To address the challenges of insufficient model generalization, high false alarm rates due to the scarcity of leakage data, and frequent minor leakage alarms in traditional weak leakage (the leakage amount is less than 1%) detection methods for gas transmission pipelines, this paper proposes a real-time weak leakage detection framework for natural gas pipelines based on the combination of the generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) and ensemble learning. Compared to traditional methods, the core innovations of this study include the following: (1) For the first time, GLR statistics are integrated with an ensemble learning strategy to construct a dynamic detection model for pipeline operating states through multi-sensor collaboration, significantly enhancing the model’s robustness in noisy environments by fusing pressure data from the pipeline inlet and outlet, as well as outlet flow data. (2) An adaptive threshold selection mechanism that dynamically optimizes alarm thresholds using the distribution characteristics of GLR statistics is designed, overcoming the sensitivity limitations of traditional fixed thresholds in complex operating conditions. (3) An ensemble decision module is developed based on a voting strategy, effectively reducing the high false alarm rates associated with single models. The model’s leakage detection capability under normal and noisy pipeline conditions was validated using a self-built gas pipeline leakage test platform. The results show that the proposed method can achieve the precise detection of pipeline leakage rates as small as 0.5% under normal and low-noise conditions while reducing the false alarm rate to zero. It can also detect leakage rates of 1.5% under strong noise interference. These findings validate its practical value in complex industrial scenarios. This study provides a high-sensitivity, low-false-alarm, intelligent solution for pipeline safety monitoring, which is particularly suitable for early warning of weak leaks in long-distance pipelines.
Floating structures are subject to complex marine conditions. To ensure their safety, reliability analysis needs to be conducted during the design phase. However, because of the complexity of traditional full long-term analysis, the environmental contour method (ECM) based on the inverse reliability method, which can combine accuracy and efficiency, is extensively used. Due to the unique environment in the South China Sea, the probabilistic characteristics of three-dimensional (3D) environmental parameters of wind, wave and current are investigated. The ECs of the target sea are established via the ECM based on both the inverse first-order reliability method (IFORM) and inverse second-order reliability method (ISORM). It is found that the sea state forecasted by ISORM is more extreme and may lead to a more conservative design than IFORM. Furthermore, the wind–wave–current combination coefficient matrixes developed using the 3D ECs are proposed for the design of FOWTs in the South China Sea. The validity and practicality of the contours and matrixes are tested by using a floating offshore wind turbine (FOWT) as a numerical example. Then, the short-term response of the structure under the combined wind, wave and current conditions is calculated, providing a theoretical reference for the design of FOWTs.
This study employs the MIKE 3 Flow Model, incorporating forcing conditions such as inflow from 18 major rivers along the Bohai coast, wind, precipitation, evaporation, and solar radiation, to develop a hydrodynamic and temperature-salinity model for the Bohai Sea, using a finer mesh for more detailed simulation in Laizhou Bay. The residual current in the surface layer primarily flowed eastward, exhibiting coastal transport characteristics in the southern region, leading to the formation of a large low-salinity region. The bottom salinity distribution closely mirrored that of the surface, with the isohaline shifting shoreward due to the high-salinity Bohai Sea water transported by the residual current. By grouping major runoff sources according to river outlet locations and residual current patterns, the study analyzed the impact of freshwater plumes formed by runoff from different directions on the salinity distribution in Laizhou Bay. The results indicate that the influence of freshwater inputs on both the mean salinity and the area of low-salinity zones in Laizhou Bay, ranked from greatest to least, is as follows: the Yellow River, the southwest, and the southeast. The variation in the area of low-salinity regions is closely related to factors such as runoff volume, residual currents, and the selection of boundaries for the low-salinity regions.
The Bohai Sea is the only semi-enclosed inland sea in China. With active marine economic activities, it faces a persistently high risk of oil spill accidents. This study assesses the occurrence risk and pollution risk of oil spills by considering factors such as sea state, the location of oil platform, and shipping route density in the Bohai Sea. The results show that the central part of the Bohai Sea, the southern Liaodong Peninsula, and the Bohai Strait area have a relatively high occurrence risk of oil spills due to busy maritime traffic and harsh sea conditions. In contrast, some areas in the northern, western, and southern parts of the Bohai Sea have a relatively low occurrence risk of oil spills because of weak maritime activity intensity and relatively calm sea state. In terms of the oil pollution risk, its distribution in the Bohai Sea shows significant seasonal characteristics, which are mainly comprehensively affected by multiple dynamic factors such as circulation, monsoon, and seawater exchange. Based on the oil pollution risk distribution, seasonally targeted strategies are proposed, which can provide a scientific basis for oil spill prevention and emergency management in the Bohai Sea, and help relevant departments formulate targeted prevention and control strategies.
Anticyclonic mesoscale eddies are known to trap and modulate near-inertial kinetic energy (NIKE); however, the spatial distribution of NIKE within the eddy core and periphery, as well as the mechanisms driving its energy cascade to smaller scales, remains inadequately understood. This study analyzed the evolution of NIKE in anticyclonic eddies using satellite altimetry and field observations from four mooring arrays. By extracting near-inertial oscillations (NIOs) and subharmonic wave kinetic energy across mooring stations during the same period, we characterized the spatial structure of NIKE within the eddy field. The results revealed that NIKE was concentrated in the eddy core, where strong NIOs (peak velocity ~0.23 m/s) persisted for ~7 days, with energy primarily distributed at depths of 200–400 m and propagating inward from the periphery. Subharmonic waves fD1 generated by interactions between NIOs and diurnal tides highlighted the role of the vertical nonlinear term in energy transfer. A further analysis indicated that under vorticity confinement, NIKE accumulated in the core of the eddy and dissipated through shear instability and nonlinear wave interactions. The migrating anticyclonic eddy thus acted as a localized energy source, driving mixing and energy dissipation in the ocean interior.
Previous studies in the Beibu Gulf have documented the distributions and controlling factors of carbonate system parameters in surface waters; however, their dynamics in subsurface and bottom waters remain poorly constrained. Here, we present the first observations of pH and the aragonite saturation state (Ωarag) in subsurface and bottom waters of the Beibu Gulf during spring and fall 2024. In spring, pH and Ωarag in subsurface and bottom waters off Ledong were predominantly governed by physical mixing. In contrast, their variability off Dongfang was driven jointly by biological respiration occurring outside the Dongfang oil/gas field and by respiration within the field itself. Quantitative analysis revealed that respiration outside the field increased dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) concentrations by ~18 ± 3 µmol kg−1, a magnitude comparable to that attributable to in-field respiration (~18 ± 7 µmol kg−1). Collectively, these two respiration sources induced only slightly declines in pH (0.03 ± 0.01 and 0.04 ± 0.01) but statistically significant reductions in Ωarag (0.18 ± 0.03 and 0.21 ± 0.08, respectively). During fall, carbonate system dynamics in subsurface and bottom waters off both Dongfang and Ledong were dominated by physical mixing. The differential influence of North Pacific Tropical Water (NPTW) resulted in a decline in Ωarag from 2.99 ± 0.10 off Dongfang to 2.75 ± 0.32 off Ledong. All observed Ωarag values remained well above the thermodynamic saturation threshold (Ωarag = 1), indicating no immediate risk of ocean acidification to calcifying organisms in the study area under current conditions. This study helps bridge a critical observational gap in the regional inorganic carbonate system. However, due to sampling constraints, carbonate system parameters are reported here for spring and fall only. Observations for summer and winter, as well as multi-year time-series measurements, are planned for the near future.