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Dr. Miguel Angel-Esteve Selma
Department of Ecology and Hydrology, University of Murcia, Murcia, Spain

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0 Environmental Sustainability
0 Science-policy interface for sustainability
0 Biodiversity conservation and management
0 Effects of climate change on Mediterranean biodiversity
0 Ecology and management of Mediterranean wetlands

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Journal article
Published: 15 April 2021 in Forests
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The southeast Iberian Peninsula is the only place in the European Community where Tetraclinis articulata (Vahl) Masters populations are native. In this area, the optimal ecological niche for this species is occupied by Pinus halepensis (Miller). The increasing intensity of extreme drought events induced by climate change causes severe declines in pine forests, while providing expansion opportunities for established Tetraclinis populations. Within the framework of the LIFE-TETRACLINIS project, a study has been designed to simulate the pine forest decline effects on the population dynamics of this protected species. This work investigates the effects of decreasing competition on T. articulata specimens with limited reproductive activity. To induce the reproductive activity of these specimens through increasing the availability of light, the surrounding pines were removed within a 15 m radius. Increased light availability was modelled using “Light Detection And Ranging” (LiDAR) data, and changes in the main reproductive parameters were registered throughout the study period. A significant increase in the reproductive population was achieved, as well as the cones produced per specimen and the recruitment. Findings obtained are promising for the habitat management in continental Europe and enhancing this forest system’s resilience to extreme drought events and climate change.

ACS Style

Juan Moya-Pérez; María Carreño; Miguel Esteve-Selma. Enhancing the Resilience of a Mediterranean Forest to Extreme Frought Events and Climate Change: PinusTetraclinis Forests in Europe. Forests 2021, 12, 487 .

AMA Style

Juan Moya-Pérez, María Carreño, Miguel Esteve-Selma. Enhancing the Resilience of a Mediterranean Forest to Extreme Frought Events and Climate Change: PinusTetraclinis Forests in Europe. Forests. 2021; 12 (4):487.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Juan Moya-Pérez; María Carreño; Miguel Esteve-Selma. 2021. "Enhancing the Resilience of a Mediterranean Forest to Extreme Frought Events and Climate Change: PinusTetraclinis Forests in Europe." Forests 12, no. 4: 487.

Journal article
Published: 15 December 2020 in Science of The Total Environment
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The analysis of the sustainability should be addressed with a holistic approach that facilitates an integral analysis of the social, economic, institutional and environmental factors and their interactions characterizing complex socio-ecological systems (SES). Nevertheless, despite the increasing acknowledgment about the need for such systemic approaches, their application in real SES are less frequent than desirable. Among the difficulties behind this, the need for a new conceptual perspective concerning the relationships between science and the management of real SES, as well as the lack of tools to manage the inherent complexity of such systems should be emphasized. In this work, we further discuss these difficulties and propose an integral methodological framework for the assessment of SES sustainability, with the following key components: i) The hierarchical definition of sustainability goals and indicators. ii) A dynamic system model taking into account the key socio-economic and environmental factors and their interactions, in which the most representative indicators and their sustainability thresholds are integrated. iii) The analysis of vulnerabilities to exogenous drivers (scenario analysis) and the exploration of available management and planning options (policy assessment). iv) An uncertainty assessment concerning system behavior and model outcomes to guide decisions for an improved sustainability in complex SES. The whole framework highlights the need to integrate a participative approach, above all at the initial and final steps. In this work, these components are exemplified by means of their application to a real socio-ecological system: Fuerteventura island (The Canary Islands, Spain).

ACS Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández; Isabel Banos-González; Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma. An integral approach to address socio-ecological systems sustainability and their uncertainties. Science of The Total Environment 2020, 762, 144457 .

AMA Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández, Isabel Banos-González, Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma. An integral approach to address socio-ecological systems sustainability and their uncertainties. Science of The Total Environment. 2020; 762 ():144457.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Julia Martínez-Fernández; Isabel Banos-González; Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma. 2020. "An integral approach to address socio-ecological systems sustainability and their uncertainties." Science of The Total Environment 762, no. : 144457.

Case study
Published: 28 March 2020 in Environment, Development and Sustainability
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The social–ecological system of the Mar Menor located in southeastern Spain is facing serious environmental degradation which is generating important economic and social impacts. This article analyzes the local community perception in the Mar Menor area about the causes, consequences and possible solutions to current problems, especially the eutrophic crisis in the Mar Menor lagoon. For this research, a survey based on a questionnaire was conducted in 2017 and answered by 498 people. The collected data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and principal component analysis. Results showed significant differences among the groups of respondents, according to their profession and main economic activity, but the results also point to an important consensus in the group of respondents. It is worth noting that the broad consensus was that agricultural activities are the main causes of the entry of nutrients into the lagoon, and the respondents indicated that the priority should be given to measures to reduce nutrient inputs. This consensus, which is very different from the results obtained in previous studies, represents a very recent change of perception in relation to the role of agriculture in the Mar Menor. However, the broad consensus in the diagnosis of the current problem is not reflected in the varying opinions regarding the possible solutions or management options. Survey responses regarding solutions varied greatly across groups: There were important differences between (a) the respondents’ perceptions of the best solutions, and (b) the main management practices undertaken by the public administration at this point. This finding highlights a potential conflict that should be considered in any decision-making processes.

