Serik Nurakynov

Dr. Serik Nurakynov

Institute of Ionosphere, Almaty, Kazakhstan
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

9Years (2018-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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9 November 2024 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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NDNatalya Denissova
Natalya Denissova
SNSerik Nurakynov
Serik Nurakynov
OPOlga Petrova
Olga Petrova
DCDaniker Chepashev
Daniker Chepashev
Gulzhan DaumovaGulzhan Daumova
Gulzhan Daumova
AYAlena Yelisseyeva
Alena Yelisseyeva
Snow avalanches, one of the most severe natural hazards in mountainous regions, pose significant risks to human lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems. As climate change accelerates shifts in snowfall and temperature patterns, it is increasingly important to improve our ability to monitor and predict avalanches. This review explores the use of remote sensing technologies in understanding key geomorphological, geobotanical, and meteorological factors that contribute to avalanche formation. The primary objective is to assess how remote sensing can enhance avalanche risk assessment and monitoring systems. A systematic literature review was conducted, focusing on studies published between 2010 and 2025. The analysis involved screening relevant studies on remote sensing, avalanche dynamics, and data processing techniques. Key data sources included satellite platforms such as Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, TerraSAR-X, and Landsat-8, combined with machine learning, data fusion, and change detection algorithms to process and interpret the data. The review found that remote sensing significantly improves avalanche monitoring by providing continuous, large-scale coverage of snowpack stability and terrain features. Optical and radar imagery enable the detection of crucial parameters like snow cover, slope, and vegetation that influence avalanche risks. However, challenges such as limitations in spatial and temporal resolution and real-time monitoring were identified. Emerging technologies, including microsatellites and hyperspectral imaging, offer potential solutions to these issues. The practical implications of these findings underscore the importance of integrating remote sensing data with ground-based observations for more robust avalanche forecasting. Enhanced real-time monitoring and data fusion techniques will improve disaster management, allowing for quicker response times and more effective policymaking to mitigate risks in avalanche-prone regions.

26 December 2024 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MKMuratbek Kudaibergenov
Muratbek Kudaibergenov
SNSerik Nurakynov
Serik Nurakynov
BIBerik Iskakov
Berik Iskakov
GIGulnara Iskaliyeva
Gulnara Iskaliyeva
YMYelaman Maksum
Yelaman Maksum
NSNurmakhambet Sydyk
Nurmakhambet Sydyk
In the current work, authors reviewed the latest research results in landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) using artificial intelligence (AI) methods. Based on an overall review of collected publications, the review was classified into four sections based on their complexity: single-model approaches, enhanced models with optimization, ensemble models, and hybrid models. Each category offers distinct advantages and is suited to specific geographic and data conditions, enabling the selection of an optimal model type based on the complexity and requirements of the mapping task. Among models, random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), convolutional neural network (CNN), and multilayer perception (MLP) are used as the baseline to compare any new model introduced to develop LSM. Moreover, compared to previous review works, the number of LSM conditioning factors used in AI models are significantly increased, up to 122 factors. Their relation to the AI models is illustrated using Sankey diagram, while a radar chart is used to further visualize the dataset size per reviewed work for comparative purposes. In the main part of the current review work, the main findings are summarized into a table form, where the reader can find the overall relations between landslide conditioning factors, landslide dataset size, applied AI models, and their accuracy on predicting LSM for selected geographical locations. In terms of the regions, Asia is leading in the application of AI models to generate LSM, and in such regions with dense populations falling into higher landslide risk categories, there are more ongoing research activities, using modern AI methods. This trend underscores the increased use of AI in disaster management, with implications for improving practical applications, such as early warning systems and informing policy decisions aimed at risk reduction in vulnerable areas.

