Marat NURTAS

Dr. Marat NURTAS

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

11Years (2016-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 January 2023 in Engineered Science
Verified
Journal Article
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MNMarat NURTAS
Marat NURTAS
ZZZhumabek Zhantaev
Zhumabek Zhantaev
AAAizhan Altaibek
Aizhan Altaibek
SNSerik Nurakynov
Serik Nurakynov
NMNurbapa Mekebayev
Nurbapa Mekebayev
AYAizhan Ydyrys
Aizhan Ydyrys
Our seismic research introduces a transformative predictive model for earthquake safety, driven by data analytics and cutting-edge machine learning technology.

27 October 2024 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
AAAizhan Altaibek
Aizhan Altaibek
MNMarat NURTAS
Marat NURTAS
ZZZhumabek Zhantayev
Zhumabek Zhantayev
BZBeibit Zhumabayev
Beibit Zhumabayev
AKAyazhan Kumarkhanova
Ayazhan Kumarkhanova
The influence of solar activity on seismic activity is a subject of debate. Previous studies have shown that there is sometimes a correlation and sometimes a contradiction between solar activity maxima and large earthquakes. Long-term memory neural network is used to study the relationship between solar activity and seismic activity. This study emphasizes retrospective classification rather than direct prediction, refining the LSTM architecture to maximize classification accuracy and processing data from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and the U.S. Geological Survey earthquake catalogs. A declustering technique is used to select large seismic events and weighted learning corrects for class imbalances. The LSTM model accurately classified earthquakes (84.47%) and proton density variations. The results support the theory that solar activity, in particular proton density, can anticipate earthquake events.

25 February 2025 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
AAAizhan Altaibek
Aizhan Altaibek
BZBeibit Zhumabayev
Beibit Zhumabayev
ASAiganym Sarsembayeva
Aiganym Sarsembayeva
MNMarat NURTAS
Marat NURTAS
DZDiana Zakir
Diana Zakir
To explore the application of neural networks for estimating geomagnetic field disturbances, this study pays particular attention to K-index classification. The primary goal is to develop a robust and efficient method for classifying different levels of geomagnetic activity using neural networks. Our work encompasses data preprocessing, model architecture optimization, and a thorough evaluation of classification performance. A new neural-network approach is proposed to address the specific complexities of geomagnetic data, and its merits are compared with those of conventional techniques. Notably, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models significantly outperformed traditional methods, achieving up to 98% classification accuracy. These findings demonstrate that neural networks can be effectively applied in geomagnetic studies, supporting AI-based forecasting and enabling further integration into space weather research

16 September 2025 in IEEE Access
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Journal Article
Open access
MNMarat NURTAS
Marat NURTAS
AAAizhan Altaibek
Aizhan Altaibek
AYAizhan Ydyrys
Aizhan Ydyrys
AVAndrey Vilayev
Andrey Vilayev
TNTakhmina Nessipbay
Takhmina Nessipbay
Earthquake forecasting using traditional methods remains a complex task due to the inherent nonlinearity and stochastic nature of seismic activity. Therefore, this study examines the application of deep learning methods, particularly a hybrid model combining Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), to create a robust prediction model that outperforms traditional methods. The study comprises six primary phases: data acquisition, pre-processing, exploratory analysis, seismicity characterization, model implementation, and effectiveness assessment. The dataset contained 17,565 earthquake events (M ≥ 3.0) in Central Asia, collected from 1973–2024 via the USGS API, enriched with geological features such as distance to active faults (from GEM datasets) and eight key seismicity indicators. Compared with baseline architectures (standard LSTM and fully connected neural network), the proposed CNN-LSTM hybrid achieved superior performance, particularly in recall (0.80 compared with 0.67) and F1-score (0.77 compared with 0.71), demonstrating its ability to capture both spatial and temporal dependencies. The results indicate that using a hybrid CNN-LSTM model leads to a significant improvement in forecasting strong earthquakes. This is validated by ROC-AUC of 0.78 and F1-score of 0.77, supporting a good balance between model completeness and accuracy. These improvements confirm that the regional adaptation of CNN-LSTM, combined with seismic indicators and clustering-based subregionalization, provides a novel methodological contribution to earthquake forecasting in Central Asia. The model reliably distinguishes periods of elevated seismic risk from quiet intervals, supporting practical applications in regional forecasting and seismic risk visualization.

1 January 2023 in Engineered Science
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
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MNMarat NURTAS
Marat NURTAS
FTF. Tokmukhamedova
F. Tokmukhamedova
AYAizhan Ydyrys
Aizhan Ydyrys
ZZZh Zhantaev
Zh Zhantaev
SNS Nurakynov
S Nurakynov
BMB Matkerim
B Matkerim
Devised intricate mathematical models for poroelastic composite media, validated through rigorous numerical experiments, ensuring exceptional stability and groundbreaking insights.

1 January 2024 in Engineered Science
Verified
Journal Article
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AKAinur Kairanbayeva
Ainur Kairanbayeva
ZZZhumabek Zhantayev
Zhumabek Zhantayev
SNSerik Nurakynov
Serik Nurakynov
MNMarat NURTAS
Marat NURTAS
GNGulnara Nurpeissova
Gulnara Nurpeissova
MKMuratbek Kudaibergenov
Muratbek Kudaibergenov
Justified the possibility of a system of preliminary road diagnostics, leveraging only openly accessible remote sensing and meteorological information.