ACS Style

Noelia Guaita-García; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Carlos Javier Barrera-Causil; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; H. Carl Fitz. Local perceptions regarding a social–ecological system of the mediterranean coast: the Mar Menor (Región de Murcia, Spain). Environment, Development and Sustainability 2020, 23, 2882 -2909.

AMA Style

Noelia Guaita-García, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Carlos Javier Barrera-Causil, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma, H. Carl Fitz. Local perceptions regarding a social–ecological system of the mediterranean coast: the Mar Menor (Región de Murcia, Spain). Environment, Development and Sustainability. 2020; 23 (2):2882-2909.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Noelia Guaita-García; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Carlos Javier Barrera-Causil; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; H. Carl Fitz. 2020. "Local perceptions regarding a social–ecological system of the mediterranean coast: the Mar Menor (Región de Murcia, Spain)." Environment, Development and Sustainability 23, no. 2: 2882-2909.

Journal article
Published: 06 May 2019 in Cuadernos de Turismo
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Como herramienta para la evaluación cuantitativa del impacto turístico en sistemas socioecológicos insulares, en este trabajo se presenta el modelo dinámico de sostenibilidad de Fuerteventura. Una vez calibrado para el período 1996-2011, ha permitido una mejor comprensión de las interacciones dinámicas entre los indicadores de sostenibilidad y otros factores en la isla. También ha permitido analizar el comportamiento de algunos de esos indicadores bajo distintos escenarios y medidas de gestión para el periodo 2012-2025. Los resultados reflejan una influencia elevada de determinadas medidas de control relativas a la creación de nuevos alojamientos turísticos sobre la evolución de la sostenibilidad en la isla. In this work, Fuerteventura's dynamic sustainability model is applied as a tool for the quantitative evaluation of the tourism impact on insular socio-ecological systems. The model, calibrated for the period 1996-2011, has allowed a better understanding of the dynamic interactions between sustainability indicators and other factors on the island. Moreover, the analysis of the behavior of some of these indicators under different scenarios and management measures for the period 2012-2025. The results show a high influence of certain measures regarding the control on the creation of new tourist accommodation in the evolution of sustainability on the island.

ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez Fernández; Miguel Ángel Esteve; Pedro Pérez Cutillas. Evaluación de la sostenibilidad en el sector socioturístico de Fuerteventura (Islas Canarias). Cuadernos de Turismo 2019, 69 -96.

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez Fernández, Miguel Ángel Esteve, Pedro Pérez Cutillas. Evaluación de la sostenibilidad en el sector socioturístico de Fuerteventura (Islas Canarias). Cuadernos de Turismo. 2019; (43):69-96.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez Fernández; Miguel Ángel Esteve; Pedro Pérez Cutillas. 2019. "Evaluación de la sostenibilidad en el sector socioturístico de Fuerteventura (Islas Canarias)." Cuadernos de Turismo , no. 43: 69-96.

Journal article
Published: 17 November 2018 in Land Use Policy
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Traditional Mediterranean irrigated lands, such as the Huerta of Murcia (Spain), constitute characteristic agroecosystems which provide several ecosystem services, both cultural and regulating. Nevertheless, these agroecosystems are threatened by factors linked to the low profitability of agricultural production under present market conditions and the land conversion to non-agricultural uses.In order to assess the perceptions and valuation of the Huerta of Murcia by the local population, an economic valuation survey was carried out, using a contingent valuation method (CVM). Based on the survey, we identified the measures that were most valued with regard to the conservation of the huerta, which were: i) Limitation of the land uptake for urban uses; ii) Creation of programs to conserve ecosystem services, by means of financial support; and iii) Initiatives to promote the production of traditional agricultural products. Finally, we included these measures in a dynamic system model that, once validated, was used to explore the potential impact of such initiatives on the expected future behavior of the Huerta of Murcia.The CVM findings show the importance given to the huerta by the population of the area, beyond the use they usually make of it. The results also allowed the determination of the amount that the local people are willing to pay for the conservation of the environmental services of the Huerta of Murcia.Moreover, the simulation results for the period 2015-2030, obtained using the model, suggest that more direct measures, such as land planning, achieve better results than indirect options, such as those derived from agricultural policy and the implementation of a payment for ecosystem services, even when these latter aspects are combined. Under a scenario combining the three measures valued most highly, the loss of these irrigated lands would be reduced by around 11.5% in 2030, compared to the base trend simulation.Although the policies analyzed would improve the situation in the short and medium term, more ambitious actions would be required for full conservation of this agroecosystem in the long run.

