ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; C. Terrer; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; M. A. Esteve-Selma; L. M. Carrascal. Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuerteventurae). European Journal of Wildlife Research 2016, 62, 263 -275.

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, C. Terrer, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, M. A. Esteve-Selma, L. M. Carrascal. Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuerteventurae). European Journal of Wildlife Research. 2016; 62 (3):263-275.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; C. Terrer; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; M. A. Esteve-Selma; L. M. Carrascal. 2016. "Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuerteventurae)." European Journal of Wildlife Research 62, no. 3: 263-275.

Journal article
Published: 01 June 2015 in Ecological Modelling
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Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Dynamic integration of sustainability indicators in insular socio-ecological systems. Ecological Modelling 2015, 306, 130 -144.

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Dynamic integration of sustainability indicators in insular socio-ecological systems. Ecological Modelling. 2015; 306 ():130-144.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. 2015. "Dynamic integration of sustainability indicators in insular socio-ecological systems." Ecological Modelling 306, no. : 130-144.

Journal article
Published: 05 December 2014 in Ecological Modelling
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Semiarid Mediterranean saline wetlands are semi-terrestrial ecosystems, which yearly undergo dry periods of several months, and shelter a rich, endemic and sensitive biota. In the last decades, the expansion of agricultural irrigated areas in semiarid Mediterranean catchments has led to altered inputs of water and nutrients to lowland wetlands. Hydrological alterations have affected characteristic plant communities, resulting in the replacement of valuable halophilic salt marsh and salt steppe plant communities by more generalist and opportunistic taxa, such as Phragmites australis (reed beds). A spatio-dynamic model and library were developed that aimed to explain the spatial distribution of three characteristic wetland plant communities in a semiarid Mediterranean wetland site in response to hydrological pressures from the catchment. Wetland plant communities and watershed irrigated agricultural areas were mapped by means of remote sensing at several dates between 1984 and 2008 and were partly used as forcing inputs and validation data. A dynamic model was initially developed using Stella software and then converted into R language by means of the StellaR software. Spatial dimension was added including neighbourhood and spatial flow algorithms representing the dispersion of plant communities. The conversion between plant communities was caused by the increase in water inflows from the watershed, mediated by spatial parameters, such as the distance to ephemeral rivers and the flow accumulation map within the wetland site. Results of the model were in agreement with remote sensing data, showing that in 2008 salt steppe had lost a half of its original area, whereas salt marsh and reed beds expanded extensively. The model developed in this study is available online as an R library, including all necessary input data sets and maps and documentation to run it. The model library offers a flexible tool that suits the needs of both advanced modellers and neophytes. Free and open source software and online code sharing repositories are proposed as modelling tools for future research.

ACS Style

Javier Martínez-López; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Babak Naimi; María F. Carreño; Miguel A. Esteve. An open-source spatio-dynamic wetland model of plant community responses to hydrological pressures. Ecological Modelling 2014, 306, 326 -333.

AMA Style

Javier Martínez-López, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, Babak Naimi, María F. Carreño, Miguel A. Esteve. An open-source spatio-dynamic wetland model of plant community responses to hydrological pressures. Ecological Modelling. 2014; 306 ():326-333.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Javier Martínez-López; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Babak Naimi; María F. Carreño; Miguel A. Esteve. 2014. "An open-source spatio-dynamic wetland model of plant community responses to hydrological pressures." Ecological Modelling 306, no. : 326-333.

Proceedings article
Published: 22 September 2014 in Proceedings - Irrigation, Society and Landscape. Tribute to Thomas F. Glick
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Alicia Tenza; Aurora Breceda; Micheline Carińo; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Andrés Giménez. Claves de sustentabilidad de agroecosistemas tradicionales basados en regadíos y ganadería extensiva en oasis de Baja California (México). Proceedings - Irrigation, Society and Landscape. Tribute to Thomas F. Glick 2014, 1 -14.

AMA Style

Alicia Tenza, Aurora Breceda, Micheline Carińo, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, Andrés Giménez. Claves de sustentabilidad de agroecosistemas tradicionales basados en regadíos y ganadería extensiva en oasis de Baja California (México). Proceedings - Irrigation, Society and Landscape. Tribute to Thomas F. Glick. 2014; ():1-14.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Alicia Tenza; Aurora Breceda; Micheline Carińo; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Andrés Giménez. 2014. "Claves de sustentabilidad de agroecosistemas tradicionales basados en regadíos y ganadería extensiva en oasis de Baja California (México)." Proceedings - Irrigation, Society and Landscape. Tribute to Thomas F. Glick , no. : 1-14.