In recent years, the socio-economic development in the Tibet region of China has experienced substantial growth. However, transportation increasingly strains the region’s fragile ecological environment. Most studies overlook the accurate measurement and analysis of factors influencing traffic carbon emissions in Tibet due to data scarcity. To address this, this paper applies an improved traffic carbon emissions model, using transportation turnover data to estimate emissions in Tibet from 2008 to 2020. Simultaneously, the estimated traffic carbon emissions in Tibet served as the predicted variable, and various machine learning algorithms, including Radial Basis Function Support Vector Machine (RBF-SVM), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) are employed to conduct an initial comparison of the constructed prediction models using three-fold cross-validation and multiple evaluation metrics. The best-performing model undergoes further optimization using Grid Search (GS) and Real-coded Genetic Algorithm (RGA). Finally, the central difference method and Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanation (LIME) algorithm are used for local sensitivity and interpretability analyses on twelve core variables. The results assess each variable’s contribution to the model’s output, enabling a comprehensive analysis of their impact on Tibet’s traffic carbon emissions. The findings demonstrate a significant upward trend in Tibet’s traffic carbon emissions, with road transportation and civil aviation being the main contributors. The RBF-SVM algorithm is most suitable for predicting traffic carbon emissions in this region. After GS optimization, the model’s R² value exceeded 0.99, indicating high predictive accuracy and stability. Key factors influencing traffic carbon emissions in Tibet include civilian vehicle numbers, transportation land-use area, transportation output value, urban green coverage areas, per capita GDP, and built-up area. This paper provides a systematic framework and empirical support for measuring, predicting, and analyzing factors influencing traffic carbon emissions in Tibet. It employs innovative measurement methods, optimized machine learning models, and detailed sensitivity and interpretability analyses. The results can guide regional carbon reduction targets and promote green sustainable development.

Affected by climatic factors (e.g., low temperature and intense ultraviolet radiation), high-altitude regions experience numerous pavement diseases, which compromise driving safety and negatively impact user travel experience. Timely planning and execution of pavement maintenance are particularly critical. In this paper, considering the characteristics of pavement maintenance in high-altitude regions (e.g., volatility of traffic volume, seasonality of maintenance timing, and fragility of the ecological environment), we aim to derive optimal monthly maintenance plans. We develop a multi-objective nonlinear optimization model that comprehensively accounts for minimizing maintenance costs, affected traffic volume and carbon emissions, and maximizing pavement maintenance effectiveness. Utilizing linearization methods, the model is reconstructed into a typical mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model, enabling it to be solved directly using conventional solvers. We consider five types of decision strategies to reflect the preferences of different decision-makers. Given the uncertainty of maintenance costs, we also utilize the robust optimization method based on the acceptable objective variation range (AOVR) to construct a robust optimization model and discuss the characteristics of optimistic, robust, and pessimistic solutions. The results suggest that different decision strategies show differences in the indicators of maintenance costs, affected traffic volume, carbon emissions, and pavement performance. When multiple decision objectives are comprehensively considered, the indicators are between the maximum and minimum values, which can effectively balance the decision needs of maintenance effectiveness, maintenance timing, and environmental protection. The number of maintenance workers, the requirement of the minimum pavement condition index (PCI), and the annual budget influence the maintenance planning. The obtained robust solution can somewhat overcome the conservative nature of the pessimistic solution. The method proposed in this paper helps address the complexities of pavement maintenance decisions in high-altitude regions and provides guidance for pavement maintenance decisions in such areas.