ACS Style

José Miguel Martínez-Paz; Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Assessment of management measures for the conservation of traditional irrigated lands: The case of the Huerta of Murcia (Spain). Land Use Policy 2018, 81, 382 -391.

AMA Style

José Miguel Martínez-Paz, Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Assessment of management measures for the conservation of traditional irrigated lands: The case of the Huerta of Murcia (Spain). Land Use Policy. 2018; 81 ():382-391.

Chicago/Turabian Style

José Miguel Martínez-Paz; Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. 2018. "Assessment of management measures for the conservation of traditional irrigated lands: The case of the Huerta of Murcia (Spain)." Land Use Policy 81, no. : 382-391.

Journal article
Published: 01 October 2018 in Island Studies Journal
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ACS Style

Anna Tsoukala; Ioannis Spilanis; Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; George Tsirtsis. An exercise in decision support modelling for islands: a case study for a ‘typical’ Mediterranean island. Island Studies Journal 2018, 13, 185 -202.

AMA Style

Anna Tsoukala, Ioannis Spilanis, Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma, George Tsirtsis. An exercise in decision support modelling for islands: a case study for a ‘typical’ Mediterranean island. Island Studies Journal. 2018; 13 (2):185-202.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Tsoukala; Ioannis Spilanis; Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; George Tsirtsis. 2018. "An exercise in decision support modelling for islands: a case study for a ‘typical’ Mediterranean island." Island Studies Journal 13, no. 2: 185-202.

Journal article
Published: 17 August 2018 in Sustainability
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The assessment of environmental policies and sustainability in socio-ecological systems (SES) should be tackled from a holistic perspective, using methodologies such as dynamic system models. However, the integral assessment of SES generally suffers from high levels of uncertainty. In this work, the potential of sensitivity analysis (SA) to assess uncertainty and its implications in SES models, specifically in the Fuerteventura sustainability model, has been explored. An extensive SA was applied in different stages of model development and application. The different SA techniques applied allowed, besides a detailed assessment of robustness, the identification of leverage points and their application to define environmental policies and management measures intended to improve sustainability. The results suggest that measures based on leverage points identified by the SA in the model are more effective than others proposed so far by different agents. Furthermore, the assessment of uncertainty of measures thought to contribute to sustainability shows that, when uncertainty ranges are considered, the thresholds of some sustainability indicators might be exceeded, whereas mean values would not. Therefore, the surpassing of some sustainability thresholds might go unnoticed if uncertainties are not considered in the policy analysis. This work shows SA to be a powerful tool that provides important insights to policy makers and end users, with regard to improving environmental policies for sustainability.

ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel-Ángel Esteve-Selma; Patricia Esteve-Guirao. Sensitivity Analysis in Socio-Ecological Models as a Tool in Environmental Policy for Sustainability. Sustainability 2018, 10, 2928 .

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel-Ángel Esteve-Selma, Patricia Esteve-Guirao. Sensitivity Analysis in Socio-Ecological Models as a Tool in Environmental Policy for Sustainability. Sustainability. 2018; 10 (8):2928.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel-Ángel Esteve-Selma; Patricia Esteve-Guirao. 2018. "Sensitivity Analysis in Socio-Ecological Models as a Tool in Environmental Policy for Sustainability." Sustainability 10, no. 8: 2928.

Article
Published: 24 April 2018 in Ecosystems
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The differential responses of co-occurring species in rich communities to climate change—particularly to drought episodes—have been fairly unexplored. Species distribution models (SDMs) are used to assess changes in species suitability under environmental shifts, but whether they can portray population and community responses is largely undetermined, especially in relation to extreme events. Here we studied a shrubland community in SE Spain because this region constitutes an ecotone between the Mediterranean biome and subtropical arid areas, and it has recently suffered its driest hydrological year on record. We used four different modeling algorithms (Mahalanobis distance, GAM, BRT, and MAXENT) to estimate species’ climatic suitability before (1950–2000) and during the extreme drought. For each SDM, we related species’ climatic suitability with their remaining green canopy as a proxy for species resistance to drought. We consistently found a positive correlation between remaining green canopy and species’ climatic suitability before the event. This relationship supports the hypothesis of a higher vulnerability of populations living closer to their species’ limits of aridity tolerance. Contrastingly, climatic suitability during the drought did not correlate with remaining green canopy, likely because the exceptional episode led to almost zero suitability values. Overall, our approach highlights climatic niche modeling as a robust approach to standardizing and comparing the behavior of different co-occurring species facing strong climatic fluctuations. Although many processes contribute to resistance to climatic extremes, the results confirm the relevance of populations’ position in the species’ climatic niche for explaining sensitivity to climate change.

ACS Style

María Ángeles Pérez Navarro; Gerard Sapes; Enric Batllori; Josep Maria Serra-Diaz; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; Francisco Lloret. Climatic Suitability Derived from Species Distribution Models Captures Community Responses to an Extreme Drought Episode. Ecosystems 2018, 22, 77 -90.

