Upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) is a rare and aggressive malignancy with a poor prognosis. The accurate prediction of survival and recurrence in UTUC is crucial for effective risk stratification and guiding therapeutic decisions. Models combining radiomics and clinicopathological data features derived from computed tomographic urograms (CTUs) can be a way to predict survival and recurrence in UTUC. Thus, preoperative CTUs and clinical data were analyzed from 106 UTUC patients who underwent radical nephroureterectomy. Radiomics features were extracted from segmented tumors, and the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method was used to select the most relevant features. Multivariable Cox models combining radiomics features and clinical factors were developed to predict the survival and recurrence. Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) was applied to evaluate the performance and survival distribution analyses were assessed by a Kaplan–Meier analysis. The significant outcome predictors were identified by multivariable Cox models. The combined model achieved a superior predictive accuracy (C-index: 0.73) and higher recurrence prediction (C-index: 0.84). The Kaplan–Meier analysis showed significant differences in the survival (p < 0.0001) and recurrence (p < 0.002) probabilities for the combined datasets. The CTU-based radiomics models effectively predicted survival and recurrence in the UTUC patients, and enhanced the prognostic performance by combining radiomics features with clinical factors.
Background: Upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) often presents with aggressive behaviour, demanding accurate preoperative assessment to guide management. Radiomics-based approaches have shown promise in extracting quantitative features from imaging, yet few studies have explored whether perirenal fat (PRF) radiomics can augment tumour-only models. Methods: A retrospective cohort of 103 UTUC patients undergoing radical nephroureterectomy was analysed. Tumour regions of interest (ROI) and concentric PRF expansions (10–30 mm) were segmented from computed tomography (CT) scans. Radiomic features were extracted using PyRadiomics, filtered by correlation and intraclass correlation coefficients, and integrated with clinical variables (e.g., age, BMI, multifocality). Multiple machine learning models, including MLPClassifier and CatBoost, were evaluated via repeated cross-validation. Performance was assessed using the area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, F1-score, and DeLong tests. Results: The best tumour grade model (AUC = 0.961) merged tumour-derived features with a 10 mm PRF margin, exceeding PRF-only (AUC = 0.900) and tumour-only (AUC = 0.934) approaches. However, the improvement over tumour-only was not always statistically significant. For stage prediction, combining tumour and 15 mm PRF features yielded the top AUC of 0.852, surpassing the tumour-alone model (AUC = 0.802) and outperforming PRF-only (AUC ≤ 0.778). PRF features provided an additional predictive value for both grade and stage models. Conclusions: Integrating PRF radiomics with tumour-based analyses enhances predictive accuracy for UTUC grade and stage, suggesting that the tumour microenvironment contains complementary imaging cues. These findings, pending external validation, support the potential for radiomics-driven risk stratification and personalised treatment planning in UTUC.
Background: Upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) presents significant challenges in prognostication due to its rarity and complex anatomy. This study introduces a novel approach integrating perirenal fat (PRF) radiomics with clinical factors to enhance prognostic accuracy in UTUC. Methods: The study retrospectively analyzed 103 UTUC patients who underwent radical nephroureterectomy. PRF radiomics features were extracted from preoperative CT scans using a semi-automated segmentation method. Three prognostic models were developed: clinical, radiomics, and combined. Model performance was assessed using concordance index (C-index), time-dependent Area Under the Curve (AUC), and integrated Brier score. Results: The combined model demonstrated superior performance (C-index: 0.784, 95% CI: 0.707–0.861) compared to the radiomics (0.759, 95% CI: 0.678–0.840) and clinical (0.653, 95% CI: 0.547–0.759) models. Time-dependent AUC analysis revealed the radiomics model’s particular strength in short-term prognosis (12-month AUC: 0.9281), while the combined model excelled in long-term predictions (60-month AUC: 0.8403). Key PRF radiomics features showed stronger prognostic value than traditional clinical factors. Conclusions: Integration of PRF radiomics with clinical data significantly improves prognostic accuracy in UTUC. This approach offers a more nuanced analysis of the tumor microenvironment, potentially capturing early signs of tumor invasion not visible through conventional imaging. The semi-automated PRF segmentation method presents advantages in reproducibility and ease of use, facilitating potential clinical implementation.
Background: Upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) often presents with aggressive behaviour, challenging early diagnosis and precise risk stratification. This study explores whether radiomic features extracted from perirenal fat (PRF) around the tumour provide complementary diagnostic and prognostic value beyond conventional tumour-based radiomics. Methods: A retrospective cohort of 103 UTUC patients undergoing radical nephroureterectomy was analysed. Tumour re-gions of interest (ROIs) and concentric PRF expansions (10–30 mm) were segmented from arteri-al-phase CT scans. Radiomic features were extracted using PyRadiomics, filtered by correlation and intraclass correlation coefficients, and integrated with clinical variables (e.g., age, BMI, mul-tifocality). Multiple machines learning models, including MLPClassifier and CatBoost, were evaluated via repeated cross-validation; performance was assessed using area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, F1-score, and DeLong tests. Results: The best tumour-grade model (AUC = 0.961) combined tumour and 10 mm PRF features, outperforming PRF-only (AUC = 0.900) and tumour-only (AUC = 0.934) approaches. For tumour stage, a combined model (tumour + 15 mm PRF) achieved AUC = 0.852, surpassing PRF-only configurations (AUC range, 0.711–0.778). DeLong tests indicated that tumour + PRF significantly exceeds PRF-only models, but differences from strong tumour-only baselines were not always significant. Conclusion: PRF ra-diomics contributes complementary predictive information for UTUC grade and stage. These findings underscore the potential of combining tumour and PRF features to refine prognostic models, ultimately supporting more tailored clinical management in UTUC.