The Yellow River Basin is rich in coal resources, but the ecological environment is fragile, and the ecological degradation of vegetation is exacerbated by the disruption caused by high-intensity mining activities. Analyzing the dynamic evolution of vegetation in the Henan section of the Yellow River Basin and its mining areas over the long term run reveals the regional ecological environment and offers a scientific foundation for the region’s sustainable development. In this study, we obtained a long time series of Landsat imageries from 1987 to 2023 on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and utilized geographically weighted regression models, Sen (Theil–Sen median) trend analysis, M-K (Mann–Kendall) test, coefficient of variation (CV), and the Hurst index to investigate the evolution of vegetation cover based on the kNDVI (the normalized difference vegetation index). This index is used to explore the spatial and temporal characteristics of vegetation cover and its future development trend. Our results showed that (1) The kNDVI value in the Henan section of the Yellow River Basin exhibited a trend of fluctuating upward at a rate of 0.0509/10a from 1987 to 2023. The kNDVI trend in the mining areas of the region aligned closely with the overall trend of the Henan section; however, the annual kNDVI in each mining area consistently remained lower than that of the Henan section and displayed a degree of fluctuation, predominantly characterized by medium–high variability, with areas of moderate and high fluctuations accounting for 73.5% of the total. (2) The kNDVI in the study area showed a significant improvement in vegetation cover and its future development trends. We detected a significant improvement in the kNDVI index in the area; yet, significant improvement in this index in the future might cause vegetation degradation in 87% of the study area, which may be closely related to multiple factors such as the intensity of mining at the mine site, anthropogenic disturbances, and climate change. (3) The vegetation status of the Henan section of the Yellow River Basin shows a significant positive correlation with distance from mining areas, accounting for 90.9% of the total, indicating that mining has a strong impact on vegetation cover. This study provides a scientific basis for vegetation restoration, green development of mineral resources, and sustainable development in the Henan section of the Yellow River Basin.

Extensive coal mining activities can exert substantial negative impacts on surface ecosystems. Vegetation indices are widely recognized as effective indicators of land ecological conditions and provide valuable insights into long-term ecological changes in mining areas. In this study, the Zhaogu mining area of the Jiaozuo Coalfield was selected as the study site. Using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, the Kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (kNDVI) was constructed to generate a vegetation dataset covering the period from 2010 to 2024. The temporal dynamics and future trends of vegetation coverage were analyzed using Theil–Sen median trend analysis, the Mann–Kendall test, the Hurst index, and residual analysis. Furthermore, the relative contributions of climatic factors and human activities to vegetation changes were quantitatively assessed. The results indicate that: (1) vegetation coverage in the Zhaogu mining area exhibits an overall improving trend, affecting approximately 77.1% of the study area, while slight degradation is mainly concentrated in the southeastern region, accounting for about 15.2%; (2) vegetation dynamics are predominantly characterized by low and relatively low fluctuations, covering approximately 78.5% of the region, whereas areas with high fluctuations are limited and mainly distributed in zones with intensive mining activities; although the current vegetation trend is generally increasing, future projections suggest a potential decline in approximately 55.8% of the area; and (3) vegetation changes in the Zhaogu mining area are jointly influenced by climatic factors and human activities, with climatic factors promoting vegetation growth in approximately 70.6% of the study area, while human activities exert inhibitory effects in about 24.2%, particularly in regions affected by mining operations and urban expansion.