AMA Style

María Ángeles Pérez Navarro, Gerard Sapes, Enric Batllori, Josep Maria Serra-Diaz, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma, Francisco Lloret. Climatic Suitability Derived from Species Distribution Models Captures Community Responses to an Extreme Drought Episode. Ecosystems. 2018; 22 (1):77-90.

Chicago/Turabian Style

María Ángeles Pérez Navarro; Gerard Sapes; Enric Batllori; Josep Maria Serra-Diaz; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; Francisco Lloret. 2018. "Climatic Suitability Derived from Species Distribution Models Captures Community Responses to an Extreme Drought Episode." Ecosystems 22, no. 1: 77-90.

Journal article
Published: 29 November 2017 in Cuadernos de Turismo
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La bahía de Portmán representa uno de los casos de contaminación más importantes en el Mediterráneo. En este trabajo se analizan las posiciones de los diferentes actores sociales, así como las principales fortalezas-debilidades y oportunidades-amenazas que existen en las posibilidades de un planteamiento estratégico de regeneración de la bahía y de la Sierra Minera. Desde una perspectiva socio-ecológica, los análisis realizados ponen de manifiesto las potencialidades para el desarrollo de un turismo ambiental y cultural de este entorno. Sin embargo, las propias debilidades y amenazas podrían superar esas potencialidades si no se lleva a cabo una gestión cuidadosa y una apuesta clara por un modelo de desarrollo sensible en extremo con el patrimonio natural, paisajístico y cultural. Un modelo de turismo ligado a la restauración ambiental y al consenso con los agentes sociales locales debe constituir un elemento básico para la adaptación del territorio como producto turístico, y así debe reflejarse en las futuras decisiones.

ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; P. Baños Páez; Pedro Perez Cutillas; M.A. Esteve Selma. Análisis de las propuestas de los actores sociales en la recuperación ambiental de la Bahía de Portmán (Región de Murcia). Nuevas perspectivas para un desarrollo sostenible. Cuadernos de Turismo 2017, 135 .

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, P. Baños Páez, Pedro Perez Cutillas, M.A. Esteve Selma. Análisis de las propuestas de los actores sociales en la recuperación ambiental de la Bahía de Portmán (Región de Murcia). Nuevas perspectivas para un desarrollo sostenible. Cuadernos de Turismo. 2017; ():135.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; P. Baños Páez; Pedro Perez Cutillas; M.A. Esteve Selma. 2017. "Análisis de las propuestas de los actores sociales en la recuperación ambiental de la Bahía de Portmán (Región de Murcia). Nuevas perspectivas para un desarrollo sostenible." Cuadernos de Turismo , no. : 135.

Article
Published: 16 August 2017 in WIREs Water
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We propose a long-term view of the evolution of human–environment interactions within Mediterranean wetlands, from prehistory to the present day, based on available published works. Our aim is to consider the sustainable use of these landscapes, past, present, and future, integrating perspectives from archaeology, ecology, and sustainable development. After briefly introducing the physiographic and ecological processes that characterize Mediterranean wetlands and the ecosystem services they provide to human populations, we consider their significance for three major questions in European archaeology: the Neanderthal extinction and the spread of modern humans, the introduction and spread of agriculture, human environmental impact since the Bronze and Iron ages. We then proceed with historical evidence of intentional transformation of Mediterranean wetlands by means of land reclamation, from the Classical to Medieval periods and into Modern times, before considering the current state of Mediterranean wetlands and the challenges they are facing in the present day. The preservation of wetlands has now become a priority issue at European level and generates concern for local communities and governing bodies, concerning biodiversity, maintenance of key services and cultural preservation. Based on the review of key events in the dynamic relationship between human populations and Mediterranean wetlands, we end by exploring available initiatives, tools and strategies to assess and support their conservation, governance and sustainable development, present and future. WIREs Water 2017, 4:e1238. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1238 For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website.

ACS Style

Andrea L. Balbo; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel‐Angel Esteve‐Selma. Mediterranean wetlands: archaeology, ecology, and sustainability. WIREs Water 2017, 4, 1 .

AMA Style

Andrea L. Balbo, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, Miguel‐Angel Esteve‐Selma. Mediterranean wetlands: archaeology, ecology, and sustainability. WIREs Water. 2017; 4 (6):1.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Andrea L. Balbo; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel‐Angel Esteve‐Selma. 2017. "Mediterranean wetlands: archaeology, ecology, and sustainability." WIREs Water 4, no. 6: 1.