12 October 2022 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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NSNazyf Munipovich Salikhov
Nazyf Munipovich Salikhov
ASAlexander Shepetov
Alexander Shepetov
GPGalina Davidovna Pak
Galina Davidovna Pak
SNSerik Nurakynov
Serik Nurakynov
VRVladimir Ryabov
Vladimir Ryabov
VZValery Zhukov
Valery Zhukov
Monitoring radiation background in the near-surface atmosphere and gamma rays, geoacoustic emission, and temperature in a borehole at 40 m depth, as well as Doppler sounding on a low-inclined radio pass, proceeded at the Tien Shan mountain station (3340 m a.s.l.) in northern Tien Shan with the common goal of searching for seismogenic effects preceding earthquakes. The flux of gamma rays in the borehole varied negligibly between the days, and it was not influenced by precipitation. Characteristic bay-like drops of the gamma ray flux were found (2–8) days before the M5.0–M6.2 earthquakes. In an M4.2 earthquake event with a 5.3 km epicenter distance, anomalies were detected (7–10) days before the earthquake in variation of the gamma ray flux, geoacoustic emission, and temperature. Simultaneously with gamma rays, a disturbance was detected in the Doppler shift of the ionospheric signal. Similarly, ionosphere disturbances triggered by the growth of radioactivity in the near-surface atmosphere were found in a retrospective analysis of the Doppler shift data acquired after underground nuclear explosions at the Semipalatinsk testing site. This effect is considered from the viewpoint of the lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere coupling concept.

1 January 2023 in Engineered Science
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Journal Article
Closed access
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MNMarat NURTAS
Marat NURTAS
ZZZhumabek Zhantaev
Zhumabek Zhantaev
AAAizhan Altaibek
Aizhan Altaibek
SNSerik Nurakynov
Serik Nurakynov
NMNurbapa Mekebayev
Nurbapa Mekebayev
AYAizhan Ydyrys
Aizhan Ydyrys
Our seismic research introduces a transformative predictive model for earthquake safety, driven by data analytics and cutting-edge machine learning technology.

2 November 2024 in Sustainability
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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BIBerik Iskakov
Berik Iskakov
SNSerik Nurakynov
Serik Nurakynov
JDJagriti Dabas
Jagriti Dabas
ZZZhumabek Zhantayev
Zhumabek Zhantayev
LBLarissa Balakay
Larissa Balakay
NSNurmakhambet Sydyk
Nurmakhambet Sydyk
Oil spills pose significant threats to marine and coastal ecosystems, necessitating advanced methodologies for environmental sensitivity and vulnerability assessments. This study enhances existing frameworks to better manage oil spill risks in the Caspian Sea, a region characterized by its ecological sensitivity and economic dependence on oil extraction. Utilizing the Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI), we adapted global standards to the unique conditions of the Caspian Sea and built a sensitivity map of the coastline, which later became one of the components of the integral sensitivity map for the entire Caspian Sea, which includes several biotic and abiotic components. We also developed a comprehensive geodatabase incorporating topographic, infrastructural, and hydrodynamic data. Through the sophisticated modeling of oil spill scenarios using the Oil Spill model of the MIKE 21 software (Release 2016) suite, we simulated spills of varying magnitudes to analyze their potential impacts on the marine and coastal environment. The results enabled the creation of vulnerability maps, pinpointing areas at highest risk and facilitating strategic response planning. Our study demonstrates the critical importance of integrating advanced geospatial analyses and dynamic modeling techniques to improve oil spill preparedness and response strategies. The findings of this study suggest that enhanced monitoring and adaptive management strategies are essential for protecting the Caspian Sea from environmental risks posed by its oil industry.

30 December 2022 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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AKAzamat Kaldybayev
Azamat Kaldybayev
NSNurmakhambet Sydyk
Nurmakhambet Sydyk
AYAlena Yelisseyeva
Alena Yelisseyeva
Aibek Aitollaevich MerekeyevAibek Aitollaevich Merekeyev
Aibek Aitollaevich Merekeyev
SNSerik Nurakynov
Serik Nurakynov
Ya-ning ChenYa-ning Chen
Ya-ning Chen
While rock glaciers (RGs) are widespread in the Zhetysu Alatau mountain range of Tien Shan (Kazakhstan), they have not yet been systematically investigated. In this study, we present the first rock glacier inventory of this region containing 256 rock glaciers with quantitative information about their locations, geomorphic parameters, and downslope velocities, as established using a method that combines SAR interferometry and optical images from Google Earth. Our inventory shows that most of the RGs are talus-derived (61%). The maximum downslope velocity of the active rock glaciers (ARGs) was 252 mm yr−1. The average lower height of rock glaciers in this part of the Zhetysu Alatau was 3036 m above sea level (ASL). The largest area of rock glaciers was located between 2800 and 3400 m ASL and covered almost 86% of the total area. Most rock glaciers had a northern (northern, northeastern, and northwestern) orientation, which indicated the important role of solar insolation in their formation and preservation.