This study developed a satellite, reanalysis, and gauge data merging model for daily-scale analysis using a random forest algorithm in Sichuan province, characterized by complex terrain. A high-precision daily precipitation merging dataset (MSMP) with a spatial resolution of 0.1° was successfully generated. Through a comprehensive evaluation of the MSMP dataset using various indices across different periods and regions, the following findings were obtained: (1) GPM-IMERG satellite observation data exhibited the highest performance in the region and proved suitable for inclusion as the initial background field in the merging experiment; (2) the merging experiment significantly enhanced dataset accuracy, resulting in a spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation that better aligned with gauge data; (3) topographic factors exerted certain influences on the merging test, with greater accuracy improvements observed in the plain region, while the merging test demonstrated unstable effects in higher elevated areas. The results of this study present a practical approach for merging multi-source precipitation data and provide a novel research perspective to address the challenge of constructing high-precision daily precipitation datasets in regions characterized by complex terrain and limited observational coverage.

This research investigates Southwest Vortex (SWV) events in China’s Sichuan Basin using Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) and Global Precipitation Mission (GPM) observations. We selected representative cloud systems and precipitation cases, divided into developing, mature, and dissipating stages. Detailed analysis revealed critical characteristics of precipitation cloud systems at each stage. Our findings reveal that (1) during the SWV’s developing and mature stages, a high concentration of water particles and ice crystals stimulates precipitation. In contrast, the dissipating stage is marked by fewer mixed-phase and ice particles, reducing precipitation area and intensity. (2) Near-surface precipitation in all stages is predominantly liquid, with a bright band of around 5.5 km. At the same time, stratiform precipitation is dominant in each life stage. Stratiform precipitation remains dominant throughout the life stages of the SWV, with localized convective activity evident in the developing and mature stages. (3) Mature stage particles, characterized by a configuration of 1.0–1.2 mm Dm and 31–35 dBN_W (dBN_W = 10log₁₀N_W), contribute significantly to near-surface precipitation. The Cloud Top Height (CTH) serves as an indicator of convective intensity and assists in characterizing raindrop concentration. These findings considerably enhance routine observations, advance our understanding of SWV events, and propose a novel approach for conducting refined observational experiments.

Traditional deep learning-based prediction methods predominantly rely on weather radar data to quantify precipitation, often neglecting the integration of the thermal processes involved in the formation and dissipation of precipitation, which leads to reduced prediction accuracy. To address this limitation, we introduce the Dual-Attention Recurrent Neural Network (DA-RNN), a model that combines satellite infrared (IR) data with radar-derived vertically integrated liquid (VIL) content. This model leverages the fundamental physical relationship between temperature and precipitation in a predictive framework that captures thermal and water vapor dynamics, thereby enhancing prediction accuracy. The results of experimental evaluations on the SEVIR dataset demonstrate that the DA-RNN model surpasses traditional methods on the test set. Notably, the DA-TrajGRU model achieves reductions in mean squared error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of 30 ($9.3\%$) and 89 ($6.4\%$), respectively, compared with those of the conventional TrajGRU model. Furthermore, our DA-RNN exhibits robust false alarm rates (FAR) for various thresholds, with only slight decreases in the critical success index (CSI) and Heidke skill score (HSS) when increasing the threshold. Additionally, we present a visualization of precipitation nowcasting, illustrating that the integration of multiple data sources effectively avoids overestimation of VIL values, further increasing the precision of precipitation forecasts.

Precipitation nowcasting plays a crucial role in disaster prevention and mitigation. Existing forecasting models often underutilize output data, leading to suboptimal forecasting performance. To tackle this issue, we introduce the I-ConvGRU model, a novel radar echo timing prediction model that synergizes the temporal dynamics optimization of ConvGRU with the spatial feature enhancement capabilities of RainNet. The model forecasts future scenarios by processing 10 sequential time-series images as input while employing skip connections to boost its spatial feature representation further. Evaluation of the radar echo data set from the Hong Kong Hydrological and Meteorological Bureau spanning from 2009 to 2015 demonstrates the I-ConvGRU model's superiority, with reductions of 17(3.8%) and 49(3.2%) in MSE and MAE metrics, respectively, compared with the TrajGRU model; meanwhile, the I-ConvGRU model had 52(5.8%) and 144(3.8%) lower values on the B-MSE and B-MAE metrics, respectively, than the slightly better performing TrajGRU model. Notably, it significantly improves the prediction of severe precipitation events, with the CSI and HSS metrics increasing by 0.0251(9.6%) and 0.0277(6.8%). These results affirm the model's enhanced effectiveness in radar echo forecasting, particularly in predicting heavy rainfall events.