Research article
Published: 08 March 2017 in PLOS ONE
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In the transition between Mediterranean forest and the arid subtropical shrublands of the southeastern Iberian Peninsula, humans have transformed habitat since ancient times. Understanding the role of the original mosaic landscapes in wildlife species and the effects of the current changes as pine forest plantations, performed even outside the forest ecological boundaries, are important conservation issues. We studied variation in the density of the endangered spur-thighed tortoise (Testudo graeca) in three areas that include the four most common land types within the species’ range (pine forests, natural shrubs, dryland crop fields, and abandoned crop fields). Tortoise densities were estimated using a two-stage modeling approach with line transect distance sampling. Densities in dryland crop fields, abandoned crop fields and natural shrubs were higher (>6 individuals/ha) than in pine forests (1.25 individuals/ha). We also found large variation in density in the pine forests. Recent pine plantations showed higher densities than mature pine forests where shrub and herbaceous cover was taller and thicker. We hypothesize that mature pine forest might constrain tortoise activity by acting as partial barriers to movements. This issue is relevant for management purposes given that large areas in the tortoise’s range have recently been converted to pine plantations.

ACS Style

Roberto C. Rodríguez-Caro; Cornelia S. Oedekoven; Eva Graciá; José D. Anadón; Stephen Buckland; Miguel A. Esteve-Selma; Julia Martinez; Andres Gimenez. Low tortoise abundances in pine forest plantations in forest-shrubland transition areas. PLOS ONE 2017, 12, e0173485 .

AMA Style

Roberto C. Rodríguez-Caro, Cornelia S. Oedekoven, Eva Graciá, José D. Anadón, Stephen Buckland, Miguel A. Esteve-Selma, Julia Martinez, Andres Gimenez. Low tortoise abundances in pine forest plantations in forest-shrubland transition areas. PLOS ONE. 2017; 12 (3):e0173485.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Roberto C. Rodríguez-Caro; Cornelia S. Oedekoven; Eva Graciá; José D. Anadón; Stephen Buckland; Miguel A. Esteve-Selma; Julia Martinez; Andres Gimenez. 2017. "Low tortoise abundances in pine forest plantations in forest-shrubland transition areas." PLOS ONE 12, no. 3: e0173485.

Journal article
Published: 11 January 2017 in Papeles de Geografía
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La presente investigación abarca el territorio de México y su objetivo es conocer y evaluar la distribución de la complejidad y heterogeneidad de los paisajes físico-geográficos de este país. Para lograr esto, se aplicaron dos índices de complejidad; uno de riqueza y otro de diversidad al mapa de paisajes naturales de México, a escala 1:500 000. Los resultados indican que México es un mosaico geoecológico donde espacialmente alternan unidades de diversa heterogeneidad y complejidad, de forma continua. Aún los geosistemas más simples y homogéneas, contienen una elevada riqueza de unidades inferiores.

ACS Style

Angel Guadalupe Priego Santander; Miguel Angel Esteve Selma. Análisis de la complejidad y heterogeneidad de los paisajes de México. Papeles de Geografía 2017, 7 -20.

AMA Style

Angel Guadalupe Priego Santander, Miguel Angel Esteve Selma. Análisis de la complejidad y heterogeneidad de los paisajes de México. Papeles de Geografía. 2017; (63):7-20.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Angel Guadalupe Priego Santander; Miguel Angel Esteve Selma. 2017. "Análisis de la complejidad y heterogeneidad de los paisajes de México." Papeles de Geografía , no. 63: 7-20.

Erratum
Published: 18 October 2016 in European Journal of Wildlife Research
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ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; C. Terrer; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; M. A. Esteve-Selma; L. M. Carrascal. Erratum to: Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuertaventurae). European Journal of Wildlife Research 2016, 62, 805 -805.

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, C. Terrer, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, M. A. Esteve-Selma, L. M. Carrascal. Erratum to: Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuertaventurae). European Journal of Wildlife Research. 2016; 62 (6):805-805.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; C. Terrer; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; M. A. Esteve-Selma; L. M. Carrascal. 2016. "Erratum to: Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuertaventurae)." European Journal of Wildlife Research 62, no. 6: 805-805.

Journal article
Published: 01 August 2016 in Ecological Indicators
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ACS Style

I. Banos-González; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Using dynamic sustainability indicators to assess environmental policy measures in Biosphere Reserves. Ecological Indicators 2016, 67, 565 -576.

AMA Style

I. Banos-González, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Using dynamic sustainability indicators to assess environmental policy measures in Biosphere Reserves. Ecological Indicators. 2016; 67 ():565-576.

Chicago/Turabian Style

I. Banos-González; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. 2016. "Using dynamic sustainability indicators to assess environmental policy measures in Biosphere Reserves." Ecological Indicators 67, no. : 565-576.

Journal article
Published: 20 February 2016 in European Journal of Wildlife Research
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In this work, we apply a dynamic modelling approach to analyse the habitat loss of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuerteventurae). This tool allows us to assess the effects of the socio-economic and environmental interactions on the factors threatening the habitat and to carry out a prospective analysis. The results show a potential habitat loss of around 13 % during the period 1996–2011, the land uptake and increase in new roads and tracks being the factors contributing most. After model testing, a set of scenarios was explored. Under the business as usual (BAU) scenario, around 20 % of the habitat would be lost by the end of the period considered (2012–2025). The impact of the economic growth scenario on the habitat would mean an additional loss of around 21 % with respect to BAU, whereas under the recession scenario, the loss might be around 6.5 % lower than BAU. The policy of restoration of gavias—traditional farming systems—would suppose an additional loss of almost 6 %, relative to BAU. If this policy took place under economic growth conditions, it might mean an additional loss of almost 28 % relative to BAU. These results point to the existence of a potential trade-off between the recuperation of ecosystem services offered by restored gavias and the conservation of the houbara habitat, which must be addressed within the management processes, as well as to the need for compensatory measures to guarantee the conservation goals.This work has been developed as part of the project: BAn integrated tool for the sustainable management and the development of an information and participation system in Biosphere Reserves, funded by the Ministry of Industry, Tourism and Commerce, Subprogram: Avanza Competitividad I+D+i 2010–2012.Peer Reviewe

ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; C. Terrer; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; M. A. Esteve-Selma; L. M. Carrascal. Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuerteventurae). European Journal of Wildlife Research 2016, 62, 263 -275.

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, C. Terrer, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, M. A. Esteve-Selma, L. M. Carrascal. Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuerteventurae). European Journal of Wildlife Research. 2016; 62 (3):263-275.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; C. Terrer; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; M. A. Esteve-Selma; L. M. Carrascal. 2016. "Dynamic modelling of the potential habitat loss of endangered species: the case of the Canarian houbara bustard (Chlamydotis undulata fuerteventurae)." European Journal of Wildlife Research 62, no. 3: 263-275.

Journal article
Published: 01 June 2015 in Ecological Modelling
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ACS Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Dynamic integration of sustainability indicators in insular socio-ecological systems. Ecological Modelling 2015, 306, 130 -144.

AMA Style

Isabel Banos-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Dynamic integration of sustainability indicators in insular socio-ecological systems. Ecological Modelling. 2015; 306 ():130-144.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Banos-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. 2015. "Dynamic integration of sustainability indicators in insular socio-ecological systems." Ecological Modelling 306, no. : 130-144.

Journal article
Published: 05 December 2014 in Ecological Modelling
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Semiarid Mediterranean saline wetlands are semi-terrestrial ecosystems, which yearly undergo dry periods of several months, and shelter a rich, endemic and sensitive biota. In the last decades, the expansion of agricultural irrigated areas in semiarid Mediterranean catchments has led to altered inputs of water and nutrients to lowland wetlands. Hydrological alterations have affected characteristic plant communities, resulting in the replacement of valuable halophilic salt marsh and salt steppe plant communities by more generalist and opportunistic taxa, such as Phragmites australis (reed beds). A spatio-dynamic model and library were developed that aimed to explain the spatial distribution of three characteristic wetland plant communities in a semiarid Mediterranean wetland site in response to hydrological pressures from the catchment. Wetland plant communities and watershed irrigated agricultural areas were mapped by means of remote sensing at several dates between 1984 and 2008 and were partly used as forcing inputs and validation data. A dynamic model was initially developed using Stella software and then converted into R language by means of the StellaR software. Spatial dimension was added including neighbourhood and spatial flow algorithms representing the dispersion of plant communities. The conversion between plant communities was caused by the increase in water inflows from the watershed, mediated by spatial parameters, such as the distance to ephemeral rivers and the flow accumulation map within the wetland site. Results of the model were in agreement with remote sensing data, showing that in 2008 salt steppe had lost a half of its original area, whereas salt marsh and reed beds expanded extensively. The model developed in this study is available online as an R library, including all necessary input data sets and maps and documentation to run it. The model library offers a flexible tool that suits the needs of both advanced modellers and neophytes. Free and open source software and online code sharing repositories are proposed as modelling tools for future research.

ACS Style

Javier Martínez-López; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Babak Naimi; María F. Carreño; Miguel A. Esteve. An open-source spatio-dynamic wetland model of plant community responses to hydrological pressures. Ecological Modelling 2014, 306, 326 -333.

AMA Style

Javier Martínez-López, Julia Martinez-Fernandez, Babak Naimi, María F. Carreño, Miguel A. Esteve. An open-source spatio-dynamic wetland model of plant community responses to hydrological pressures. Ecological Modelling. 2014; 306 ():326-333.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Javier Martínez-López; Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Babak Naimi; María F. Carreño; Miguel A. Esteve. 2014. "An open-source spatio-dynamic wetland model of plant community responses to hydrological pressures." Ecological Modelling 306, no. : 326-333.

Book chapter
Published: 01 January 2014 in Developments in Environmental Modelling
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ACS Style

Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel-Angel Esteve-Selma; Jose-Miguel Martínez-Paz; María-Francisca Carreño; Javier Martínez-López; Francisco Robledano; Pablo Farinós. Trade-Offs Between Biodiversity Conservation and Nutrients Removal in Wetlands of Arid Intensive Agricultural Basins. Developments in Environmental Modelling 2014, 26, 275 -310.

AMA Style

Julia Martinez-Fernandez, Miguel-Angel Esteve-Selma, Jose-Miguel Martínez-Paz, María-Francisca Carreño, Javier Martínez-López, Francisco Robledano, Pablo Farinós. Trade-Offs Between Biodiversity Conservation and Nutrients Removal in Wetlands of Arid Intensive Agricultural Basins. Developments in Environmental Modelling. 2014; 26 ():275-310.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Julia Martinez-Fernandez; Miguel-Angel Esteve-Selma; Jose-Miguel Martínez-Paz; María-Francisca Carreño; Javier Martínez-López; Francisco Robledano; Pablo Farinós. 2014. "Trade-Offs Between Biodiversity Conservation and Nutrients Removal in Wetlands of Arid Intensive Agricultural Basins." Developments in Environmental Modelling 26, no. : 275-310.

Journal article
Published: 26 December 2013 in Ecosistemas
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Banos-González, I., Martínez-Fernández, J., Esteve, M.A. 2013. Simulación dinámica de sistemas socio-ecológicos: sostenibilidad en Reservas de la Biosfera. Ecosistemas 22(3):74-83. Doi.: 10.7818/ECOS.2013.22-3.11.Simulación dinámica de sistemas socio-ecológicos: sostenibilidad en Reservas de la Biosfera. La aplicación de una perspectiva sistémica en la gestión de las Reservas de la Biosfera es importante a la hora de abordar la estrecha relación entre los procesos ambientales y socioeconómicos, así como los potenciales factores limitantes, particularmente evidentes en el caso de sistemas insulares áridos como la Reserva de la Biosfera de Fuerteventura (RBF), Islas Canarias. El desarrollo turístico de la isla ha favorecido la ocupación del territorio por usos antropogénicos, lo que está incrementando la vulnerabilidad del sistema hacia procesos como el sobrepastoreo y la degradación de hábitats naturales que albergan numerosas especies amenazadas. Con el objetivo de elaborar una herramienta que contribuya a un desarrollo más equilibrado y multifuncional de las reservas de la biosfera insulares, se ha desarrollado un modelo dinámico para la RBF, estructurado en 5 sectores: usos del territorio, conservación de la biodiversidad, recursos hídricos, calidad ambiental y socioturístico. El modelo, calibrado con datos del periodo 1996-2011, integra un conjunto de 30 indicadores de sostenibilidad con el fin de evaluar su evolución e interacciones en la RBF a lo largo del tiempo. Los resultados de la comparación de los valores observados con los simulados, así como de las pruebas de verificación aplicadas, señalan que el modelo es capaz de reproducir el comportamiento de este sistema socio-ecológico. Esta herramienta permite realizar un análisis de los cambios recientes y los conflictos entre los principales factores e indicadores, y así convertirse en una herramienta para favorecer una gestión orientada a minimizar esos conflictos y a reforzar políticas de desarrollo sostenible en la Reserva. Banos-González, I., Martínez-Fernández, J., Esteve, M.A. 2013. Dynamic simulation of socio-ecological Systems: sustainability in Biosphere Reserves. Ecosistemas 22(3):74-83. Doi.: 10.7818/ECOS.2013.22-3.11.Dynamic simulation of socio-ecological Systems: sustainability in Biosphere Reserves. The application of a systemic perspective on the management of Biosphere Reserves is important to address the close relationships between the environmental and socio-economic processes and to take into account potential limiting factors, particularly evident in the case of insular arid systems as the Fuerteventura Biosphere Reserve (FBR), (Canary Islands). The tourist development on the island is leading to increasing land dedicated to anthropogenic uses, which is emphasizing the vulnerability of this system to other processes such as overgrazing and degradation of natural habitats that host numerous endangered species. In order to elaborate a tool which contributes to a more balanced and multifunctional development of the insular biosphere reserves, a dynamic model for FBR has been developed, structured in 5 model sectors: land use, biodiversity conservation, water resources, environmental quality and socio-touristic. The model, calibrated with data of the 1996–2011 period, integrates a set of 30 sustainability indicators to monitor their changes and interactions in the FBR over time. Results regarding comparison between observed and simulated values and the verification tests applied showed that the model is able to match the behaviour of this socio-ecological system. This decision-support tool allows analyzing the recent changes and trade-offs between the main environmental factors and indicators, thereby facilitating a management aimed to minimize those trade-offs and reinforce sustainable development policies in the Reserve.

ACS Style

Isabel Baños-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Dynamic simulation of socio-ecological Systems: sustainability in Biosphere Reserves. Ecosistemas 2013, 22, 74 -83.

AMA Style

Isabel Baños-González, Julia Martínez-Fernández, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. Dynamic simulation of socio-ecological Systems: sustainability in Biosphere Reserves. Ecosistemas. 2013; 22 (3):74-83.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Isabel Baños-González; Julia Martínez-Fernández; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma. 2013. "Dynamic simulation of socio-ecological Systems: sustainability in Biosphere Reserves." Ecosistemas 22, no. 3: 74-83.

Journal article
Published: 26 December 2013 in Ecosistemas
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Martínez Fernández, J., Fitz, C., Esteve Selma, M.A., Guaita, N., Martínez-López, J. 2013. Modelización del efecto de los cambios de uso del suelo sobre los flujos de nutrientes en cuencas agrícolas costeras: el caso del Mar Menor (Sudeste de España). Ecosistemas 22(3):84-94. Doi.: 10.7818/ECOS.2013.22-3.12.Modelización del efecto de los cambios de uso sobre los flujos de nutrientes en cuencas agrícolas costeras: el caso del Mar Menor (Sudeste de España). Se ha elaborado un enfoque integrado de modelización de la dinámica hidrológica de una cuenca agrícola, la cuenca de la laguna costera del Mar Menor (Sudeste de España), para analizar los efectos de los cambios de uso a medio y largo plazo sobre los flujos de nutrientes que alcanzan la laguna y sus humedales periféricos. Se ha elaborado un modelo socioambiental sin dimensión espacial explícita que presta especial atención a los factores socio-económicos y los cambios de uso. Se presentan también los resultados preliminares de la aplicación al Mar Menor del modelo ELM (Ecological Landscape Modeling), un modelo hidroecológico con dimensión espacial explícita, como mejora de la modelización hidrológica de la cuenca. Los resultados del modelo integrado (1970-2012) muestran el significativo incremento de la entrada de nutrientes en la laguna del Mar Menor, la existencia de grandes fluctuaciones interanuales y el papel de los humedales en la retención de una parte de tales nutrientes. Se ha aplicado el modelo para analizar los efectos previsibles de distintas medidas de gestión orientadas a reducir la exportación de nutrientes a la laguna del Mar Menor, en particular la reutilización de drenajes agrícolas y la recuperación de humedales. Los resultados de la simulación de tales medidas señalan que la recuperación de humedales es más eficaz que la reutilización de drenajes, consiguiendo una reducción más significativa de los nutrientes que finalmente alcanzan el Mar Menor. Martínez Fernández, J., Fitz, C., Esteve Selma, M.A., Guaita, N., Martínez-López, J. 2013. Modelling the effects of land use change on the nutrient dynamics in a coastal agricultural watershed: the Mar Menor case (Southeastern Spain). Ecosistemas 22(3):84-94. Doi.: 10.7818/ECOS.2013.22-3.12.An integrated modelling approach on the nutrient dynamics has been developed for its application in the agricultural watershed of the Mar Menor coastal lagoon (South-eastern Spain), in order to analyse the long-term effects of land-use change on the nutrients inputs into the lagoon and associated wetlands. A lumped dynamic model has been developed which focuses on the socio-economic factors and land-use changes and their effects on the watershed-scale nutrient flows. In addition, a preliminary application of the ELM (Ecological Landscape Model), an eco-hydrological spatial dynamic model, has been carried out as an ongoing improvement of the hydrological modelling module. Simulation results for the 1970-2012 period showed a noticeable increase in nutrient inflows into the Mar Menor lagoon, highlighting the high inter-annual variability and the role of associated wetlands to remove part of the nutrients. The modeling approach was applied to explore the potential effects of several management measures aiming at reducing the export of nutrients from the agricultural fields into the Mar Menor lagoon, particularly studying measures to reuse agricultural leakages and plans for wetlands restoration. Results showed that wetlands restoration achieves a higher reduction in the inflow of nutrients into the lagoon, doubling those achieved by reusing agricultural leakages.

ACS Style

Julia Martínez Fernández; Carl Fitz; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; Noelia Guaita; Javier Martinez-Lopez. Modelización del efecto de los cambios de uso del suelo sobre los flujos de nutrientes en cuencas agrícolas costeras: el caso del Mar Menor (Sudeste de España). Ecosistemas 2013, 22, 84 -94.

AMA Style

Julia Martínez Fernández, Carl Fitz, Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma, Noelia Guaita, Javier Martinez-Lopez. Modelización del efecto de los cambios de uso del suelo sobre los flujos de nutrientes en cuencas agrícolas costeras: el caso del Mar Menor (Sudeste de España). Ecosistemas. 2013; 22 (3):84-94.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Julia Martínez Fernández; Carl Fitz; Miguel Angel Esteve-Selma; Noelia Guaita; Javier Martinez-Lopez. 2013. "Modelización del efecto de los cambios de uso del suelo sobre los flujos de nutrientes en cuencas agrícolas costeras: el caso del Mar Menor (Sudeste de España)." Ecosistemas 22, no. 3: 84-94.